Stock Analysis

South32 (ASX:S32) Has A Rock Solid Balance Sheet

ASX:S32
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, South32 Limited (ASX:S32) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for South32

How Much Debt Does South32 Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2021, South32 had US$487.0m of debt, up from US$421.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds US$2.12b in cash, so it actually has US$1.64b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:S32 Debt to Equity History March 8th 2022

How Strong Is South32's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, South32 had liabilities of US$1.52b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$2.82b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$2.12b and US$707.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$1.51b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Since publicly traded South32 shares are worth a very impressive total of US$18.2b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. While it does have liabilities worth noting, South32 also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

Even more impressive was the fact that South32 grew its EBIT by 516% over twelve months. If maintained that growth will make the debt even more manageable in the years ahead. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine South32's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. South32 may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, South32 actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Summing up

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that South32 has US$1.64b in net cash. The cherry on top was that in converted 102% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in US$1.5b. So is South32's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for South32 (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.