Transurban Group (TCL) Stock Overview
Engages in the development, operation, management, and maintenance of toll road networks in Australia and North America. More details
| Snowflake Score | |
|---|---|
| Valuation | 2/6 |
| Future Growth | 1/6 |
| Past Performance | 5/6 |
| Financial Health | 1/6 |
| Dividends | 2/6 |
TCL Community Fair Values
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Analyst Price Targets
Transurban Group Competitors
Price History & Performance
| Historical stock prices | |
|---|---|
| Current Share Price | AU$14.49 |
| 52 Week High | AU$15.25 |
| 52 Week Low | AU$13.21 |
| Beta | 0.48 |
| 1 Month Change | 4.24% |
| 3 Month Change | 0.98% |
| 1 Year Change | 2.19% |
| 3 Year Change | -1.63% |
| 5 Year Change | 4.39% |
| Change since IPO | 1,097.32% |
Recent News & Updates
TCL: Traffic Resilience And Higher Margins Will Support A Fairly Valued Outlook
Analysts have slightly reduced their price target for Transurban Group by A$0.05 to A$13.94 as they factor in updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Transurban reported Average Daily Traffic (ADT) growth of 3.6% for March 2026, giving you a recent snapshot of usage across its toll road network (company announcement).TCL: Tunnel Opening And 2025 Distribution Will Support A Fairly Valued Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Transurban Group from A$14.36 to A$13.99, reflecting adjustments to fair value, discount rate, revenue growth assumptions, profit margin outlook and the future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Trimmed slightly from A$14.36 to A$13.99.Recent updates
TCL: Traffic Resilience And Higher Margins Will Support A Fairly Valued Outlook
Analysts have slightly reduced their price target for Transurban Group by A$0.05 to A$13.94 as they factor in updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Transurban reported Average Daily Traffic (ADT) growth of 3.6% for March 2026, giving you a recent snapshot of usage across its toll road network (company announcement).TCL: Tunnel Opening And 2025 Distribution Will Support A Fairly Valued Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Transurban Group from A$14.36 to A$13.99, reflecting adjustments to fair value, discount rate, revenue growth assumptions, profit margin outlook and the future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Trimmed slightly from A$14.36 to A$13.99.TCL: Tunnel Opening And 2025 Distribution Will Support A Fairly Valued Outlook
Analysts have maintained their A$14.36 price target for Transurban Group, citing a slightly higher discount rate and revenue growth outlook, along with a lower profit margin and a higher assumed future P/E multiple. What's in the News The West Gate Tunnel Project is scheduled to open to traffic on Sunday 14 December 2025, providing an alternative route to the West Gate Bridge and connecting the West Gate Freeway to the Port of Melbourne and CityLink (Key Developments).TCL: Tunnel Opening And Distribution Outlook Will Shape Fairly Valued Profile
Analysts have modestly adjusted their valuation framework for Transurban Group, keeping the fair value estimate steady at A$14.36 while refining assumptions around the discount rate, profit margin and future P/E to better reflect current expectations for earnings quality and risk. What's in the News West Gate Tunnel Project is scheduled to open to traffic on Sunday 14 December 2025, providing an alternative to the West Gate Bridge and a new connection between the West Gate Freeway, the Port of Melbourne and CityLink (Key Developments).Some Confidence Is Lacking In Transurban Group's (ASX:TCL) P/S
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Infrastructure industry in Australia have price-to-sales ratios...TCL: West Gate Tunnel Opening And Lower Discount Rate Will Shape Outlook
Analysts now see fair value for Transurban Group at A$14.36, up from A$14.21, with the shift linked to updated views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and a higher assumed future P/E multiple. What's in the News The West Gate Tunnel Project in Melbourne is scheduled to open to traffic on Sunday 14 December 2025, providing an alternative to the West Gate Bridge and connecting the West Gate Freeway to the Port of Melbourne, CityLink and the CBD (Key Developments).Is Transurban Group (ASX:TCL) A Risky Investment?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...Transurban Group (ASX:TCL) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To A$0.34
Transurban Group's ( ASX:TCL ) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to A$0.34 on...Transurban Group's (ASX:TCL) Shares May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Infrastructure industry in Australia have price-to-sales ratios...Transurban Group (ASX:TCL) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Urbanization And New Projects Will Revitalize Australian Toll Roads
Transurban Group’s consensus price target has been raised to A$14.18, reflecting analysts’ expectations for improved revenue from post-construction traffic growth and easing operational disruptions in key metropolitan markets. Analyst Commentary Upgrade driven by reported traffic growth of approximately 2% in FY25.Transurban Group's (ASX:TCL) Price Is Out Of Tune With Revenues
Transurban Group's ( ASX:TCL ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 11.4x may look like a poor investment opportunity...Calculating The Fair Value Of Transurban Group (ASX:TCL)
Key Insights The projected fair value for Transurban Group is AU$12.21 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity...
AI Technology And North American Expansion Will Shape Future Prospects
Strategic positioning in growth areas and infrastructure innovation could drive long-term revenue increases and operational efficiencies for Transurban.Shareholder Returns
| TCL | AU Infrastructure | AU Market | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7D | 0.07% | -0.07% | 0.08% |
| 1Y | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% |
Return vs Industry: TCL underperformed the Australian Infrastructure industry which returned 4% over the past year.
Return vs Market: TCL matched the Australian Market which returned 3.1% over the past year.
Price Volatility
| TCL volatility | |
|---|---|
| TCL Average Weekly Movement | 2.0% |
| Infrastructure Industry Average Movement | 3.7% |
| Market Average Movement | 10.4% |
| 10% most volatile stocks in AU Market | 17.6% |
| 10% least volatile stocks in AU Market | 4.3% |
Stable Share Price: TCL has not had significant price volatility in the past 3 months compared to the Australian market.
Volatility Over Time: TCL's weekly volatility (2%) has been stable over the past year.
About the Company
| Founded | Employees | CEO | Website |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1996 | 4,100 | Michelle Jablko | www.transurban.com |
Transurban Group, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, operation, management, and maintenance of toll road networks in Australia and North America. The company operates 22 toll roads in Melbourne, Sydney, and Brisbane in Australia; the Greater Washington, the United States; and Montreal, Canada. Transurban Group was founded in 1996 and is based in Docklands, Australia.
Transurban Group Fundamentals Summary
| TCL fundamental statistics | |
|---|---|
| Market cap | AU$45.31b |
| Earnings (TTM) | AU$478.00m |
| Revenue (TTM) | AU$3.92b |
Is TCL overvalued?
See Fair Value and valuation analysisEarnings & Revenue
| TCL income statement (TTM) | |
|---|---|
| Revenue | AU$3.92b |
| Cost of Revenue | AU$1.54b |
| Gross Profit | AU$2.38b |
| Other Expenses | AU$1.90b |
| Earnings | AU$478.00m |
Last Reported Earnings
Dec 31, 2025
Next Earnings Date
Aug 13, 2026
| Earnings per share (EPS) | 0.15 |
| Gross Margin | 60.61% |
| Net Profit Margin | 12.19% |
| Debt/Equity Ratio | 228.4% |
How did TCL perform over the long term?
See historical performance and comparisonDividends
Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/25 16:04 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/25 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/06/30 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.
Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.
Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Transurban Group is covered by 28 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Matthew Ryan | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Benjamin Brayshaw | Barrenjoey Markets Pty Limited |
| Shaurya Visen | BofA Global Research |