Stock Analysis

Erste Group Bank (VIE:EBS) Is Increasing Its Dividend To €2.70

WBAG:EBS
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Erste Group Bank AG's (VIE:EBS) dividend will be increasing from last year's payment of the same period to €2.70 on 29th of May. This takes the dividend yield to 6.4%, which shareholders will be pleased with.

See our latest analysis for Erste Group Bank

Erste Group Bank's Dividend Forecasted To Be Well Covered By Earnings

While it is great to have a strong dividend yield, we should also consider whether the payment is sustainable.

Having distributed dividends for at least 10 years, Erste Group Bank has a long history of paying out a part of its earnings to shareholders. Past distributions do not necessarily guarantee future ones, but Erste Group Bank's payout ratio of 40% is a good sign as this means that earnings decently cover dividends.

EPS is set to fall by 6.6% over the next 3 years. Fortunately, analysts forecast the future payout ratio to be 46% over the same time horizon, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

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WBAG:EBS Historic Dividend April 5th 2024

Dividend Volatility

The company's dividend history has been marked by instability, with at least one cut in the last 10 years. Since 2014, the dividend has gone from €0.20 total annually to €2.70. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 30% over that duration. Despite the rapid growth in the dividend over the past number of years, we have seen the payments go down the past as well, so that makes us cautious.

The Dividend Looks Likely To Grow

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Erste Group Bank has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 13% per annum. Growth in EPS bodes well for the dividend, as does the low payout ratio that the company is currently reporting.

We Really Like Erste Group Bank's Dividend

In summary, it is always positive to see the dividend being increased, and we are particularly pleased with its overall sustainability. The distributions are easily covered by earnings, and there is plenty of cash being generated as well. If earnings do fall over the next 12 months, the dividend could be buffeted a little bit, but we don't think it should cause too much of a problem in the long term. All in all, this checks a lot of the boxes we look for when choosing an income stock.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Erste Group Bank (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.