AGL Energy Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

AGL Energy's earnings are forecast to decline at 1.8% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 0.6% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 1.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 12.1% in 3 years.

Key information

-1.8%

Earnings growth rate

-1.9%

EPS growth rate

Integrated Utilities earnings growth	9.8%
Revenue growth rate	0.6%
Future return on equity	12.1%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	18 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

We Don’t Think AGL Energy's (ASX:AGL) Earnings Should Make Shareholders Too Comfortable

Feb 15

Returns on Capital Paint A Bright Future For AGL Energy (ASX:AGL)

Feb 10

Is AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

Sep 29

AGL Energy's (ASX:AGL) Dividend Is Being Reduced To AU$0.34

Aug 14

Returns At AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) Appear To Be Weighed Down

Jul 29

How Does AGL Energy Limited (ASX:AGL) Fare As A Dividend Stock?

May 03

Return Trends At AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) Aren't Appealing

Apr 07

Is AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) A Risky Investment?

Mar 12

AGL Energy Limited (ASX:AGL) Will Pay A AU$0.41 Dividend In Four Days

Feb 19

AGL Energy Limited Recorded A 13% Miss On Revenue: Analysts Are Revisiting Their Models

Feb 12

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:AGL - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (AUD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
6/30/2027	13,875	745	546	1,671	8
6/30/2026	13,655	681	485	1,600	9
6/30/2025	13,552	648	273	1,628	9
6/30/2024	13,583	711	1,402	2,240	N/A
3/31/2024	13,058	549	1,184	1,953	N/A
12/31/2023	12,532	387	966	1,666	N/A
9/30/2023	13,345	-438	627	1,289	N/A
6/30/2023	14,157	-1,264	288	912	N/A
3/31/2023	14,737	-1,017	129	758	N/A
12/31/2022	15,316	-770	-30	603	N/A
9/30/2022	14,269	45	281	915	N/A
6/30/2022	13,221	860	591	1,227	N/A
3/31/2022	12,231	817	602	1,265	N/A
12/31/2021	11,240	773	612	1,303	N/A
9/30/2021	11,091	-642	584	1,277	N/A
6/30/2021	10,942	-2,058	555	1,250	N/A
3/31/2021	11,103	-1,825	764	1,418	N/A
12/31/2020	11,263	-1,592	973	1,585	N/A
9/30/2020	11,712	-292	1,186	1,849	N/A
6/30/2020	12,160	1,007	1,398	2,112	N/A
3/31/2020	12,691	973	1,261	2,084	N/A
12/31/2019	13,221	938	1,124	2,056	N/A
9/30/2019	13,234	922	904	1,828	N/A
6/30/2019	13,246	905	684	1,599	N/A
3/31/2019	12,975	1,081	962	1,810	N/A
12/31/2018	12,703	1,256	1,240	2,020	N/A
9/30/2018	12,760	1,419	1,332	2,082	N/A
6/30/2018	12,816	1,582	1,423	2,143	N/A
3/31/2018	12,910	1,206	N/A	1,682	N/A
12/31/2017	13,004	830	N/A	1,221	N/A
9/30/2017	12,794	685	N/A	1,056	N/A
6/30/2017	12,584	539	N/A	891	N/A
3/31/2017	12,082	453	N/A	945	N/A
12/31/2016	11,579	366	N/A	999	N/A
9/30/2016	11,365	-21	N/A	1,093	N/A
6/30/2016	11,150	-408	N/A	1,186	N/A
3/31/2016	11,123	-473	N/A	1,150	N/A
12/31/2015	11,096	-539	N/A	1,114	N/A
9/30/2015	10,887	-160	N/A	1,079	N/A
6/30/2015	10,678	218	N/A	1,044	N/A
3/31/2015	10,510	418	N/A	792	N/A
12/31/2014	10,341	617	N/A	539	N/A
9/30/2014	10,393	594	N/A	619	N/A
6/30/2014	10,445	570	N/A	699	N/A
3/31/2014	10,239	424	N/A	842	N/A
12/31/2013	10,033	278	N/A	985	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: AGL's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-1.8% per year).

Earnings vs Market: AGL's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-1.8% per year).

High Growth Earnings: AGL's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: AGL's revenue (0.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (5.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: AGL's revenue (0.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: AGL's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (12.1%).

Discover growth companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2024/12/19 07:31
End of Day Share Price	2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings	2024/06/30
Annual Earnings	2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

AGL Energy Limited is covered by 29 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
null null	APP Securities Pty Ltd.
Russell Wright	Barclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited
Dale Koenders	Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited

AGL Energy Future Growth

Future criteria checks 0/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Price target increased by 7.6% to AU$12.26

Price target increased by 7.9% to AU$11.86

Price target increased by 10% to AU$10.25

Consensus forecasts updated

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 64%

AGL Energy Limited Announces Loy Yang A Unit 2 - Update on Expected Return to Service

Recent updates

Returns At AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) Appear To Be Weighed Down

Is AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) A Risky Investment?

