Stock Analysis

ASX Stocks Estimated To Be Trading Below Intrinsic Value In October 2024

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In the current Australian market landscape, the ASX200 has experienced a slight decline, closing down 0.25% at 8,160 points, while gold prices have surged to record highs as investors seek safety amidst global uncertainties. Despite these fluctuations across sectors like IT and Staples, discerning investors continue to search for opportunities in stocks that may be trading below their intrinsic value. Identifying such undervalued stocks can offer potential advantages when navigating periods of market volatility and sector-specific challenges.

Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Australia

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
DUG Technology (ASX:DUG)A$1.86A$3.5547.6%
Telix Pharmaceuticals (ASX:TLX)A$20.93A$41.5649.6%
Westgold Resources (ASX:WGX)A$3.22A$6.2548.5%
IDP Education (ASX:IEL)A$13.93A$27.3649.1%
Ingenia Communities Group (ASX:INA)A$4.82A$9.3748.6%
Millennium Services Group (ASX:MIL)A$1.145A$2.2448.9%
Genesis Minerals (ASX:GMD)A$2.45A$4.7848.8%
Megaport (ASX:MP1)A$7.00A$13.3847.7%
Audinate Group (ASX:AD8)A$9.35A$17.7847.4%
Energy One (ASX:EOL)A$5.53A$11.0650%

Click here to see the full list of 44 stocks from our Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

We're going to check out a few of the best picks from our screener tool.

Flight Centre Travel Group (ASX:FLT)

Overview: Flight Centre Travel Group Limited offers travel retailing services for both leisure and corporate clients across various regions including Australia, New Zealand, the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia, and globally with a market cap of A$3.51 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue is derived from two main segments: Leisure, contributing A$1.35 billion, and Corporate, generating A$1.11 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 39.4%

Flight Centre Travel Group is trading at A$15.98, significantly below its estimated fair value of A$26.38, suggesting it may be undervalued based on cash flows. Earnings grew by 194.2% over the past year and are forecast to grow 19.4% annually, outpacing the Australian market's growth rate of 12.5%. Despite an unstable dividend track record, strong cash reserves support potential acquisitions and organic growth in specialist travel sectors, enhancing future revenue streams and profitability prospects.

ASX:FLT Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024

Mader Group (ASX:MAD)

Overview: Mader Group Limited is a contracting company that offers specialist technical services in the mining, energy, and industrial sectors both in Australia and internationally, with a market cap of A$1.28 billion.

Operations: The company generates revenue of A$774.47 million from its Staffing & Outsourcing Services segment, focusing on providing specialized technical services across various sectors.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 42%

Mader Group, trading at A$6.07, is considerably undervalued with an estimated fair value of A$10.47. The company experienced a notable 30.9% earnings growth last year and forecasts a revenue increase to at least A$870 million for fiscal 2025, up from A$774.5 million in fiscal 2024. Despite significant insider selling recently, Mader's earnings are projected to grow faster than the Australian market's average rate, supporting its potential as an undervalued investment based on cash flows.

ASX:MAD Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024

Megaport (ASX:MP1)

Overview: Megaport Limited offers on-demand interconnection and internet exchange services to enterprises and service providers across regions including Australia, New Zealand, Hong Kong, Singapore, Japan, North America, Italy, and the rest of Europe with a market cap of A$1.14 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue is derived from three main segments: Europe (A$31.88 million), Asia-Pacific (A$52.58 million), and North America (A$110.81 million).

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 47.7%

Megaport, trading at A$7, is significantly undervalued with a fair value estimate of A$13.38. The company became profitable this year, reporting net income of A$9.61 million compared to a loss previously. Its earnings are expected to grow significantly faster than the Australian market average over the next three years. Recent expansions in Europe and Italy enhance its service reach and customer base, positioning Megaport for continued revenue growth despite slower-than-ideal projections.

ASX:MP1 Discounted Cash Flow as at Oct 2024

Key Takeaways

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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