Stock Analysis

Earnings Working Against Lindsay Australia Limited's (ASX:LAU) Share Price Following 27% Dive

ASX:LAU
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The Lindsay Australia Limited (ASX:LAU) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 27%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 41% in that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, Lindsay Australia's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.4x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in Australia, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 19x and even P/E's above 33x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

Lindsay Australia could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. It seems that many are expecting the dour earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Lindsay Australia

pe-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:LAU Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 27th 2025
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Lindsay Australia.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Lindsay Australia's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 35%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 226% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 9.7% per year during the coming three years according to the four analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 17% per year growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that Lindsay Australia's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Bottom Line On Lindsay Australia's P/E

Having almost fallen off a cliff, Lindsay Australia's share price has pulled its P/E way down as well. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Lindsay Australia's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Having said that, be aware Lindsay Australia is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ASX:LAU

Lindsay Australia

Provides integrated transport, logistics, and rural supply services to the food processing, food services, fresh produce, and horticulture sectors in Australia.

Undervalued established dividend payer.