Stock Analysis

Is IperionX (ASX:IPX) Using Debt Sensibly?

ASX:IPX
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies IperionX Limited (ASX:IPX) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for IperionX

What Is IperionX's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at December 2023 IperionX had debt of US$1.68m, up from US$33.7k in one year. But on the other hand it also has US$17.3m in cash, leading to a US$15.6m net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:IPX Debt to Equity History March 19th 2024

A Look At IperionX's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, IperionX had liabilities of US$2.63m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$1.24m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had US$17.3m in cash and US$2.70m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast US$16.2m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This surplus suggests that IperionX has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, IperionX boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine IperionX's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Given its lack of meaningful operating revenue, investors are probably hoping that IperionX finds some valuable resources, before it runs out of money.

So How Risky Is IperionX?

We have no doubt that loss making companies are, in general, riskier than profitable ones. And we do note that IperionX had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, over the last year. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of US$22m and booked a US$19m accounting loss. With only US$15.6m on the balance sheet, it would appear that its going to need to raise capital again soon. Even though its balance sheet seems sufficiently liquid, debt always makes us a little nervous if a company doesn't produce free cash flow regularly. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for IperionX (of which 2 are potentially serious!) you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether IperionX is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.