Stock Analysis

Here's Why We Think Centuria Capital Group (ASX:CNI) Might Deserve Your Attention Today

ASX:CNI
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The excitement of investing in a company that can reverse its fortunes is a big draw for some speculators, so even companies that have no revenue, no profit, and a record of falling short, can manage to find investors. Sometimes these stories can cloud the minds of investors, leading them to invest with their emotions rather than on the merit of good company fundamentals. Loss-making companies are always racing against time to reach financial sustainability, so investors in these companies may be taking on more risk than they should.

So if this idea of high risk and high reward doesn't suit, you might be more interested in profitable, growing companies, like Centuria Capital Group (ASX:CNI). While this doesn't necessarily speak to whether it's undervalued, the profitability of the business is enough to warrant some appreciation - especially if its growing.

View our latest analysis for Centuria Capital Group

How Quickly Is Centuria Capital Group Increasing Earnings Per Share?

The market is a voting machine in the short term, but a weighing machine in the long term, so you'd expect share price to follow earnings per share (EPS) outcomes eventually. Therefore, there are plenty of investors who like to buy shares in companies that are growing EPS. It certainly is nice to see that Centuria Capital Group has managed to grow EPS by 30% per year over three years. If the company can sustain that sort of growth, we'd expect shareholders to come away satisfied.

Careful consideration of revenue growth and earnings before interest and taxation (EBIT) margins can help inform a view on the sustainability of the recent profit growth. Unfortunately, Centuria Capital Group's revenue dropped 12% last year, but the silver lining is that EBIT margins improved from 45% to 49%. That's not a good look.

In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings and revenue, over time. For finer detail, click on the image.

earnings-and-revenue-history
ASX:CNI Earnings and Revenue History September 22nd 2024

The trick, as an investor, is to find companies that are going to perform well in the future, not just in the past. While crystal balls don't exist, you can check our visualization of consensus analyst forecasts for Centuria Capital Group's future EPS 100% free.

Are Centuria Capital Group Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

Investors are always searching for a vote of confidence in the companies they hold and insider buying is one of the key indicators for optimism on the market. That's because insider buying often indicates that those closest to the company have confidence that the share price will perform well. However, small purchases are not always indicative of conviction, and insiders don't always get it right.

With strong conviction, Centuria Capital Group insiders have stood united by refusing to sell shares over the last year. But the bigger deal is that the Independent Non-Executive Director, Joanne Dawson, paid AU$96k to buy shares at an average price of AU$1.92. Strong buying like that could be a sign of opportunity.

Along with the insider buying, another encouraging sign for Centuria Capital Group is that insiders, as a group, have a considerable shareholding. We note that their impressive stake in the company is worth AU$149m. Holders should find this level of insider commitment quite encouraging, since it would ensure that the leaders of the company would also experience their success, or failure, with the stock.

Is Centuria Capital Group Worth Keeping An Eye On?

For growth investors, Centuria Capital Group's raw rate of earnings growth is a beacon in the night. Better still, insiders own a large chunk of the company and one has even been buying more shares. Astute investors will want to keep this stock on watch. Still, you should learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Centuria Capital Group.

There are plenty of other companies that have insiders buying up shares. So if you like the sound of Centuria Capital Group, you'll probably love this curated collection of companies in AU that have an attractive valuation alongside insider buying in the last three months.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.