Stock Analysis

Investors Give MC Mining Limited (ASX:MCM) Shares A 29% Hiding

ASX:MCM
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The MC Mining Limited (ASX:MCM) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 29%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 16% in that time.

After such a large drop in price, MC Mining's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.5x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Oil and Gas industry in Australia, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 7.1x and even P/S above 1073x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

See our latest analysis for MC Mining

ps-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:MCM Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 9th 2023

What Does MC Mining's Recent Performance Look Like?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at MC Mining over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for MC Mining, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is MC Mining's Revenue Growth Trending?

MC Mining's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 1.6%. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 8.7% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

It's interesting to note that the rest of the industry is similarly expected to grow by 3.6% over the next year, which is fairly even with the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it odd that MC Mining is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently some shareholders are more bearish than recent times would indicate and have been accepting lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From MC Mining's P/S?

Shares in MC Mining have plummeted and its P/S has followed suit. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

The fact that MC Mining currently trades at a low P/S relative to the industry is unexpected considering its recent three-year growth is in line with the wider industry forecast. When we see industry-like revenue growth but a lower than expected P/S, we assume potential risks are what might be placing downward pressure on the share price. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for MC Mining (2 shouldn't be ignored!) that we have uncovered.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether MC Mining is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.