Stock Analysis

ASX Value Picks Including Codan That Investors May Be Undervaluing

ASX:PNV
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The Australian market has shown resilience, with the XJO closing above 7,900 points recently, indicating a positive trend despite mixed performances across various sectors. In such an environment, identifying undervalued stocks like Codan can offer potential opportunities for investors looking to capitalize on discrepancies between market prices and intrinsic value.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Australia

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Acrow (ASX:ACF)A$1.06A$2.0047.1%
Domino's Pizza Enterprises (ASX:DMP)A$26.69A$52.0348.7%
Nido Education (ASX:NDO)A$0.845A$1.6047.2%
Capricorn Metals (ASX:CMM)A$8.21A$14.9945.2%
Kinatico (ASX:KYP)A$0.175A$0.3549.4%
Lotus Resources (ASX:LOT)A$0.20A$0.3948.6%
Charter Hall Group (ASX:CHC)A$16.78A$31.9247.4%
SciDev (ASX:SDV)A$0.45A$0.8244.8%
ReadyTech Holdings (ASX:RDY)A$2.60A$5.1249.2%
Adriatic Metals (ASX:ADT)A$4.52A$8.1744.7%

Click here to see the full list of 43 stocks from our Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Let's dive into some prime choices out of the screener.

Codan (ASX:CDA)

Overview: Codan Limited develops technology solutions for United Nations organizations, security and military groups, government departments, individuals, and small-scale miners with a market cap of A$2.84 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue is derived from its Communications segment, which generated A$360.27 million, and its Metal Detection segment, contributing A$224.90 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 10.9%

Codan is trading at A$15.63, below its estimated fair value of A$17.54, suggesting it may be undervalued based on cash flows. The company's earnings are forecast to grow 19.4% annually, outpacing the Australian market's 12.1%. Recent half-year results showed sales of A$305.62 million and net income of A$46.04 million, both up from the previous year, with basic earnings per share rising to A$0.254 from A$0.21.

ASX:CDA Discounted Cash Flow as at Mar 2025
ASX:CDA Discounted Cash Flow as at Mar 2025

Lotus Resources (ASX:LOT)

Overview: Lotus Resources Limited focuses on the exploration, evaluation, and development of uranium properties in Africa with a market cap of A$472.53 million.

Operations: Lotus Resources Limited does not currently report any revenue segments.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 48.6%

Lotus Resources is trading at A$0.20, significantly below its estimated fair value of A$0.39, indicating potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Despite a net loss of A$9.84 million for the half-year ending December 2024, revenue is forecast to grow substantially at 78% annually, surpassing market averages. The company anticipates profitability within three years with a high return on equity projected at 51.7%. Recent executive changes and project developments may impact future performance.

ASX:LOT Discounted Cash Flow as at Mar 2025
ASX:LOT Discounted Cash Flow as at Mar 2025

PolyNovo (ASX:PNV)

Overview: PolyNovo Limited designs, manufactures, and sells biodegradable medical devices across the United States, Australia, New Zealand, and internationally with a market cap of A$898.10 million.

Operations: The company's revenue segment focuses on the development, manufacturing, and commercialization of the NovoSorb Technology, generating A$115.58 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 38.5%

PolyNovo is trading at A$1.30, significantly below its estimated fair value of A$2.12, highlighting potential undervaluation based on cash flows. Recent earnings for the half-year ending December 2024 showed revenue growth to A$59.89 million from A$48.77 million year-on-year, with net income rising to A$3.34 million from A$2.69 million. Forecasts suggest robust annual profit growth of 40.5%, outpacing market averages, while return on equity is expected to reach 24.2% in three years.

ASX:PNV Discounted Cash Flow as at Mar 2025
ASX:PNV Discounted Cash Flow as at Mar 2025

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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