Stock Analysis

We Think Nagambie Resources (ASX:NAG) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Nagambie Resources Limited (ASX:NAG) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

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When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Nagambie Resources

What Is Nagambie Resources's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2020 Nagambie Resources had AU$4.53m of debt, an increase on AU$4.03m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of AU$2.24m, its net debt is less, at about AU$2.29m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:NAG Debt to Equity History March 15th 2021

How Strong Is Nagambie Resources' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Nagambie Resources had liabilities of AU$1.73m due within a year, and liabilities of AU$3.82m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of AU$2.24m and AU$88.4k worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by AU$3.22m.

Since publicly traded Nagambie Resources shares are worth a total of AU$27.5m, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Nagambie Resources's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Since Nagambie Resources has no significant operating revenue, shareholders probably hope it will develop a valuable new mine before too long.

Caveat Emptor

Over the last twelve months Nagambie Resources produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at AU$1.1m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled AU$1.8m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 6 warning signs for Nagambie Resources you should be aware of, and 3 of them are significant.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Nagambie Resources might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About ASX:NAG

Nagambie Resources

Explores for and develops gold and related minerals, and construction materials in Australia.

Slight risk and slightly overvalued.

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