Stock Analysis

3 ASX Stocks Estimated To Be Trading Up To 40.9% Below Intrinsic Value

ASX:FLT
Source: Shutterstock

The Australian market has shown mixed performance with the ASX 200 closing up slightly at 8,361 points, driven by gains in the IT and Materials sectors, while Utilities lagged significantly. In such a fluctuating environment, identifying undervalued stocks can offer potential opportunities for investors seeking to capitalize on discrepancies between market prices and intrinsic values.

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Top 10 Undervalued Stocks Based On Cash Flows In Australia

NameCurrent PriceFair Value (Est)Discount (Est)
Smart Parking (ASX:SPZ)A$0.895A$1.7448.5%
Elders (ASX:ELD)A$6.16A$11.3945.9%
Austal (ASX:ASB)A$5.22A$9.1242.8%
Charter Hall Group (ASX:CHC)A$17.81A$33.8847.4%
Polymetals Resources (ASX:POL)A$0.825A$1.5446.4%
SciDev (ASX:SDV)A$0.365A$0.6846%
Integral Diagnostics (ASX:IDX)A$2.41A$4.2443.1%
Nuix (ASX:NXL)A$2.41A$4.0840.9%
PointsBet Holdings (ASX:PBH)A$1.10A$2.0746.7%
Superloop (ASX:SLC)A$2.61A$4.4841.7%

Click here to see the full list of 38 stocks from our Undervalued ASX Stocks Based On Cash Flows screener.

Let's explore several standout options from the results in the screener.

ALS (ASX:ALQ)

Overview: ALS Limited offers professional technical services focused on testing, measurement, and inspection across various regions including Africa, Asia/Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and the Americas with a market cap of A$8.55 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue is derived from its Commodities segment, generating A$1.08 billion, and its Life Sciences Excluding Nuvisan segment, contributing A$1.63 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 28.9%

ALS Limited is trading at A$17.64, significantly below its estimated fair value of A$24.8, making it undervalued based on discounted cash flow analysis. Despite a high level of debt and reduced profit margins (0.2% from 11.1%), ALS's earnings are projected to grow substantially at 24.9% annually, outpacing the Australian market's growth rate of 11.8%. The recent appointment of Catharine Farrow as a Non-Executive Director may enhance strategic governance and innovation efforts.

ASX:ALQ Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2025
ASX:ALQ Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2025

Flight Centre Travel Group (ASX:FLT)

Overview: Flight Centre Travel Group Limited offers travel retailing services for both leisure and corporate sectors across Australia, New Zealand, the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia, and other international markets with a market cap of A$2.90 billion.

Operations: The company's revenue is derived from two main segments: Leisure, which accounts for A$1.38 billion, and Corporate, contributing A$1.13 billion.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 37.2%

Flight Centre Travel Group is trading at A$13.18, well below its estimated fair value of A$21, highlighting its undervaluation based on discounted cash flow analysis. Despite profit margins declining from 6% to 4.1%, earnings are expected to grow significantly at 23.65% annually, surpassing the Australian market's growth rate of 11.8%. The company has initiated a share buyback program worth A$200 million, funded by cash reserves, which could enhance shareholder value further.

ASX:FLT Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2025
ASX:FLT Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2025

Nuix (ASX:NXL)

Overview: Nuix Limited offers investigative analytics and intelligence software solutions across various regions, including the Asia Pacific, the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa, with a market cap of A$797.07 million.

Operations: The company's revenue is primarily derived from its Software & Programming segment, which generated A$227.37 million.

Estimated Discount To Fair Value: 40.9%

Nuix is trading at A$2.41, significantly below its estimated fair value of A$4.08, indicating a strong undervaluation based on discounted cash flow analysis. Its earnings are forecast to grow substantially at 53.98% annually, and the company is expected to become profitable within three years, outperforming average market growth expectations. Recently added to the S&P/ASX 200 Index, Nuix's revenue growth rate of 15.3% per year surpasses the Australian market average of 5.6%.

ASX:NXL Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2025
ASX:NXL Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2025

Key Takeaways

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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About ASX:FLT

Flight Centre Travel Group

Provides travel retailing services for the leisure and corporate sectors in Australia, New Zealand, the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia, and internationally.

Very undervalued with high growth potential.

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