AGL

AGL EnergyASX:AGL Stock Report

Market Cap

AU$3.4b

7D

-9.7%

1Y

-61.3%

Updated

19 Sep, 2021

Data

Company Financials +
AGL fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation3/6
Future Growth3/6
Past Performance0/6
Financial Health2/6
Dividends4/6

AGL Overview

AGL Energy Limited supplies energy and other services to residential, small and large businesses, and wholesale customers in Australia.

AGL Energy Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of all time highs, changes and price drops for AGL Energy
Historical stock prices
Current Share PriceAU$5.52
52 Week HighAU$5.52
52 Week LowAU$14.47
Beta0.33
1 Month Change-22.80%
3 Month Change-39.61%
1 Year Change-61.32%
3 Year Change-71.52%
5 Year Change-68.46%
Change since IPO-63.92%

Recent News & Updates

Aug 14
AGL Energy's (ASX:AGL) Dividend Is Being Reduced To AU$0.34

AGL Energy's (ASX:AGL) Dividend Is Being Reduced To AU$0.34

AGL Energy Limited's ( ASX:AGL ) dividend is being reduced to AU$0.34 on the 29th of September. However, the dividend...

Jul 29
Returns At AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) Appear To Be Weighed Down

Returns At AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) Appear To Be Weighed Down

If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Amongst other...

Shareholder Returns

AGLAU Integrated UtilitiesAU Market
7D-9.7%-1.7%-0.01%
1Y-61.3%6.1%27.1%

Return vs Industry: AGL underperformed the Australian Integrated Utilities industry which returned 6.1% over the past year.

Return vs Market: AGL underperformed the Australian Market which returned 27.1% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is AGL's price volatile compared to industry and market?
AGL volatility
AGL Beta0.33
Industry Beta0.66
Market Beta1

Stable Share Price: AGL is less volatile than 75% of Australian stocks over the past 3 months, typically moving +/- 5% a week.

Volatility Over Time: AGL's weekly volatility (5%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

FoundedEmployeesCEOWebsite
18374,186Graeme Hunthttps://www.agl.com.au

AGL Energy Limited supplies energy and other services to residential, small and large businesses, and wholesale customers in Australia. It operates in three segments: Customer Markets, Integrated Energy, and Investments. The company engages in generating electricity through thermal, hydro, wind, and solar power generation plants; gas storage activities; and the retail sale of electricity, gas, solar, and energy products and services.

AGL Energy Fundamentals Summary

How do AGL Energy's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
AGL fundamental statistics
Market CapAU$3.44b
Earnings (TTM)-AU$2.06b
Revenue (TTM)AU$10.94b

0.3x

P/S Ratio

-1.7x

P/E Ratio

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report
AGL income statement (TTM)
RevenueAU$10.94b
Cost of RevenueAU$7.78b
Gross ProfitAU$3.16b
ExpensesAU$5.22b
Earnings-AU$2.06b

Last Reported Earnings

Jun 30, 2021

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)-3.30
Gross Margin28.90%
Net Profit Margin-18.81%
Debt/Equity Ratio55.6%

How did AGL perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

11.8%

Current Dividend Yield

-20%

Payout Ratio

Valuation

Is AGL Energy undervalued compared to its fair value and its price relative to the market?

>50%

Undervalued compared to fair value


Share Price vs. Fair Value

Below Fair Value: AGL (A$5.52) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$22.94)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AGL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Price To Earnings Ratio

PE vs Industry: AGL is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the Global Integrated Utilities industry average.

PE vs Market: AGL is unprofitable, so we can't compare its PE Ratio to the Australian market.


Price to Earnings Growth Ratio

PEG Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AGL's PEG Ratio to determine if it is good value.


Price to Book Ratio

PB vs Industry: AGL is good value based on its PB Ratio (0.6x) compared to the XX Integrated Utilities industry average (1.8x).


Future Growth

How is AGL Energy forecast to perform in the next 1 to 3 years based on estimates from 10 analysts?

89.8%

Forecasted annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts


Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: AGL is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (1.9%).

Earnings vs Market: AGL is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: AGL's is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: AGL's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-0.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: AGL's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-0.7% per year).


