Stock Analysis

Individual investors who have a significant stake must be disappointed along with institutions after BHP Group Limited's (ASX:BHP) market cap dropped by AU$10b

ASX:BHP
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Key Insights

  • BHP Group's significant individual investors ownership suggests that the key decisions are influenced by shareholders from the larger public
  • The top 25 shareholders own 33% of the company
  • Insiders have sold recently

Every investor in BHP Group Limited (ASX:BHP) should be aware of the most powerful shareholder groups. The group holding the most number of shares in the company, around 60% to be precise, is individual investors. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk).

Following a 4.2% decrease in the stock price last week, individual investors suffered the most losses, but institutions who own 36% stock also took a hit.

In the chart below, we zoom in on the different ownership groups of BHP Group.

Check out our latest analysis for BHP Group

ownership-breakdown
ASX:BHP Ownership Breakdown January 21st 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About BHP Group?

Many institutions measure their performance against an index that approximates the local market. So they usually pay more attention to companies that are included in major indices.

BHP Group already has institutions on the share registry. Indeed, they own a respectable stake in the company. This suggests some credibility amongst professional investors. But we can't rely on that fact alone since institutions make bad investments sometimes, just like everyone does. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see BHP Group's historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
ASX:BHP Earnings and Revenue Growth January 21st 2024

We note that hedge funds don't have a meaningful investment in BHP Group. The company's largest shareholder is BlackRock, Inc., with ownership of 5.3%. In comparison, the second and third largest shareholders hold about 5.1% and 5.0% of the stock.

A deeper look at our ownership data shows that the top 25 shareholders collectively hold less than half of the register, suggesting a large group of small holders where no single shareholder has a majority.

While it makes sense to study institutional ownership data for a company, it also makes sense to study analyst sentiments to know which way the wind is blowing. Quite a few analysts cover the stock, so you could look into forecast growth quite easily.

Insider Ownership Of BHP Group

While the precise definition of an insider can be subjective, almost everyone considers board members to be insiders. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it.

Most consider insider ownership a positive because it can indicate the board is well aligned with other shareholders. However, on some occasions too much power is concentrated within this group.

Our information suggests that BHP Group Limited insiders own under 1% of the company. It is a very large company, so it would be surprising to see insiders own a large proportion of the company. Though their holding amounts to less than 1%, we can see that board members collectively own AU$53m worth of shares (at current prices). Arguably recent buying and selling is just as important to consider. You can click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling.

General Public Ownership

The general public -- including retail investors -- own 60% of BHP Group. This size of ownership gives investors from the general public some collective power. They can and probably do influence decisions on executive compensation, dividend policies and proposed business acquisitions.

Next Steps:

It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand BHP Group better, we need to consider many other factors. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for BHP Group (of which 1 is potentially serious!) you should know about.

But ultimately it is the future, not the past, that will determine how well the owners of this business will do. Therefore we think it advisable to take a look at this free report showing whether analysts are predicting a brighter future.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if BHP Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About ASX:BHP

BHP Group

Operates as a resources company in Australia, Europe, China, Japan, India, South Korea, the rest of Asia, North America, South America, and internationally.

Excellent balance sheet and good value.

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