Origin Energy (ORG) Stock Overview
An integrated energy company, engages in the exploration and production of natural gas, electricity generation, wholesale and retail sale of electricity and gas, and sale of liquefied natural gas in Australia and internationally. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 5/6 |
| Future Growth | 0/6 |
| Past Performance | 4/6 |
| Financial Health | 5/6 |
| Dividends | 3/6 |
Rewards
Risk Analysis
ORG Community Fair Values
Create NarrativeSee what 79 others think this stock is worth. Follow their fair value or set your own to get alerts.
Analyst Price Targets
Origin Energy Limited Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | AU$12.07 |
| 52 Week High | AU$13.13 |
| 52 Week Low | AU$10.02 |
| Beta | 0.46 |
| 1 Month Change | 14.95% |
| 3 Month Change | 5.05% |
| 1 Year Change | -5.56% |
| 3 Year Change | 39.22% |
| 5 Year Change | 178.75% |
| Change since IPO | 434.44% |
Recent News & Updates
Narrative Update • Jul 06
ORG: Balanced Energy Transition And Stable Margins Will Support Re Rating Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Origin Energy to A$11.94 from A$12.19, reflecting updated assumptions for weaker revenue growth, a slightly lower profit margin outlook, and a marginally higher future P/E of 21.30x. What’s in the News for Origin Energy Origin Energy remains a key focus on the ASX as investors weigh its approach to balancing long term growth, shareholder returns, and the move toward lower carbon energy, based on recent multi source coverage.Narrative Update • Jun 05
ORG: Smart Gas Upgrade And Stable Margins Will Support Re Rating Potential
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Origin Energy slightly higher to A$12.19, reflecting modest updates to revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions in their price target work. What's in the News Origin Energy is working with technology firm Landis+Gyr on a large-scale smart gas upgrade across its Australian gas network over the next 18 months.Recent updates
Narrative Update • Jul 06
ORG: Balanced Energy Transition And Stable Margins Will Support Re Rating Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Origin Energy to A$11.94 from A$12.19, reflecting updated assumptions for weaker revenue growth, a slightly lower profit margin outlook, and a marginally higher future P/E of 21.30x. What’s in the News for Origin Energy Origin Energy remains a key focus on the ASX as investors weigh its approach to balancing long term growth, shareholder returns, and the move toward lower carbon energy, based on recent multi source coverage.Narrative Update • Jun 05
ORG: Smart Gas Upgrade And Stable Margins Will Support Re Rating Potential
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Origin Energy slightly higher to A$12.19, reflecting modest updates to revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions in their price target work. What's in the News Origin Energy is working with technology firm Landis+Gyr on a large-scale smart gas upgrade across its Australian gas network over the next 18 months.Narrative Update • May 16
ORG: Updated Guidance And Margin Outlook Will Support Balanced Future Expectations
Analysts have trimmed Origin Energy's price target slightly to A$12.19 from A$12.34, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and a modestly higher discount rate. These factors together feed into a higher future P/E multiple of 20.01x.Narrative Update • Apr 21
ORG: Updated Guidance And Margin Outlook Will Support Measured Fair Value View
Analysts have increased their Origin Energy price target slightly, from A$12.17 to A$12.34, reflecting updated views on fair value, margin outlook and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News Origin Energy held an Analyst/Investor Day, providing the market with a structured forum to hear directly from management about the business and outlook (company event).Narrative Update • Apr 07
ORG: Updated Guidance And Margin Outlook Will Support Measured Fair Value View
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Origin Energy slightly higher to A$12.17 from A$12.15, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a modestly lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Origin Energy held an Analyst/Investor Day, giving the market a closer look at its plans and assumptions across the business (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Mar 23
ORG: Updated Production Guidance And Margin Assumptions Will Support Fair Value Outlook
Analysts have nudged their Origin Energy price target up slightly, from A$12.05 to A$12.15, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Origin Energy updated production guidance for fiscal 2026 to a range of 645 PJ to 680 PJ, compared with the previous range of 635 PJ to 680 PJ, giving a clearer view of expected output for the period (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Mar 06
ORG: Updated Production Guidance And Stable Margins Will Support Fair Value Outlook
Analysts have nudged their Origin Energy price target slightly higher to A$12.05 from A$12.03, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a modestly lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Origin Energy updated its production guidance for fiscal 2026 to 645 PJ to 680 PJ, compared with the previous range of 635 PJ to 680 PJ.Narrative Update • Jan 21
ORG: Slower Revenue Assumptions And Stable Margins Will Support Fair Value Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Origin Energy slightly from A$12.15 to A$12.03 as they now assume slower revenue growth, broadly similar profit margins, and a slightly lower future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair value estimate reduced slightly from A$12.15 to A$12.03.Narrative Update • Jan 05
ORG: LNG Output Guidance And Margin Assumptions Will Steady Future Expectations
Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for Origin Energy steady at A$12.15 per share, with only small tweaks in profit margin assumptions and a slightly higher future P/E ratio cited as the main drivers of the updated price target view. What's in the News Origin Energy issued production guidance for fiscal 2026, with Australia Pacific LNG output expected in the range of 635 to 680 PJ.Analysis Article • Dec 23
Origin Energy Limited's (ASX:ORG) Business And Shares Still Trailing The Market
When close to half the companies in Australia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 22x, you may consider...Narrative Update • Dec 15
ORG: LNG Volumes And Stable Margins Will Shape Future Market Expectations
