Stock Analysis

Here's Why We Think Coles Group (ASX:COL) Is Well Worth Watching

ASX:COL
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It's common for many investors, especially those who are inexperienced, to buy shares in companies with a good story even if these companies are loss-making. Sometimes these stories can cloud the minds of investors, leading them to invest with their emotions rather than on the merit of good company fundamentals. While a well funded company may sustain losses for years, it will need to generate a profit eventually, or else investors will move on and the company will wither away.

Despite being in the age of tech-stock blue-sky investing, many investors still adopt a more traditional strategy; buying shares in profitable companies like Coles Group (ASX:COL). Even if this company is fairly valued by the market, investors would agree that generating consistent profits will continue to provide Coles Group with the means to add long-term value to shareholders.

See our latest analysis for Coles Group

How Fast Is Coles Group Growing Its Earnings Per Share?

Even with very modest growth rates, a company will usually do well if it improves earnings per share (EPS) year after year. So EPS growth can certainly encourage an investor to take note of a stock. Over the last year, Coles Group increased its EPS from AU$0.78 to AU$0.84. That's a modest gain of 8.2%.

One way to double-check a company's growth is to look at how its revenue, and earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) margins are changing. EBIT margins for Coles Group remained fairly unchanged over the last year, however the company should be pleased to report its revenue growth for the period of 7.5% to AU$44b. That's encouraging news for the company!

In the chart below, you can see how the company has grown earnings and revenue, over time. To see the actual numbers, click on the chart.

earnings-and-revenue-history
ASX:COL Earnings and Revenue History January 7th 2025

You don't drive with your eyes on the rear-view mirror, so you might be more interested in this free report showing analyst forecasts for Coles Group's future profits.

Are Coles Group Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

We would not expect to see insiders owning a large percentage of a AU$25b company like Coles Group. But we are reassured by the fact they have invested in the company. Indeed, they hold AU$49m worth of its stock. That's a lot of money, and no small incentive to work hard. Even though that's only about 0.2% of the company, it's enough money to indicate alignment between the leaders of the business and ordinary shareholders.

It's good to see that insiders are invested in the company, but are remuneration levels reasonable? A brief analysis of the CEO compensation suggests they are. Our analysis has discovered that the median total compensation for the CEOs of companies like Coles Group, with market caps over AU$13b, is about AU$6.7m.

Coles Group offered total compensation worth AU$4.7m to its CEO in the year to June 2024. That comes in below the average for similar sized companies and seems pretty reasonable. CEO remuneration levels are not the most important metric for investors, but when the pay is modest, that does support enhanced alignment between the CEO and the ordinary shareholders. It can also be a sign of good governance, more generally.

Should You Add Coles Group To Your Watchlist?

As previously touched on, Coles Group is a growing business, which is encouraging. Earnings growth might be the main attraction for Coles Group, but the fun does not stop there. With a meaningful level of insider ownership, and reasonable CEO pay, a reasonable mind might conclude that this is one stock worth watching. If you think Coles Group might suit your style as an investor, you could go straight to its annual report, or you could first check our discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation for the company.

While opting for stocks without growing earnings and absent insider buying can yield results, for investors valuing these key metrics, here is a carefully selected list of companies in AU with promising growth potential and insider confidence.

Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.