Stock Analysis

Not Many Are Piling Into Netlinkz Limited (ASX:NET) Stock Yet As It Plummets 38%

ASX:NET
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Netlinkz Limited (ASX:NET) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 38% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 75% share price decline.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Netlinkz's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Software industry in Australia, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.5x and even P/S above 6x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

View our latest analysis for Netlinkz

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:NET Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 2nd 2024

How Netlinkz Has Been Performing

Recent times have been quite advantageous for Netlinkz as its revenue has been rising very briskly. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dwindle, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Netlinkz will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

Netlinkz's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 32% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 293% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 23% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Netlinkz's P/S isn't as high compared to that of its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Netlinkz's P/S?

Netlinkz's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Netlinkz revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't boosting its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. Potential investors that are sceptical over continued revenue performance may be preventing the P/S ratio from matching previous strong performance. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to perceive a likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.

Having said that, be aware Netlinkz is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those are a bit concerning.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Netlinkz, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Netlinkz is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.