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: AGL's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (5.1%).


Past Performance

How has AGL Energy performed over the past 5 years?

-27.6%

Historical annual earnings growth


Earnings and Revenue History

Quality Earnings: AGL is currently unprofitable.

Growing Profit Margin: AGL is currently unprofitable.


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: AGL is unprofitable, and losses have increased over the past 5 years at a rate of 27.6% per year.

Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare AGL's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable

Earnings vs Industry: AGL is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Integrated Utilities industry (13.6%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: AGL has a negative Return on Equity (-37.4%), as it is currently unprofitable.


Financial Health

How is AGL Energy's financial position?


Financial Position Analysis

Short Term Liabilities: AGL's short term assets (A$3.7B) exceed its short term liabilities (A$3.0B).

Long Term Liabilities: AGL's short term assets (A$3.7B) do not cover its long term liabilities (A$7.0B).


Debt to Equity History and Analysis

Debt Level: AGL's debt to equity ratio (55.6%) is considered high.

Reducing Debt: AGL's debt to equity ratio has increased from 40.2% to 55.6% over the past 5 years.

Debt Coverage: AGL's debt is well covered by operating cash flow (40.8%).

Interest Coverage: Insufficient data to determine if AGL's interest payments on its debt are well covered by EBIT.


Balance Sheet


Dividend

What is AGL Energy current dividend yield, its reliability and sustainability?

11.78%

Current Dividend Yield


Dividend Yield vs Market

Notable Dividend: AGL's dividend (11.78%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the Australian market (2.3%).

High Dividend: AGL's dividend (11.78%) is in the top 25% of dividend payers in the Australian market (5.41%)


Stability and Growth of Payments

Stable Dividend: AGL's dividend payments have been volatile in the past 10 years.

Growing Dividend: AGL's dividend payments have increased over the past 10 years.


Current Payout to Shareholders

Dividend Coverage: AGL is paying a dividend but the company is unprofitable.


Future Payout to Shareholders

Future Dividend Coverage: AGL's dividends in 3 years are forecast to be covered by earnings (75.5% payout ratio).


Next Steps

Management

How experienced are the management team and are they aligned to shareholders interests?

1.8yrs

Average management tenure


CEO

Graeme Hunt (64 yo)

0.42

Tenure

AU$972,586

Compensation

Mr. Graeme Peter Hunt, BMET, MBA, FAusIMM was Interim Managing Director, Director & CEO at AGL Energy Limited since April 22, 2021 and serves as its Managing Director, Director & CEO since July 1, 2021. He...


CEO Compensation Analysis

Compensation vs Market: Graeme's total compensation ($USD707.34K) is below average for companies of similar size in the Australian market ($USD1.73M).

Compensation vs Earnings: Graeme's compensation has increased whilst the company is unprofitable.


Leadership Team

Experienced Management: AGL's management team is not considered experienced ( 1.8 years average tenure), which suggests a new team.


Board Members

Experienced Board: AGL's board of directors are considered experienced (5 years average tenure).


Ownership

Who are the major shareholders and have insiders been buying or selling?


Insider Trading Volume

Insider Buying: Insufficient data to determine if insiders have bought more shares than they have sold in the past 3 months.


Recent Insider Transactions

Ownership Breakdown

Dilution of Shares: Shareholders have not been meaningfully diluted in the past year.


Top Shareholders

Company Information

AGL Energy Limited's employee growth, exchange listings and data sources


Key Information

  • Name: AGL Energy Limited
  • Ticker: AGL
  • Exchange: ASX
  • Founded: 1837
  • Industry: Multi-Utilities
  • Sector: Utilities
  • Market Cap: AU$3.439b
  • Shares outstanding: 623.03m
  • Website: https://www.agl.com.au

Number of Employees


Location

  • AGL Energy Limited
  • 200 George Street
  • Level 24
  • Sydney
  • New South Wales
  • 2000
  • Australia

Listings


Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

All financial data provided by Standard & Poor's Capital IQ.
DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2021/09/19 08:04
End of Day Share Price2021/09/17 00:00
Earnings2021/06/30
Annual Earnings2021/06/30


Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.