BHP Group Limited

ASX:BHP Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$200.8b

BHP Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

BHP Group's revenue is forecast to decline at 3.1% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 6.1% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 4.5% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 19.5% in 3 years.

Key information

6.1%

Earnings growth rate

4.5%

EPS growth rate

Metals and Mining earnings growth10.5%
Revenue growth rate-3.1%
Future return on equity19.5%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated20 Dec 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Little Excitement Around BHP Group Limited's (ASX:BHP) Earnings

Nov 22
Little Excitement Around BHP Group Limited's (ASX:BHP) Earnings

Increases to BHP Group Limited's (ASX:BHP) CEO Compensation Might Cool off for now

Oct 23
Increases to BHP Group Limited's (ASX:BHP) CEO Compensation Might Cool off for now

Is There An Opportunity With BHP Group Limited's (ASX:BHP) 24% Undervaluation?

Oct 11
Is There An Opportunity With BHP Group Limited's (ASX:BHP) 24% Undervaluation?

Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of BHP Group Limited (ASX:BHP)

Jun 21
Estimating The Intrinsic Value Of BHP Group Limited (ASX:BHP)

Is BHP Group (ASX:BHP) A Risky Investment?

May 02
Is BHP Group (ASX:BHP) A Risky Investment?

A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From BHP Group Limited's (ASX:BHP) Share Price

Mar 19
A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From BHP Group Limited's (ASX:BHP) Share Price

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

ASX:BHP - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
6/30/202749,20311,2187,85017,85315
6/30/202650,88712,2008,98619,31717
6/30/202552,47111,8809,31019,40817
6/30/202456,0277,89711,39220,665N/A
3/31/202455,8427,64411,70420,740N/A
12/31/202355,6567,39112,01520,815N/A
9/30/202354,92010,15611,81719,758N/A
6/30/202354,18412,92111,61818,701N/A
3/31/202357,37815,57615,51322,184N/A
12/31/202260,56418,23119,40725,667N/A
9/30/202262,98819,23822,73528,921N/A
6/30/202265,41520,24526,06332,174N/A
3/31/202264,65718,08925,72231,658N/A
12/31/202163,90315,93225,38131,142N/A
9/30/202160,57913,73123,40629,188N/A
6/30/202157,25511,52921,43027,234N/A
3/31/202147,0339,23517,62222,434N/A
12/31/202044,9507,15610,86717,633N/A
9/30/202044,0877,5569,46716,670N/A
6/30/202039,1537,8489,53915,706N/A
3/31/202044,8128,7049,12316,873N/A
12/31/201945,8329,45210,17918,039N/A
9/30/201945,0609,04710,46417,955N/A
6/30/201944,5728,64110,74817,871N/A
3/31/201943,7128,739N/AN/AN/A
12/31/201843,6498,83612,02318,392N/A
9/30/201843,5187,73112,31618,427N/A
6/30/201843,1296,62612,60818,461N/A
3/31/201842,0725,580N/A17,456N/A
12/31/201737,6875,005N/A16,450N/A
9/30/201737,0165,684N/A16,627N/A
6/30/201735,9476,362N/A16,804N/A
3/31/201736,6824,189N/A14,933N/A
12/31/201634,6982,488N/A13,062N/A
9/30/201633,027-1,948N/A11,844N/A
6/30/201629,005-490N/A10,625N/A
3/31/201633,653-6,248N/A12,379N/A
12/31/201535,936-6,111N/A14,133N/A
9/30/201540,527-1,344N/A16,715N/A
6/30/201545,1243,422N/A19,296N/A
12/31/201448,4199,320N/A23,928N/A
9/30/201452,82111,442N/A24,646N/A
6/30/201457,31413,563N/A25,364N/A
3/31/201467,54714,365N/A25,102N/A
12/31/201367,87014,897N/A24,840N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: BHP's forecast earnings growth (6.1% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).

Earnings vs Market: BHP's earnings (6.1% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the Australian market (12.6% per year).

High Growth Earnings: BHP's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: BHP's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-3.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: BHP's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-3.1% per year).

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: BHP's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (19.5%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/21 21:07
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

BHP Group Limited is covered by 68 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Varun SikkaAlphaValue
David ColemanArgus Research Company
Ayan GhoshAvior Capital Markets