AGL Stock Overview

Engages in the supply of energy and other essential services to residential, business, and wholesale customers in Australia. More details

AGL fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation	2/6
Future Growth	2/6
Past Performance	1/6
Financial Health	2/6
Dividends	4/6

Rewards

Trading at 46.1% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 16.91% per year

Risk Analysis

Has a high level of debt

Dividend of 6.63% is not well covered by earnings

Large one-off items impacting financial results

Profit margins (1.6%) are lower than last year (3.1%)

Community vs My Fair Value

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AGL Energy Limited Competitors

TPC Consolidated

ASX:TPC

AU$99.7m

APA Group

ASX:APA

AU$8.6b

Origin Energy

ASX:ORG

AU$18.3b

Qatar Electricity & Water Company Q.P.S.C

DSM:QEWS

ر.ق16.8b

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for AGL Energy
Historical stock prices
Current Share Price	AU$10.56
52 Week High	AU$12.20
52 Week Low	AU$8.21
Beta	0.35
1 Month Change	-9.12%
3 Month Change	-3.12%
1 Year Change	25.86%
3 Year Change	40.99%
5 Year Change	-44.83%
Change since IPO	-30.98%

AGL Energy Limited's (ASX:AGL) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 76% Above Its Share Price

Feb 07

Recent updates

AGL Energy Limited's (ASX:AGL) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 76% Above Its Share Price

Feb 07

We Don’t Think AGL Energy's (ASX:AGL) Earnings Should Make Shareholders Too Comfortable

Feb 15

Returns on Capital Paint A Bright Future For AGL Energy (ASX:AGL)

Feb 10

Is AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

Sep 29

AGL Energy's (ASX:AGL) Dividend Is Being Reduced To AU$0.34

Aug 14

Returns At AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) Appear To Be Weighed Down

Jul 29

How Does AGL Energy Limited (ASX:AGL) Fare As A Dividend Stock?

May 03

Shareholder Returns

	AGL	AU Integrated Utilities	AU Market
7D	-1.4%	1.2%	-3.1%
1Y	25.9%	10.4%	6.7%

Return vs Industry: AGL exceeded the Australian Integrated Utilities industry which returned 10.4% over the past year.

Return vs Market: AGL exceeded the Australian Market which returned 6.7% over the past year.

Price Volatility

Is AGL's price volatile compared to industry and market?
AGL volatility
AGL Average Weekly Movement	3.1%
Integrated Utilities Industry Average Movement	3.1%
Market Average Movement	7.9%
10% most volatile stocks in AU Market	16.5%
10% least volatile stocks in AU Market	3.1%

Stable Share Price: AGL has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the Australian market.

Volatility Over Time: AGL's weekly volatility (3%) has been stable over the past year.

About the Company

Founded	Employees	CEO	Website
1837	3,735	Damien Nicks	www.agl.com.au

AGL Energy Limited engages in the supply of energy and other essential services to residential, business, and wholesale customers in Australia. The company operates through three segments: Customer Markets, Integrated Energy, and Investments. It engages in the retail of electricity and gas; retail of broadband, mobile, and voice services; and provision of solar and energy products and services.

AGL Energy Limited Fundamentals Summary

How do AGL Energy's earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
AGL fundamental statistics
Market cap	AU$7.10b
Earnings (TTM)	AU$232.00m
Revenue (TTM)	AU$14.53b

30.6x

P/E Ratio

0.5x

P/S Ratio

Is AGL overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
AGL income statement (TTM)
Revenue	AU$14.53b
Cost of Revenue	AU$10.50b
Gross Profit	AU$4.03b
Other Expenses	AU$3.80b
Earnings	AU$232.00m

Last Reported Earnings

Dec 31, 2024

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)	0.34
Gross Margin	27.72%
Net Profit Margin	1.60%
Debt/Equity Ratio	48.7%

How did AGL perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

6.6%

Current Dividend Yield

168%

Payout Ratio

Does AGL pay a reliable dividends?

See AGL dividend history and benchmarks

When do you need to buy AGL by to receive an upcoming dividend?
AGL Energy dividend dates
Ex Dividend Date	Feb 25 2025
Dividend Pay Date	Mar 27 2025
Days until Ex dividend	2 days
Days until Dividend pay date	32 days

Does AGL pay a reliable dividends?

