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Dividend Investors: Don't Be Too Quick To Buy Credit Corp Group Limited (ASX:CCP) For Its Upcoming Dividend
Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see Credit Corp Group Limited (ASX:CCP) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next 4 days. You will need to purchase shares before the 1st of March to receive the dividend, which will be paid on the 12th of March.
Credit Corp Group's upcoming dividend is AU$0.36 a share, following on from the last 12 months, when the company distributed a total of AU$0.72 per share to shareholders. Looking at the last 12 months of distributions, Credit Corp Group has a trailing yield of approximately 2.2% on its current stock price of A$32.65. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. We need to see whether the dividend is covered by earnings and if it's growing.
See our latest analysis for Credit Corp Group
If a company pays out more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Credit Corp Group distributed an unsustainably high 126% of its profit as dividends to shareholders last year. Without extenuating circumstances, we'd consider the dividend at risk of a cut.
When a company pays out a dividend that is not well covered by profits, the dividend is generally seen as more vulnerable to being cut.
Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.
Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?
Businesses with shrinking earnings are tricky from a dividend perspective. If earnings fall far enough, the company could be forced to cut its dividend. With that in mind, we're discomforted by Credit Corp Group's 19% per annum decline in earnings in the past five years. When earnings per share fall, the maximum amount of dividends that can be paid also falls.
Credit Corp Group also issued more than 5% of its market cap in new stock during the past year, which we feel is likely to hurt its dividend prospects in the long run. Trying to grow the dividend while issuing large amounts of new shares reminds us of the ancient Greek tale of Sisyphus - perpetually pushing a boulder uphill.
The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. Credit Corp Group has delivered 22% dividend growth per year on average over the past 10 years. That's intriguing, but the combination of growing dividends despite declining earnings can typically only be achieved by paying out a larger percentage of profits. Credit Corp Group is already paying out 126% of its profits, and with shrinking earnings we think it's unlikely that this dividend will grow quickly in the future.
The Bottom Line
Is Credit Corp Group worth buying for its dividend? Earnings per share are in decline and Credit Corp Group is paying out what we feel is an uncomfortably high percentage of its profit as dividends. It's not that we hate the business, but we feel that these characeristics are not desirable for investors seeking a reliable dividend stock to own for the long term. This is not an overtly appealing combination of characteristics, and we're just not that interested in this company's dividend.
So if you're still interested in Credit Corp Group despite it's poor dividend qualities, you should be well informed on some of the risks facing this stock. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 5 warning signs for Credit Corp Group you should know about.
A common investment mistake is buying the first interesting stock you see. Here you can find a list of promising dividend stocks with a greater than 2% yield and an upcoming dividend.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About ASX:CCP
Credit Corp Group
Engages in the provision of debt ledger purchase and collection, and consumer lending services in Australia, New Zealand, and the United States.
Fair value with moderate growth potential.