Stock Analysis

Baby Bunting Group (ASX:BBN) stock falls 10% in past week as one-year earnings and shareholder returns continue downward trend

ASX:BBN
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Taking the occasional loss comes part and parcel with investing on the stock market. Anyone who held Baby Bunting Group Limited (ASX:BBN) over the last year knows what a loser feels like. The share price is down a hefty 55% in that time. Notably, shareholders had a tough run over the longer term, too, with a drop of 42% in the last three years. Even worse, it's down 14% in about a month, which isn't fun at all.

With the stock having lost 10% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.

See our latest analysis for Baby Bunting Group

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

Unhappily, Baby Bunting Group had to report a 24% decline in EPS over the last year. This reduction in EPS is not as bad as the 55% share price fall. So it seems the market was too confident about the business, a year ago.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
ASX:BBN Earnings Per Share Growth May 26th 2023

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..

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A Different Perspective

Investors in Baby Bunting Group had a tough year, with a total loss of 54% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 3.9%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 8% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Baby Bunting Group you should be aware of.

Baby Bunting Group is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of growing companies with insider buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Australian exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Baby Bunting Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.