See AGL dividend history and benchmarks

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/02/22 05:17
End of Day Share Price	2025/02/21 00:00
Earnings	2024/12/31
Annual Earnings	2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

AGL Energy Limited is covered by 26 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Benjamin Brayshaw	Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Dale Koenders	Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Reinhardt Walt	BofA Global Research

AGL Stock Overview

Rewards

Risk Analysis

AGL Energy Limited Competitors

ASX:TPC

AU$99.7m

ASX:APA

AU$8.6b

ASX:ORG

AU$18.3b

DSM:QEWS

ر.ق16.8b

Price History & Performance

Recent News & Updates

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 18%, revenue upgraded

First half dividend of AU$0.23 announced

AGL Energy Limited Declares Cash Dividend for the Six Months Ended December 31, 2024, Payable on March 27, 2025

New minor risk - Earnings quality

New minor risk - Financial position

AGL Energy Limited's (ASX:AGL) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 76% Above Its Share Price

Recent updates

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 18%, revenue upgraded

First half dividend of AU$0.23 announced

AGL Energy Limited Declares Cash Dividend for the Six Months Ended December 31, 2024, Payable on March 27, 2025

New minor risk - Earnings quality

New minor risk - Financial position

AGL Energy Limited's (ASX:AGL) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 76% Above Its Share Price

AGL Energy Limited (ASX:AGL) acquired Everty Pty Ltd.

AGL Energy Limited to Report First Half, 2025 Results on Feb 12, 2025

Returns At AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) Appear To Be Weighed Down

Is AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) A Risky Investment?

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of AGL Energy Limited (ASX:AGL)

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

AGL Energy Limited's (ASX:AGL) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking

Final dividend increased to AU$0.35

Final dividend increased to AU$0.35

AGL Energy Limited (ASX:AGL) agreed to acquire Terrain Solar Pty Ltd and FIRM POWER ASSETS PTY LTD for AUD 250 million.

Price target increased by 7.6% to AU$12.26

Full year 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of AGL Energy Limited (ASX:AGL)

Investors Aren't Buying AGL Energy Limited's (ASX:AGL) Revenues

AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) Will Be Looking To Turn Around Its Returns

Is AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) Using Too Much Debt?

AGL Energy Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Aug 14, 2024

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.26 per share at 3.5% yield

First half dividend increased to AU$0.26

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.86 (vs AU$1.60 loss in 1H 2023)

AGL Energy Limited to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Feb 08, 2024

QPM Energy (MGP Upstream) Pty Ltd, QPM Energy (Midstream) Pty Ltd and QPM Energy Markets Pty Ltd Completed the acquisition of the Moranbah Project from AGL Energy Limited (ASX:AGL) and Arrow Energy Pty Ltd.

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.23 per share at 2.8% yield

New minor risk - Dividend sustainability

Full year 2023 earnings released: AU$1.88 loss per share (vs AU$1.32 profit in FY 2022)

AGL Energy Limited Declares Final Dividend for the Year Ended June 30, 2023, Payable on September 22, 2023

Price target increased by 7.9% to AU$11.86

Price target increased by 10% to AU$10.25

AGL Energy Limited Updates Dividend Policy

Director recently bought AU$66k worth of stock

Director recently bought AU$99k worth of stock

Director recently bought AU$69k worth of stock

High number of new and inexperienced directors

AGL Energy Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 21, 2023

AGL Energy Limited Announces Dividend for the Six Months Ended December 31, 2022, Payable on March 24, 2023

AGL Energy Limited Appoints Gary Brown as CFO

AGL Energy Limited Announces Torrens Island `B' Power Station to Close in 2026

AGL Energy Limited Announces Election of Directors

Mike Cannon-Brookes Redoubles Calls for AGL Shareholders to Vote in New Directors

Consensus forecasts updated

Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$55k worth of stock

Insider recently bought AU$200k worth of stock

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 64%

AGL Energy Limited Announces CEO Changes, Effective 30 September 2022

Chow Tai Fook Reportedly May Be Still Searching for an Investor for Its Alinta Energy

AGL Energy Limited Declares Final Unfranked Dividend for the Year 2022, Payable on 27 September 2022

AGL Energy Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2022 Results on Aug 19, 2022

AGL Energy Limited Announces Loy Yang A Unit 2 - Update on Expected Return to Service

Less than half of directors are independent

Cannon-Brookes Demands AGL Board Seats

Wilson Asset Management Opposes AGL Demerger

Hesta Opposes AGL Demerger