Stock Analysis

CSL Limited's (ASX:CSL) Earnings Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors

ASX:CSL
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 42.6x CSL Limited (ASX:CSL) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Australia have P/E ratios under 18x and even P/E's lower than 9x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

CSL has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for CSL

pe-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:CSL Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 2nd 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on CSL will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is CSL's Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as CSL's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 5.4%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 2.0% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 21% each year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 17% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we can see why CSL is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Final Word

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of CSL's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with CSL, and understanding should be part of your investment process.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on CSL, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether CSL is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ASX:CSL

CSL

CSL Limited researches, develops, manufactures, markets, and distributes biopharmaceutical and vaccines in Australia, the United States, Germany, the United Kingdom, Switzerland, China, and internationally.

Proven track record with adequate balance sheet.