Stock Analysis

Slowing Rates Of Return At Harvey Norman Holdings (ASX:HVN) Leave Little Room For Excitement

ASX:HVN
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If you're looking for a multi-bagger, there's a few things to keep an eye out for. Ideally, a business will show two trends; firstly a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an increasing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. So, when we ran our eye over Harvey Norman Holdings' (ASX:HVN) trend of ROCE, we liked what we saw.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Harvey Norman Holdings:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.16 = AU$1.0b ÷ (AU$7.2b - AU$990m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2022).

So, Harvey Norman Holdings has an ROCE of 16%. On its own, that's a standard return, however it's much better than the 14% generated by the Multiline Retail industry.

See our latest analysis for Harvey Norman Holdings

roce
ASX:HVN Return on Capital Employed January 5th 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Harvey Norman Holdings compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Harvey Norman Holdings here for free.

What Does the ROCE Trend For Harvey Norman Holdings Tell Us?

The trend of ROCE doesn't stand out much, but returns on a whole are decent. The company has employed 82% more capital in the last five years, and the returns on that capital have remained stable at 16%. Since 16% is a moderate ROCE though, it's good to see a business can continue to reinvest at these decent rates of return. Stable returns in this ballpark can be unexciting, but if they can be maintained over the long run, they often provide nice rewards to shareholders.

In Conclusion...

The main thing to remember is that Harvey Norman Holdings has proven its ability to continually reinvest at respectable rates of return. And since the stock has risen strongly over the last five years, it appears the market might expect this trend to continue. So even though the stock might be more "expensive" than it was before, we think the strong fundamentals warrant this stock for further research.

If you'd like to know more about Harvey Norman Holdings, we've spotted 2 warning signs, and 1 of them is a bit unpleasant.

While Harvey Norman Holdings may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Harvey Norman Holdings might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.