Flight Centre Travel Group Limited

ASX:FLT Stock Report

Market Cap: AU$3.6b

Flight Centre Travel Group Valuation

Is FLT undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of FLT when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: FLT (A$16.24) is trading below our estimate of fair value (A$25.87)

Significantly Below Fair Value: FLT is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for FLT?

Key metric: As FLT is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for FLT. This is calculated by dividing FLT's market cap by their current earnings.
What is FLT's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio25.7x
EarningsAU$139.64m
Market CapAU$3.58b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does FLT's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for FLT vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.8x
CTD Corporate Travel Management
21.8x12.1%AU$1.8b
WEB Web Travel Group
23.9x18.7%AU$1.8b
HLO Helloworld Travel
10x9.0%AU$306.9m
EBG Eumundi Group
23.4xn/aAU$84.6m
FLT Flight Centre Travel Group
25.7x19.0%AU$3.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: FLT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x) compared to the peer average (19.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does FLT's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Oceanian Hospitality Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FLT 25.7xIndustry Avg. 20.3xNo. of Companies3PE01224364860+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: FLT is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x) compared to the Global Hospitality industry average (20.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is FLT's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

FLT PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio25.7x
Fair PE Ratio29.7x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: FLT is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.7x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst FLT forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentAU$16.24
AU$20.50
+26.2%
11.9%AU$25.72AU$16.65n/a16
Dec ’25AU$17.51
AU$20.50
+17.1%
11.9%AU$25.72AU$16.65n/a16
Nov ’25AU$15.73
AU$21.48
+36.6%
11.8%AU$25.72AU$16.65n/a17
Oct ’25AU$22.21
AU$23.94
+7.8%
12.0%AU$30.15AU$20.00n/a17
Sep ’25AU$20.97
AU$23.94
+14.2%
12.0%AU$30.15AU$20.00n/a17
Aug ’25AU$21.83
AU$23.60
+8.1%
12.2%AU$28.96AU$19.50n/a17
Jul ’25AU$19.82
AU$22.66
+14.3%
11.8%AU$27.27AU$18.30n/a17
Jun ’25AU$18.85
AU$22.73
+20.6%
11.7%AU$27.27AU$18.30n/a17
May ’25AU$20.88
AU$22.73
+8.9%
11.7%AU$27.27AU$18.30n/a17
Apr ’25AU$21.85
AU$22.84
+4.5%
11.0%AU$27.27AU$19.00n/a17
Mar ’25AU$21.82
AU$22.84
+4.7%
11.0%AU$27.27AU$19.00n/a17
Feb ’25AU$21.29
AU$22.57
+6.0%
11.0%AU$27.37AU$18.00n/a16
Jan ’25AU$20.36
AU$22.49
+10.5%
11.6%AU$27.37AU$18.00n/a15
Dec ’24AU$18.22
AU$22.31
+22.5%
12.1%AU$27.68AU$18.00AU$17.5117
Nov ’24AU$18.47
AU$23.18
+25.5%
12.2%AU$27.68AU$18.00AU$15.7317
Oct ’24AU$19.38
AU$23.28
+20.1%
12.2%AU$27.68AU$18.00AU$22.2117
Sep ’24AU$21.21
AU$22.85
+7.7%
14.5%AU$27.68AU$16.10AU$20.9717
Aug ’24AU$23.12
AU$22.01
-4.8%
14.6%AU$26.40AU$16.10AU$21.8317
Jul ’24AU$19.05
AU$21.11
+10.8%
15.2%AU$26.25AU$16.10AU$19.8216
Jun ’24AU$21.35
AU$20.76
-2.8%
16.9%AU$26.25AU$16.10AU$18.8516
May ’24AU$20.16
AU$18.99
-5.8%
11.2%AU$22.60AU$16.00AU$20.8815
Apr ’24AU$18.48
AU$18.67
+1.0%
9.9%AU$21.50AU$16.00AU$21.8516
Mar ’24AU$18.80
AU$18.67
-0.7%
9.9%AU$21.50AU$16.00AU$21.8216
Feb ’24AU$17.11
AU$17.65
+3.2%
11.7%AU$21.50AU$13.71AU$21.2916
Jan ’24AU$14.49
AU$17.55
+21.1%
14.0%AU$23.50AU$13.10AU$20.3616
Dec ’23AU$16.06
AU$17.41
+8.4%
14.1%AU$23.50AU$13.10AU$18.2215

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/21 04:08
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2024/06/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Flight Centre Travel Group Limited is covered by 34 analysts. 16 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Russell WrightAPP Securities Pty Ltd.
Russell WrightBarclay Pearce Capital Pty Limited
Matthew RyanBarrenjoey Markets Pty Limited