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of AGL Energy Limited (ASX:AGL)

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

AGL Energy Limited's (ASX:AGL) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking

Final dividend increased to AU$0.35

Final dividend increased to AU$0.35

AGL Energy Limited (ASX:AGL) agreed to acquire Terrain Solar Pty Ltd and FIRM POWER ASSETS PTY LTD for AUD 250 million.

Price target increased by 7.6% to AU$12.26

Full year 2024 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of AGL Energy Limited (ASX:AGL)

Investors Aren't Buying AGL Energy Limited's (ASX:AGL) Revenues

AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) Will Be Looking To Turn Around Its Returns

Is AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) Using Too Much Debt?

AGL Energy Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2024 Results on Aug 14, 2024

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.26 per share at 3.5% yield

First half dividend increased to AU$0.26

First half 2024 earnings released: EPS: AU$0.86 (vs AU$1.60 loss in 1H 2023)

AGL Energy Limited to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Feb 08, 2024

QPM Energy (MGP Upstream) Pty Ltd, QPM Energy (Midstream) Pty Ltd and QPM Energy Markets Pty Ltd Completed the acquisition of the Moranbah Project from AGL Energy Limited (ASX:AGL) and Arrow Energy Pty Ltd.

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.23 per share at 2.8% yield

New minor risk - Dividend sustainability

Full year 2023 earnings released: AU$1.88 loss per share (vs AU$1.32 profit in FY 2022)

AGL Energy Limited Declares Final Dividend for the Year Ended June 30, 2023, Payable on September 22, 2023

Price target increased by 7.9% to AU$11.86

Price target increased by 10% to AU$10.25

AGL Energy Limited Updates Dividend Policy

Director recently bought AU$66k worth of stock

Director recently bought AU$99k worth of stock

Director recently bought AU$69k worth of stock

High number of new and inexperienced directors

AGL Energy Limited, Annual General Meeting, Nov 21, 2023

AGL Energy Limited Announces Dividend for the Six Months Ended December 31, 2022, Payable on March 24, 2023

AGL Energy Limited Appoints Gary Brown as CFO

AGL Energy Limited Announces Torrens Island `B' Power Station to Close in 2026

AGL Energy Limited Announces Election of Directors

Mike Cannon-Brookes Redoubles Calls for AGL Shareholders to Vote in New Directors

Consensus forecasts updated

Independent Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$55k worth of stock

Insider recently bought AU$200k worth of stock

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 64%

AGL Energy Limited Announces CEO Changes, Effective 30 September 2022

Chow Tai Fook Reportedly May Be Still Searching for an Investor for Its Alinta Energy

AGL Energy Limited Declares Final Unfranked Dividend for the Year 2022, Payable on 27 September 2022

AGL Energy Limited to Report Fiscal Year 2022 Results on Aug 19, 2022

AGL Energy Limited Announces Loy Yang A Unit 2 - Update on Expected Return to Service

Less than half of directors are independent

Cannon-Brookes Demands AGL Board Seats

Wilson Asset Management Opposes AGL Demerger

Hesta Opposes AGL Demerger

Mike Cannon-Brookes Provides Information to the Shareholders

Mike Cannon-Brookes' Provides Information to the Shareholders

AGL Responds to Substantial Holding Notice Lodged by Galipea Partnership

Macquarie Capital Lines Up Investors for Demerged Accel Energy

Less than half of directors are independent

AGL Energy Limited Appoints Vanessa Sullivan as Non-Executive Director, Effective 1 March 2022

The consortium of Brookfield Asset Management Inc. (TSX:BAM.A) and Grok Ventures Pty. Ltd. cancelled the acquisition of AGL Energy Limited (ASX:AGL).

Non-Executive Director recently bought AU$142k worth of stock

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.16 per share

We Don’t Think AGL Energy's (ASX:AGL) Earnings Should Make Shareholders Too Comfortable

First half 2022 earnings: Revenues exceed analysts expectations while EPS lags behind

AGL Energy Limited Announces Dividend for the Period of Six Months Ended December 31, 2021, Payable on March 30, 2022

Returns on Capital Paint A Bright Future For AGL Energy (ASX:AGL)

Is AGL Energy (ASX:AGL) Weighed On By Its Debt Load?

Independent Non-Executive Director John Stanhope has left the company

Price target decreased to AU$8.42

Upcoming dividend of AU$0.34 per share

AGL Energy's (ASX:AGL) Dividend Is Being Reduced To AU$0.34