Americana Restaurants International's (ADX:AMR) Soft Earnings Don't Show The Whole Picture
Americana Restaurants International PLC's (ADX:AMR) earnings announcement last week didn't impress shareholders. However, our analysis suggests that the soft headline numbers are getting counterbalanced by some positive underlying factors.
Examining Cashflow Against Americana Restaurants International's Earnings
One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
Americana Restaurants International has an accrual ratio of -2.12 for the year to March 2025. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of US$384m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of US$163.4m. Americana Restaurants International's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On Americana Restaurants International's Profit Performance
Happily for shareholders, Americana Restaurants International produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Because of this, we think Americana Restaurants International's underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! Unfortunately, though, its earnings per share actually fell back over the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. If you'd like to know more about Americana Restaurants International as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Americana Restaurants International you should be aware of.
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Americana Restaurants International's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.