Stock Analysis

ASX Stocks That May Be Trading Below Fair Value Estimates In April 2025

ASX:GMD
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As the Australian market experiences fluctuations, with the ASX200 closing down 0.94% at 7,859.7 points and sectors like IT and Energy leading declines, investors are increasingly focused on identifying stocks that may be trading below their fair value estimates. In such a volatile environment, recognizing undervalued stocks can offer potential opportunities for those looking to capitalize on discrepancies between current market prices and intrinsic value assessments.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Australia

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Acrow (ASX:ACF)A$1.065A$1.9745.8%
Nido Education (ASX:NDO)A$0.78A$1.5649.9%
Nick Scali (ASX:NCK)A$15.50A$27.2743.2%
Amaero International (ASX:3DA)A$0.25A$0.4443.5%
PolyNovo (ASX:PNV)A$1.10A$2.1147.8%
Environmental Group (ASX:EGL)A$0.25A$0.4645.6%
Charter Hall Group (ASX:CHC)A$16.50A$31.8748.2%
SciDev (ASX:SDV)A$0.43A$0.8247.3%
Genetic Signatures (ASX:GSS)A$0.475A$0.8845.9%
Pantoro (ASX:PNR)A$2.55A$4.8247.1%

Click here to see the full list of 41 stocks from our Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Here we highlight a subset of our preferred stocks from the screener.

Genesis Minerals (ASX:GMD)

Overview: Genesis Minerals Limited is involved in the exploration, production, and development of gold deposits in Western Australia with a market cap of A$4.18 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue of A$561.40 million from its mineral production, exploration, and development activities in Western Australia.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 16.2%

Genesis Minerals has shown strong growth, with half-year sales reaching A$338.73 million, up from A$215.92 million the previous year, and net income rising to A$59.8 million. The company updated its 2025 production guidance to 190,000-210,000 oz of gold. Trading at approximately 16.2% below fair value (A$3.7 vs estimated A$4.41), Genesis is undervalued based on cash flows with earnings projected to grow significantly at over 20% annually for the next three years.

ASX:GMD Discounted Cash Flow as at Apr 2025
ASX:GMD Discounted Cash Flow as at Apr 2025

GenusPlus Group (ASX:GNP)

Overview: GenusPlus Group Ltd operates in Australia, focusing on the installation, construction, and maintenance of power and communication systems, with a market cap of A$490.11 million.

Operations: The company's revenue segments are comprised of Industrial at A$187.56 million, Communication at A$86.02 million, and Infrastructure at A$372.42 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 15.4%

GenusPlus Group appears undervalued, trading at 15.4% below its fair value estimate of A$3.21 with a current price of A$2.72. Recent earnings show strong performance, with half-year sales rising to A$332.87 million from A$249.96 million and net income increasing to A$13.7 million year-over-year. Earnings are projected to grow over 20% annually for the next three years, outpacing the broader Australian market's growth expectations and supporting its undervaluation based on cash flows.

ASX:GNP Discounted Cash Flow as at Apr 2025
ASX:GNP Discounted Cash Flow as at Apr 2025

Lovisa Holdings (ASX:LOV)

Overview: Lovisa Holdings Limited operates in the retail sector, focusing on the sale of fashion jewelry and accessories, with a market capitalization of A$2.55 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue primarily comes from the retail sale of fashion jewelry and accessories, amounting to A$731.57 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 10.8%

Lovisa Holdings is trading at A$23.04, slightly below its fair value estimate of A$25.82, representing a modest undervaluation based on cash flows. The company reported half-year sales of A$405.93 million and net income of A$56.93 million, showing year-over-year growth. Earnings are forecast to grow at 15.7% annually, surpassing the Australian market's average growth rate of 11.8%. However, Lovisa faces legal challenges due to alleged staff underpayment issues from 2019-2025, which could impact future financials.

ASX:LOV Discounted Cash Flow as at Apr 2025
ASX:LOV Discounted Cash Flow as at Apr 2025

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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