Narrative Update on Origin Energy Analysts have maintained their price target for Origin Energy at A$12.15, reflecting unchanged views on the company’s discount rate, revenue growth outlook, profit margin expectations, and future P E multiple. What's in the News Issued fiscal 2026 production guidance, expecting Australia Pacific LNG output of 635 to 680 petajoules, which underscores stable long term volume expectations (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Nov 27
ORG: Forward LNG Output And Profit Margins Will Guide Market Expectations
Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Origin Energy, adjusting it from $12.24 to $12.15 because of modest shifts in profit margin estimates and forward earnings projections. What's in the News Origin Energy released new corporate guidance for fiscal year 2026 (Key Developments) The company expects Australia Pacific LNG production to be between 635 and 680 petajoules for the period (Key Developments) Valuation Changes Consensus Analyst Price Target has decreased slightly from A$12.24 to A$12.15.Analysis Article • Nov 20
Does Origin Energy (ASX:ORG) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that...Narrative Update • Nov 13
ORG: Future LNG Production Guidance And Evolving Margins Will Shape Outlook
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Origin Energy from $12.13 to $12.24. They cite improvements in projected revenue growth, despite a slightly lower profit margin outlook and a modestly higher discount rate.Narrative Update • Oct 30
ORG: Rising Dividend And Modest Margin Improvement Will Support Future Stability
Analysts have slightly increased their price target for Origin Energy to $12.13 per share, citing modest improvements in expected profit margins and revenue growth forecasts. What's in the News Origin Energy Limited has issued production guidance for fiscal year 2026, expecting Australia Pacific LNG production in the range of 635 to 680 petajoules (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Oct 16
Flat Residential Electricity Demand And Rising Costs Will Erode Profits
Origin Energy's analyst price target has been raised modestly from $11.91 to $12.11, as analysts highlight slightly improved revenue outlooks even though softer profit margins are expected ahead. What's in the News The Board of Origin Energy Limited has declared a fully franked final dividend of 30 cents per share.Analysis Article • Oct 09
Is Now The Time To Put Origin Energy (ASX:ORG) On Your Watchlist?
It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story...Analysis Article • Sep 08
The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From Origin Energy Limited's (ASX:ORG) Earnings Yet
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.3x Origin Energy Limited ( ASX:ORG ) may be sending bullish signals at...Analysis Article • Aug 16
Origin Energy (ASX:ORG) Has Announced A Dividend Of A$0.30
Origin Energy Limited's ( ASX:ORG ) investors are due to receive a payment of A$0.30 per share on 3rd of October. The...Narrative Update • Aug 16
Shifting To Renewables Will Increase Costs And Compress Future Margins
Despite a decline in consensus revenue growth forecasts and a higher future P/E ratio, analysts have raised Origin Energy’s fair value estimate from A$11.12 to A$11.91 per share. Valuation Changes Summary of Valuation Changes for Origin Energy The Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen from A$11.12 to A$11.91.
New Narrative • Feb 23
Shifting To Renewables Will Increase Costs And Compress Future Margins
Transitioning to renewables and investing in infrastructure increases capital expenditure, impacting cash flows and net margins due to delayed ROI.Shareholder Returns
| ORG | AU Electric Utilities | AU Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 11.6% | 3.7% | -0.7% |
| 1Y | -5.6% | -1.3% | 2.4% |
Return vs Industry: ORG underperformed the Australian Electric Utilities industry which returned -1.3% over the past year.
Return vs Market: ORG underperformed the Australian Market which returned 2.4% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| ORG volatility | |
|---|---|
| ORG Average Weekly Movement | 3.7% |
| Electric Utilities Industry Average Movement | 3.0% |
| Market Average Movement | 9.7% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in AU Market | 16.8% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in AU Market | 3.9% |
Stable Share Price: ORG has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the Australian market.
Volatility Over Time: ORG's weekly volatility (4%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1946 | 5,369 | Frank Calabria | www.originenergy.com.au |
Origin Energy Limited, an integrated energy company, engages in the exploration and production of natural gas, electricity generation, wholesale and retail sale of electricity and gas, and sale of liquefied natural gas in Australia and internationally. The company operates through Energy Markets, Share of Octopus Energy, and Integrated Gas segments. Its exploration and production portfolio includes the Bowen and Surat basins in Queensland; the Browse basin in Western Australia; and the Cooper-Eromanga basins in Queensland.
Origin Energy Limited Fundamentals Summary
| ORG fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | AU$20.73b |
| Earnings (TTM) | AU$1.57b |
| Revenue (TTM) | AU$15.61b |
13.2x
P/E Ratio1.3x
P/S RatioIs ORG overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| ORG income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | AU$15.61b |
| Cost of Revenue | AU$12.11b |
| Gross Profit | AU$3.50b |
| Other Expenses | AU$1.93b |
| Earnings | AU$1.57b |
Last Reported Earnings
Jun 30, 2026
Next Earnings Date
Oct 30, 2026
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 0.92 |
| Gross Margin | 22.41% |
| Net Profit Margin | 10.08% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 37.8% |
How did ORG perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
5.0%
Current Dividend Yield66%
Payout RatioCompany Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/08/14 22:44 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/08/14 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
| Annual Earnings | 2026/06/30 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Origin Energy Limited is covered by 21 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Uwan Minogue | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Cameron Needham | BofA Global Research |
| Suppata Srisuk | Bualuang Securities PCL |