Stock Analysis

Babylon Pump & Power (ASX:BPP) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

ASX:BPP
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Babylon Pump & Power Limited (ASX:BPP) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

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How Much Debt Does Babylon Pump & Power Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Babylon Pump & Power had AU$11.4m in debt in December 2023; about the same as the year before. However, it does have AU$379.4k in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about AU$11.0m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
ASX:BPP Debt to Equity History June 8th 2024

A Look At Babylon Pump & Power's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Babylon Pump & Power had liabilities of AU$19.9m due within 12 months, and liabilities of AU$5.92m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of AU$379.4k as well as receivables valued at AU$6.88m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling AU$18.6m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of AU$12.5m, we think shareholders really should watch Babylon Pump & Power's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While Babylon Pump & Power has a quite reasonable net debt to EBITDA multiple of 1.8, its interest cover seems weak, at 1.1. The main reason for this is that it has such high depreciation and amortisation. These charges may be non-cash, so they could be excluded when it comes to paying down debt. But the accounting charges are there for a reason -- some assets are seen to be losing value. Either way there's no doubt the stock is using meaningful leverage. Notably, Babylon Pump & Power made a loss at the EBIT level, last year, but improved that to positive EBIT of AU$1.9m in the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Babylon Pump & Power will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Babylon Pump & Power actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last year. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

To be frank both Babylon Pump & Power's level of total liabilities and its track record of covering its interest expense with its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that Babylon Pump & Power's debt is making it a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Babylon Pump & Power is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 3 of those can't be ignored...

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.