Stock Analysis

We Think Admiralty Resources (ASX:ADY) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

ASX:ADY
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Admiralty Resources NL (ASX:ADY) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Admiralty Resources

How Much Debt Does Admiralty Resources Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2021, Admiralty Resources had AU$12.6m of debt, up from AU$9.89m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has AU$1.23m in cash leading to net debt of about AU$11.4m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:ADY Debt to Equity History March 31st 2022

How Strong Is Admiralty Resources' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Admiralty Resources had liabilities of AU$11.3m falling due within a year, and liabilities of AU$2.03m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had AU$1.23m in cash and AU$965.8k in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling AU$11.1m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Admiralty Resources has a market capitalization of AU$19.6m, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Admiralty Resources will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Since Admiralty Resources has no significant operating revenue, shareholders probably hope it will develop a valuable new mine before too long.

Caveat Emptor

Importantly, Admiralty Resources had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost AU$756k at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through AU$1.2m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 5 warning signs we've spotted with Admiralty Resources (including 2 which make us uncomfortable) .

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.