What You Can Learn From IDP Education Limited's (ASX:IEL) P/E After Its 26% Share Price Crash

Simply Wall St

IDP Education Limited (ASX:IEL) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 50% in that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, given close to half the companies in Australia have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 17x, you may still consider IDP Education as a stock to avoid entirely with its 27.7x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

IDP Education hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for IDP Education

ASX:IEL Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 5th 2025
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on IDP Education.

Is There Enough Growth For IDP Education?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as IDP Education's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 42% decrease to the company's bottom line. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 58% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 22% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 15% per year growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that IDP Education's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Bottom Line On IDP Education's P/E

Even after such a strong price drop, IDP Education's P/E still exceeds the rest of the market significantly. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of IDP Education's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - IDP Education has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than IDP Education. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if IDP Education might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.