The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, DGR Global Limited (ASX:DGR) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
See our latest analysis for DGR Global
What Is DGR Global's Net Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at June 2022 DGR Global had debt of AU$3.12m, up from none in one year. However, it does have AU$2.58m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about AU$540.7k.
How Strong Is DGR Global's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that DGR Global had liabilities of AU$2.01m due within a year, and liabilities of AU$29.3m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had AU$2.58m in cash and AU$2.20m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling AU$26.5m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since DGR Global has a market capitalization of AU$66.8m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. Carrying virtually no net debt, DGR Global has a very light debt load indeed. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since DGR Global will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Over 12 months, DGR Global made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to AU$761k, which is a fall of 47%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.
Caveat Emptor
While DGR Global's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost AU$3.4m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Another cause for caution is that is bled AU$5.4m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 5 warning signs for DGR Global you should be aware of, and 4 of them are concerning.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:DGR
DGR Global
Engages in the exploration and development of mineral properties.
Moderate and slightly overvalued.