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The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Stock Price

NasdaqGS:CAKE Community·US$3.9b Market Cap
  • 4 Narratives written by author
  • 1 Comments on narratives written by author
  • 117 Fair Values set on narratives written by author

CAKE Share Price Performance

US$80.35
18.10 (29.08%)
US$75.00
Fair Value
US$80.35
18.10 (29.08%)
7.1% overvalued intrinsic discount
US$75.00
Fair Value
Price US$80.35
AnalystHighTarget US$75.00
Zwfis US$73.83
AnalystLowTarget US$52.24

CAKE Community Narratives

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Fair Value US$75 7.1% overvalued intrinsic discount

Menus, Digital Adoption And Urbanization Will Fuel Expansion

0users have liked this narrative
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2users have followed this narrative
Fair Value
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Fair Value US$73.83 8.8% overvalued intrinsic discount

Cheesecake Factory offers an enticing opportunity for long-term growth by leveraging new concepts

13users have liked this narrative
1users have commented on this narrative
33users have followed this narrative
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Fair Value US$52.24 53.8% overvalued intrinsic discount

Overvaluation And Rising Costs Will Threaten Dine-In Traffic

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0users have commented on this narrative
5users have followed this narrative
US$73.83
8.8% overvalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Revenue
14.51% p.a.
Profit Margin
4.33%
Future PE
18.91x
Price in 2028
US$97.27
US$64.44
24.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
5.94% p.a.
Profit Margin
5.71%
Future PE
17.01x
Price in 2029
US$85.14
US$75
7.1% overvalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
6.8% p.a.
Profit Margin
5.61%
Future PE
18.52x
Price in 2028
US$100.42

Trending Discussion

Updated Narratives

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Cheesecake Factory offers an enticing opportunity for long-term growth by leveraging new concepts

Fair Value: US$73.83 8.8% overvalued intrinsic discount
33 users have set this as their fair value
1 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
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CAKE: Elevated P/E Will Test Resilience To Macro Headwinds In 2026

Fair Value: US$52.24 53.8% overvalued intrinsic discount
5 users have set this as their fair value
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
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CAKE: Higher P/E Assumptions Will Support 2026 Outlook Execution

Fair Value: US$64.44 24.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
35 users have set this as their fair value
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Snowflake Analysis

Average dividend payer with acceptable track record.

2 Risks
2 Rewards

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Key Details

US$3.8b

Revenue

US$2.3b

Cost of Revenue

US$1.5b

Gross Profit

US$1.4b

Other Expenses

US$165.0m

Earnings

Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Reporting Earnings
n/a
3.32
40.50%
4.34%
137.4%
View Full Analysis

About CAKE

Founded
1972
Employees
48400
CEO
David Overton
WebsiteView website
www.thecheesecakefactory.com

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated operates and licenses restaurants in the United States and Canada. It operates bakeries that produce cheesecakes and other baked products for its restaurants, international licensees, third-party bakery customers, external foodservice operators, retailers, and distributors. The company operates restaurants under the brands comprising The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, Flower Child, and Fox Restaurant Concepts. The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Calabasas, California.

Recent CAKE News & Updates

Seeking Alpha Jun 24

Cheesecake Factory: Rebounding Comps In A Tough Environment (Upgrade)

Summary Cheesecake Factory is upgraded to "Buy" after a robust Q1 and ~50% YTD rally, driven by positive comps and disciplined expansion. CAKE’s differentiated large-format model and $12 million AUVs support a long-term TAM of $8.5 billion versus $3.2 billion current sales. Carryout sales now comprise 22% of revenue, and margin performance remains strong despite inflationary pressures and sector volatility. Valuation at 19.1x FY26 P/E and 17.3x FY27 P/E offers upside versus peers, especially with comps and unit growth outpacing sector averages. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Jun 23

CAKE: Elevated P/E Will Test Resilience To Macro Headwinds In 2026

The updated analyst price target for Cheesecake Factory moves slightly lower by about $0.20 to reflect a modestly reduced fair value estimate, even as analysts cite steady execution, relatively low employee turnover, and restrained casual dining supply growth as key supports for the stock. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Cheesecake Factory reflects a mix of cautious and more constructive views, with price targets and ratings moving in both directions.
Analysis Article Jun 19

Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) Stock Could Be 19.8% Overvalued After Flat Same Store Sales

Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) is back in focus after recent quarterly results that paired solid headline figures with flat same store sales, raising questions about demand trends, revenue growth expectations, and the company’s higher net debt burden. See our latest analysis for Cheesecake Factory. Cheesecake Factory’s recent quarterly results have arrived alongside a sharp shift in sentiment, with the stock’s 30 day share price return of 28.0% and year to date gain of 46.2% pointing to...

Recent updates

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