Lotus Resources Limited

ASX:LOT Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$425.3m

Lotus Resources Valuation

Is LOT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Book vs Peers

  • Price-To-Book vs Industry

  • Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LOT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
AU$1.86
Fair Value
90.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
5
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: LOT (A$0.18) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$1.86)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LOT is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LOT?

Key metric: As LOT barely has revenue we use its Price-To-Book Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Book ratio for LOT. This is calculated by dividing LOT's market cap by their current book value.
What is LOT's PB Ratio?
PB Ratio1.7x
BookAU$254.31m
Market CapAU$425.28m

Price to Book Ratio vs Peers

How does LOT's PB Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PB ratio for LOT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PBEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average1.8x
DYL Deep Yellow
1.8x-59.8%AU$1.1b
BMN Bannerman Energy
2.4x67.2%AU$450.8m
BKY Berkeley Energia
2.8xn/aAU$243.0m
TER TerraCom
0.3xn/aAU$48.1m
LOT Lotus Resources
1.7x56.3%AU$425.3m

Price-To-Book vs Peers: LOT is good value based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (1.7x) compared to the peer average (1.8x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Industry

How does LOT's PB Ratio compare vs other companies in the AU Oil and Gas Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / BookEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
ATS Australis Oil & Gas
0.1xn/aUS$6.69m
NHE Noble Helium
0.2x41.5%US$6.06m
BME Black Mountain Energy
0.07xn/aUS$2.00m
AUH AustChina Holdings
0.2xn/aUS$1.77m
LOT 1.7xIndustry Avg. 1.1xNo. of Companies13PB00.81.62.43.24+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Book vs Industry: LOT is expensive based on its Price-To-Book Ratio (1.7x) compared to the Australian Oil and Gas industry average (1.1x).

Price to Book Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LOT's PB Ratio compared to its Fair PB Ratio? This is the expected PB Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LOT PB Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PB Ratio1.7x
Fair PB Ration/a

Price-To-Book vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate LOT's Price-To-Book Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LOT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$0.18
AU$0.32
+79.4%
16.8%AU$0.38AU$0.22n/a5
Apr ’26AU$0.18
AU$0.43
+138.0%
34.4%AU$0.72AU$0.34n/a5
Mar ’26AU$0.17
AU$0.48
+174.6%
29.7%AU$0.72AU$0.37n/a4
Feb ’26AU$0.24
AU$0.53
+115.7%
22.7%AU$0.72AU$0.40n/a5
Jan ’26AU$0.20
AU$0.56
+180.2%
20.1%AU$0.72AU$0.42n/a4
Dec ’25AU$0.23
AU$0.56
+138.5%
20.1%AU$0.72AU$0.42n/a4
Nov ’25AU$0.27
AU$0.59
+122.8%
14.2%AU$0.72AU$0.50n/a4
Oct ’25AU$0.26
AU$0.56
+114.8%
20.4%AU$0.72AU$0.40n/a5
Sep ’25AU$0.23
AU$0.65
+183.9%
10.8%AU$0.72AU$0.54n/a4
Aug ’25AU$0.26
AU$0.65
+156.1%
10.8%AU$0.72AU$0.54n/a4
Jul ’25AU$0.33
AU$0.65
+97.9%
13.2%AU$0.75AU$0.54n/a4
Jun ’25AU$0.47
AU$0.65
+40.3%
13.2%AU$0.75AU$0.54n/a4
May ’25AU$0.45
AU$0.67
+48.9%
13.8%AU$0.75AU$0.54AU$0.173
Apr ’25AU$0.40
AU$0.64
+60.0%
21.1%AU$0.75AU$0.45AU$0.183
Mar ’25AU$0.34
AU$0.73
+113.0%
2.0%AU$0.75AU$0.72AU$0.172
Feb ’25AU$0.34
AU$0.52
+51.7%
26.9%AU$0.72AU$0.40AU$0.243
Jan ’25AU$0.28
AU$0.44
+56.1%
17.0%AU$0.53AU$0.35AU$0.203
Dec ’24AU$0.29
AU$0.44
+53.4%
17.0%AU$0.53AU$0.35AU$0.233
Nov ’24AU$0.27
AU$0.44
+67.9%
17.0%AU$0.53AU$0.35AU$0.273
Oct ’24AU$0.28
AU$0.44
+61.8%
17.0%AU$0.53AU$0.35AU$0.263
Sep ’24AU$0.22
AU$0.44
+101.0%
20.9%AU$0.53AU$0.35AU$0.232
Aug ’24AU$0.23
AU$0.44
+96.6%
20.9%AU$0.53AU$0.35AU$0.262
Jul ’24AU$0.18
AU$0.41
+124.3%
13.3%AU$0.47AU$0.36AU$0.332
Jun ’24AU$0.18
AU$0.35
+95.9%
2.1%AU$0.36AU$0.35AU$0.472
May ’24AU$0.20
AU$0.35
+80.9%
2.1%AU$0.36AU$0.35AU$0.452
AnalystConsensusTarget
Consensus Narrative from 5 Analysts
AU$0.32
Fair Value
44.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
5
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/05/02 03:14
End of Day Share Price 2025/05/02 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Lotus Resources Limited is covered by 6 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Regan BurrowsBell Potter
James BullenCanaccord Genuity
Mark WisemanMacquarie Research