Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Citigold Corporation Limited (ASX:CTO) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Citigold
What Is Citigold's Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of December 2022 Citigold had AU$2.70m of debt, an increase on AU$1.09m, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of AU$608.6k, its net debt is less, at about AU$2.09m.
How Healthy Is Citigold's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Citigold had liabilities of AU$2.19m due within 12 months, and liabilities of AU$11.5m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of AU$608.6k as well as receivables valued at AU$391.0k due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling AU$12.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of AU$11.5m, we think shareholders really should watch Citigold's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Citigold's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
Since Citigold has no significant operating revenue, shareholders probably hope it will develop a valuable new mine before too long.
Caveat Emptor
Over the last twelve months Citigold produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. Its EBIT loss was a whopping AU$1.8m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. Not least because it burned through AU$1.8m in negative free cash flow over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock to be risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Citigold has 5 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About ASX:CTO
Citigold
Engages in the exploration and development of mineral resources in Australia.
Medium-low and slightly overvalued.