Origin Energy Limited

ASX:ORG Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$17.4b

Origin Energy Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Origin Energy's revenue and earnings are forecast to decline at 0.2% and 8.5% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to decline by 7.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 11.3% in 3 years.

Key information

-8.5%

Earnings growth rate

-7.7%

EPS growth rate

Electric Utilities earnings growth4.0%
Revenue growth rate-0.2%
Future return on equity11.3%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated10 Apr 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Does Origin Energy (ASX:ORG) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Mar 13
Does Origin Energy (ASX:ORG) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
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Shifting To Renewables Will Increase Costs And Compress Future Margins

Feb 23 Transitioning to renewables and investing in infrastructure increases capital expenditure, impacting cash flows and net margins due to delayed ROI.

Origin Energy Limited's (ASX:ORG) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 39% Above Its Share Price

Feb 08
Origin Energy Limited's (ASX:ORG) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 39% Above Its Share Price

Here's Why Origin Energy (ASX:ORG) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

Jan 25
Here's Why Origin Energy (ASX:ORG) Has Caught The Eye Of Investors

Origin Energy Limited's (ASX:ORG) Low P/E No Reason For Excitement

Dec 16
Origin Energy Limited's (ASX:ORG) Low P/E No Reason For Excitement

Is There Now An Opportunity In Origin Energy Limited (ASX:ORG)?

Dec 03
Is There Now An Opportunity In Origin Energy Limited (ASX:ORG)?

Are Investors Undervaluing Origin Energy Limited (ASX:ORG) By 29%?

Nov 09
Are Investors Undervaluing Origin Energy Limited (ASX:ORG) By 29%?

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:ORG - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
6/30/202716,5571,1961,2791,2389
6/30/202616,3021,1635761,16911
6/30/202516,6241,57132958111
12/31/202416,9651,419-161,158N/A
9/30/202416,5741,4082451,136N/A
6/30/202416,1831,3975061,114N/A
3/31/202415,9711,5244528N/A
12/31/202315,7591,651-498-59N/A
9/30/202316,1431,353-757-346N/A
6/30/202316,5261,055-1,016-633N/A
3/31/202316,67478-755-404N/A
12/31/202216,821-899-494-176N/A
9/30/202215,694-1,164-95178N/A
6/30/202214,567-1,429304531N/A
3/31/202213,578-1,829148374N/A
12/31/202112,588-2,229-8216N/A
9/30/202112,364-2,255393590N/A
6/30/202112,140-2,281793964N/A
3/31/202112,319-1,5939031,117N/A
12/31/202012,504-6991,0121,269N/A
9/30/202012,838-3087941,110N/A
6/30/202013,17183576951N/A
3/31/202013,4985497071,037N/A
12/31/201913,8241,0148381,123N/A
9/30/201914,2891,1139781,224N/A
6/30/201914,7531,2111,1171,325N/A
3/31/201914,8901,2129861,234N/A
12/31/201815,0271,2128551,142N/A
9/30/201814,824746N/A1,133N/A
6/30/201814,620280N/A1,123N/A
12/31/201714,832-810N/A1,328N/A
9/30/201714,239-1,431N/A1,309N/A
6/30/201713,646-2,052N/A1,289N/A
12/31/201611,912-1,482N/A1,431N/A
9/30/201611,684-895N/A1,418N/A
6/30/201611,456-309N/A1,404N/A
12/31/201511,505-651N/A1,260N/A
9/30/201511,699-584N/A1,547N/A
6/30/201511,893-517N/A1,833N/A
12/31/201411,142-74N/A2,186N/A
9/30/201411,753123N/A2,207N/A
6/30/201412,363319N/A2,227N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: ORG's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-8.5% per year).

Earnings vs Market: ORG's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-8.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: ORG's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: ORG's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-0.2% per year).

High Growth Revenue: ORG's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-0.2% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: ORG's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (11.3%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/04/21 09:04
End of Day Share Price 2025/04/17 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Origin Energy Limited is covered by 27 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Dale KoendersBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited
Reinhardt van der WaltBofA Global Research
Hazim BahariCFRA Equity Research