Americana Restaurants International Valuation

Is AMR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AMR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AMR (AED2.24) is trading above our estimate of fair value (AED2.2)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AMR is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AMR?

Key metric: As AMR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for AMR. This is calculated by dividing AMR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is AMR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	34.2x
Earnings	US$150.15m
Market Cap	US$5.13b

AMR key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	2.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	19.9x
PEG Ratio	2.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does AMR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for AMR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	18.1x
ADNHC ADNH Catering	15.4x	n/a	د.إ2.1b
ADNH Abu Dhabi National Hotels Company PJSC	5.5x	-19.0%	د.إ7.2b
ALEFEDT Alef Education Holding	19.1x	12.1%	د.إ8.3b
NCTH National Corporation for Tourism and Hotels	32.4x	n/a	د.إ2.2b
AMR Americana Restaurants International	34.2x	16.6%	د.إ18.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: AMR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.2x) compared to the peer average (18.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does AMR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Hospitality Industry?

23 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

23 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: AMR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.2x) compared to the Asian Hospitality industry average (20.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AMR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AMR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	34.2x
Fair PE Ratio	21.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: AMR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (34.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.5x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AMR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	د.إ2.24	د.إ3.02 +34.9%	13.4%	د.إ3.49	د.إ2.25	n/a	9
Nov ’25	د.إ2.28	د.إ3.18 +39.6%	15.4%	د.إ4.01	د.إ2.25	n/a	9
Oct ’25	د.إ2.61	د.إ3.17 +21.6%	14.3%	د.إ4.01	د.إ2.55	n/a	8
Sep ’25	د.إ2.90	د.إ3.37 +16.4%	11.5%	د.إ4.01	د.إ2.55	n/a	8
Aug ’25	د.إ3.05	د.إ3.49 +14.4%	9.7%	د.إ4.11	د.إ2.89	n/a	8
Jul ’25	د.إ3.15	د.إ3.43 +8.8%	8.2%	د.إ3.72	د.إ2.89	n/a	7
Jun ’25	د.إ3.24	د.إ3.43 +5.7%	8.2%	د.إ3.72	د.إ2.89	n/a	7
May ’25	د.إ3.33	د.إ3.46 +3.9%	7.8%	د.إ3.75	د.إ3.00	n/a	7
Apr ’25	د.إ3.27	د.إ3.46 +5.8%	7.8%	د.إ3.75	د.إ3.00	n/a	7
Mar ’25	د.إ3.41	د.إ3.46 +1.5%	7.8%	د.إ3.75	د.إ3.00	n/a	7
Feb ’25	د.إ3.14	د.إ3.75 +19.4%	11.6%	د.إ4.43	د.إ3.00	n/a	7
Jan ’25	د.إ3.13	د.إ4.18 +33.6%	7.0%	د.إ4.55	د.إ3.57	n/a	7
Dec ’24	د.إ3.36	د.إ4.18 +24.4%	7.0%	د.إ4.55	د.إ3.57	n/a	7
Nov ’24	د.إ3.63	د.إ4.37 +20.3%	4.7%	د.إ4.55	د.إ3.96	د.إ2.28	7
Oct ’24	د.إ4.10	د.إ4.37 +6.6%	4.4%	د.إ4.55	د.إ3.96	د.إ2.61	8
Sep ’24	د.إ4.42	د.إ4.37 -1.1%	4.4%	د.إ4.55	د.إ3.96	د.إ2.90	8
Aug ’24	د.إ3.87	د.إ4.25 +9.9%	5.2%	د.إ4.55	د.إ3.91	د.إ3.05	8
Jul ’24	د.إ4.23	د.إ4.19 -0.9%	5.1%	د.إ4.55	د.إ3.91	د.إ3.15	8
Jun ’24	د.إ3.93	د.إ4.16 +6.0%	5.9%	د.إ4.55	د.إ3.76	د.إ3.24	8
May ’24	د.إ3.90	د.إ4.16 +6.7%	6.0%	د.إ4.55	د.إ3.76	د.إ3.33	7
Apr ’24	د.إ3.81	د.إ4.00 +5.0%	6.1%	د.إ4.40	د.إ3.68	د.إ3.27	6
Mar ’24	د.إ3.60	د.إ3.86 +7.3%	4.1%	د.إ4.10	د.إ3.68	د.إ3.41	4
Feb ’24	د.إ3.42	د.إ3.79 +10.7%	3.4%	د.إ4.00	د.إ3.68	د.إ3.14	4

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.