Stock Analysis

There's No Escaping Liberty Financial Group Limited's (ASX:LFG) Muted Earnings

ASX:LFG
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 9.7x Liberty Financial Group Limited (ASX:LFG) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Australia have P/E ratios greater than 20x and even P/E's higher than 34x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Liberty Financial Group could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

See our latest analysis for Liberty Financial Group

pe-multiple-vs-industry
ASX:LFG Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 14th 2025
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Liberty Financial Group.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Liberty Financial Group's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 36% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 38% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 13% per annum during the coming three years according to the five analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 19% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Liberty Financial Group's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Final Word

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Liberty Financial Group maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Liberty Financial Group you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.