What Life360, Inc.'s (ASX:360) 29% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You
Life360, Inc. (ASX:360) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 29% gain in the last month alone. The last month tops off a massive increase of 142% in the last year.
After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Life360 is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 7.3x, considering almost half the companies in Australia's Software industry have P/S ratios below 2.6x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
View our latest analysis for Life360
What Does Life360's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Life360 certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Life360.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Life360's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 28%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 271% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the eight analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 19% each year over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 21% growth each year, the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.
With this information, we find it interesting that Life360 is trading at a high P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What Does Life360's P/S Mean For Investors?
Life360's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Seeing as its revenues are forecast to grow in line with the wider industry, it would appear that Life360 currently trades on a higher than expected P/S. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the company can jump ahead of the rest of the industry in the short-term, it'll be a challenge to maintain the share price at current levels.
It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Life360 that you need to take into consideration.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:360
Life360
Operates a technology platform to locate people, pets, and things in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.