AGL Energy Future Growth
Future criteria checks 3/6
AGL Energy is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 19.1% and 1.2% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 22.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 9.4% in 3 years.
Key information
19.1%
Earnings growth rate
22.91%
EPS growth rate
| Integrated Utilities earnings growth | 11.8% |
| Revenue growth rate | 1.2% |
| Future return on equity | 9.39% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 08 Jun 2026 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
AGL Will Benefit From Rising Long Term Power Demand Despite Higher Discount Rates
Analysts have modestly reduced their price target on AGL Energy to approximately A$11.48 from about A$11.91 as they factor in higher discount rates, a richer future earnings multiple and slightly lower margin expectations, partly offset by a more optimistic long term revenue growth outlook. Analyst Commentary Analyst sentiment on AGL Energy remains balanced, with recent target moves reflecting a more nuanced view of the company’s risk reward profile in light of sector wide revisions and changing macro assumptions.AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) Could Be At Risk Of Shrinking As A Company
If we're looking to avoid a business that is in decline, what are the trends that can warn us ahead of time? Typically...Increases to AGL Energy Limited's (ASX:AGL) CEO Compensation Might Cool off for now
Key Insights AGL Energy to hold its Annual General Meeting on 3rd of October CEO Damien Nicks' total compensation...AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) Is Due To Pay A Dividend Of A$0.25
AGL Energy Limited ( ASX:AGL ) has announced that it will pay a dividend of A$0.25 per share on the 25th of September...Here's What To Make Of AGL Energy's (ASX:AGL) Decelerating Rates Of Return
If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Ideally, a business will show two...Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By AGL Energy Limited's (ASX:AGL) P/E
When close to half the companies in Australia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may consider...Is There An Opportunity With AGL Energy Limited's (ASX:AGL) 47% Undervaluation?
Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, AGL Energy fair value estimate is AU$19.71 AGL Energy's...Returns On Capital At AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) Have Hit The Brakes
To find a multi-bagger stock, what are the underlying trends we should look for in a business? Firstly, we'd want to...What You Can Learn From AGL Energy Limited's (ASX:AGL) P/E
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 30.8x AGL Energy Limited ( ASX:AGL ) may be sending very bearish signals...AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
Electrification Initiatives Will Leverage Growing NEM Demand By 2050
Expansion and strategic investments aim to boost revenue, improve stability, and enhance operational efficiencies in the rapidly evolving energy market.AGL Energy Limited's (ASX:AGL) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 76% Above Its Share Price
Key Insights AGL Energy's estimated fair value is AU$20.67 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity AGL Energy is...Returns At AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) Appear To Be Weighed Down
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...Is AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) A Risky Investment?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of AGL Energy Limited (ASX:AGL)
Key Insights The projected fair value for AGL Energy is AU$11.45 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With...AGL Energy Limited's (ASX:AGL) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Integrated Utilities industry in Australia have price-to-sales...A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of AGL Energy Limited (ASX:AGL)
Key Insights AGL Energy's estimated fair value is AU$10.38 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity With AU$10.42...Investors Aren't Buying AGL Energy Limited's (ASX:AGL) Revenues
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Integrated Utilities industry in Australia have price-to-sales...AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) Will Be Looking To Turn Around Its Returns
What underlying fundamental trends can indicate that a company might be in decline? Typically, we'll see the trend of...Is AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) Using Too Much Debt?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6/30/2028 | 14,038 | 530 | -106 | 1,477 | 7 |
| 6/30/2027 | 13,898 | 575 | 28 | 1,478 | 8 |
| 6/30/2026 | 13,811 | 803 | 337 | 1,460 | 8 |
| 12/31/2025 | 14,327 | -166 | -309 | 892 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 14,360 | -132 | -296 | 867 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 14,393 | -98 | -284 | 841 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 14,441 | 132 | 280 | 1,411 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 14,510 | 297 | 805 | 1,942 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 14,047 | 504 | 1,104 | 2,091 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 13,583 | 711 | 1,402 | 2,240 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 13,058 | 549 | 1,184 | 1,953 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 12,532 | 387 | 966 | 1,666 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 13,345 | -438 | 627 | 1,289 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 14,157 | -1,264 | 288 | 912 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 14,737 | -1,017 | 129 | 758 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 15,316 | -770 | -30 | 603 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 14,269 | 45 | 281 | 915 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 13,221 | 860 | 591 | 1,227 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 12,231 | 817 | 602 | 1,265 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 11,240 | 773 | 612 | 1,303 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 11,091 | -642 | 584 | 1,277 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 10,942 | -2,058 | 555 | 1,250 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 11,103 | -1,825 | 764 | 1,418 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 11,263 | -1,592 | 973 | 1,585 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 11,712 | -292 | 1,186 | 1,849 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 12,160 | 1,007 | 1,398 | 2,112 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 12,691 | 973 | 1,261 | 2,084 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 13,221 | 938 | 1,124 | 2,056 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 13,234 | 922 | N/A | 1,828 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 13,246 | 905 | N/A | 1,599 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 12,975 | 1,081 | N/A | 1,810 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 12,703 | 1,256 | N/A | 2,020 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 12,760 | 1,419 | N/A | 2,082 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 12,816 | 1,582 | N/A | 2,143 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 12,910 | 1,206 | N/A | 1,682 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 13,004 | 830 | N/A | 1,221 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 12,794 | 685 | N/A | 1,056 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 12,584 | 539 | N/A | 891 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 12,082 | 453 | N/A | 945 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 11,579 | 366 | N/A | 999 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 11,365 | -21 | N/A | 1,093 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 11,150 | -408 | N/A | 1,186 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 11,123 | -473 | N/A | 1,150 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 11,096 | -539 | N/A | 1,114 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 10,887 | -160 | N/A | 1,079 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 10,678 | 218 | N/A | 1,044 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: AGL is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (3.6%).
Earnings vs Market: AGL is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.
High Growth Earnings: AGL is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.
Revenue vs Market: AGL's revenue (1.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (6.1% per year).
High Growth Revenue: AGL's revenue (1.2% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: AGL's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (9.4%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/06/11 08:28 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/06/11 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/06/30 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
AGL Energy Limited is covered by 20 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Dale Koenders | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Benjamin Brayshaw | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Cameron Needham | BofA Global Research |