Stock Analysis

ASX Value Picks Genesis Minerals And 2 Stocks Possibly Trading Below Estimated Worth

As the Australian market continues to navigate a landscape marked by fluctuating interest rate expectations and sector-specific surges, investors are keenly assessing opportunities for value amidst the volatility. In this context, identifying stocks potentially trading below their estimated worth can be particularly rewarding, and Genesis Minerals along with two other promising picks may offer such prospects in today's dynamic environment.

Advertisement

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Australia

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Trajan Group Holdings (ASX:TRJ)A$0.84A$1.6549%
Resimac Group (ASX:RMC)A$1.135A$2.1847.9%
Reckon (ASX:RKN)A$0.63A$1.1946.9%
NRW Holdings (ASX:NWH)A$4.90A$9.2146.8%
MAAS Group Holdings (ASX:MGH)A$4.77A$9.2148.2%
Liontown Resources (ASX:LTR)A$1.135A$2.1045.9%
James Hardie Industries (ASX:JHX)A$34.66A$66.0047.5%
Genesis Minerals (ASX:GMD)A$7.02A$13.6248.5%
Cynata Therapeutics (ASX:CYP)A$0.235A$0.4446.1%
Airtasker (ASX:ART)A$0.36A$0.7149.5%

Click here to see the full list of 36 stocks from our Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Let's uncover some gems from our specialized screener.

Genesis Minerals (ASX:GMD)

Overview: Genesis Minerals Limited is involved in gold mining, project development, and exploration activities in Western Australia, with a market cap of A$8.02 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue of A$920.14 million from its activities in mineral production, exploration, and development.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 48.5%

Genesis Minerals is trading at A$7.02, significantly below its estimated fair value of A$13.62, indicating it is highly undervalued based on discounted cash flow analysis. The company has shown robust financial performance with earnings growing by 124.1% over the past year and revenue reaching A$920.14 million, up from A$438.59 million a year ago. Recent inclusion in the S&P/ASX 100 Index underscores its market relevance and potential for future growth in profitability and revenue.

ASX:GMD Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025
ASX:GMD Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025

Jumbo Interactive (ASX:JIN)

Overview: Jumbo Interactive Limited operates as an online and mobile retailer of lottery tickets across Australia, the United Kingdom, Canada, Fiji, and other international markets, with a market cap of A$758.82 million.

Operations: The company's revenue is derived from three primary segments: Managed Services (A$26.72 million), Lottery Retailing (A$108.05 million), and Software-As-A-Service (SaaS) (A$44.25 million).

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 45%

Jumbo Interactive, trading at A$12.17, is significantly undervalued with an estimated fair value of A$22.12 based on discounted cash flow analysis. The company has completed the acquisition of Dream Car Giveaways, potentially enhancing its revenue streams. Despite a slight decline in sales to A$145.29 million for the year ending June 2025, earnings are forecast to grow by 11.87% annually, outpacing the broader Australian market's growth rate of 5.9%.

ASX:JIN Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025
ASX:JIN Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025

Telix Pharmaceuticals (ASX:TLX)

Overview: Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company that develops and commercializes therapeutic and diagnostic radiopharmaceuticals, with a market cap of A$5.73 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue is derived from its Therapeutics segment, which generated $7.29 million, Precision Medicine contributing $575.13 million, and Manufacturing Solutions with $115.57 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 35.1%

Telix Pharmaceuticals is trading at A$16.94, significantly undervalued with a fair value estimate of A$26.09, based on discounted cash flow analysis. Recent revenue growth to A$206 million in Q3 2025 from A$135 million a year ago and upgraded annual revenue guidance to between A$800 million and A$820 million support its strong cash flow potential. However, debt coverage by operating cash flow remains a concern despite expected robust earnings growth of 47.62% annually over the next three years.

ASX:TLX Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025
ASX:TLX Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2025

Where To Now?

Ready To Venture Into Other Investment Styles?

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Telix Pharmaceuticals might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com