Stock Analysis

Slammed 38% BirdDog Technology Limited (ASX:BDT) Screens Well Here But There Might Be A Catch

ASX:BDT
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, BirdDog Technology Limited (ASX:BDT) shares are down a considerable 38% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 49% share price drop.

After such a large drop in price, when close to half the companies operating in Australia's Tech industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.2x, you may consider BirdDog Technology as an enticing stock to check out with its 0.3x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for BirdDog Technology

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:BDT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 31st 2025

What Does BirdDog Technology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, BirdDog Technology's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.

Keen to find out how analysts think BirdDog Technology's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For BirdDog Technology?

BirdDog Technology's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 36%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 52% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 25% per year as estimated by the sole analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 7.5% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's peculiar that BirdDog Technology's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Final Word

BirdDog Technology's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Tech companies. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

To us, it seems BirdDog Technology currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. When we see strong growth forecasts like this, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for BirdDog Technology (1 is a bit concerning!) that you need to be mindful of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ASX:BDT

BirdDog Technology

Develops and manufactures hardware and software video technology solutions in North America, Europe, the United Kingdom, the Asia Pacific, and Latin America.

Undervalued with high growth potential.