Consumer Services U.S. Community
Our community narratives are driven by numbers and valuation.
Consumer Services U.S. Investing Ideas
Asset-Light but Valuation-Heavy: A Fundamental Breakdown of Marriott ($MAR)
1. Business Model (How Marriott makes money) Marriott’s actual business is not about owning or building hotels; it acts as a global brand and technology platform that leverages an "Asset-Light" strategy.Read more
McDonald's - A Fundamental and Historical Valuation
Business Overview Key Metrics Total: 9.5/17 +2 ✅✅ Projected Operating Margin: 51.49% +0 ⚠️ Projected 5-Year Revenue CAGR: 4.42% +2 ✅✅ Last 5-Year ROIC: 26.37% +1 ✅ Estimated Cost of Capital: 8.44% (less than ROIC) +1 ✅ Last 5-Year Shares Outstanding CAGR: -1.20% -1 ❌ Projected 5-Year EPS CAGR: 7.98% (given the ease of manipulating earnings metrics, sub-10% growth warrants caution) +0 ⚠️ Projected 5-Year Dividend CAGR: 6.08% +0.5 ✅ Moody's Rating: Baa1 +2 ✅✅ Morningstar Moat: Wide +2 ✅✅ Morningstar Uncertainty: Low McDonald's is unique. Its fast food franchise has taken the world by storm (for a long time now) and its "tasteful" uniqueness and wide moat is shown on its stellar projected operating margins of around ~50%.Read more
Beat down stock due for revaluation in '26
PENN's stock has been a disaster for years. EV is way down.Read more
Marriott International (MAR): Why Global Brands Still Win the Modern Traveler
Marriott International (NASDAQ: MAR) has quietly become one of the most resilient names in global travel. While headlines often focus on airlines or online booking platforms, Marriott sits at the center of the hospitality ecosystem — benefiting from asset-light management contracts, global brand recognition, and a loyalty program that keeps travelers returning across continents.Read more
Despite short-term challenges, Chipotle is well positioned for sustainable long-term growth.
O Futuro da Chipotle Mexican Grill: Uma Jornada de Resiliência e Expansão No final de 2025, a Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) encontra-se num ponto de viragem. Após um ano desafiante marcado por pressões macroeconómicas, declínio no tráfego de clientes e uma revisão em baixa das projeções de vendas comparáveis (que passaram de crescimento low-to-mid single digit para um declínio low single digit), a empresa demonstra sinais de recuperação.Read more
Airbnb (ABNB): Still one of the most interesting bets in travel
Key insights Airbnb is changing from a travel-only app to a full lifestyle platform (stays, rentals, experiences) International markets are growing faster than the US, which is slowing down Product experience is improving a lot, with AI making search and booking easier Regulations are becoming a big risk, especially in Europe where listings are getting removed The way people move around the world has changed. It’s not only about holidays anymore.Read more
Cheap if able to sustain revenue, and a potential bargain if able to turn store openings into revenue growth
Conservative valuation of $24.28 based on sustained revenues of ~RMB3bn/quarter. Potential upside if growth in store openings realises additional revenue.Read more
Aureus Greenway Holdings braves challenges with a bold 7% profit margin surge
I see real potential here.With a strong leader like Stephen Ching Ping Cheung holding significant equity—both in common and preferred shares—it’s clear he’s deeply invested in Aureus Greenway Holdings' long-term vision. The possibility of issuing warrants and executing a reverse split isn’t a setback; it’s a smart move to strengthen the capital structure, support Nasdaq compliance, and attract institutional attention.if warrants are priced right and exercised, it means fresh capital flows into the company, expanding its growth capacity.Read more
Cheesecake Factory offers an enticing opportunity for long-term growth by leveraging new concepts
The Cheesecake Factory is a stock that I believe most people do not understand it's actual potential; or really what makes this stock so attractive for long term growth. Here is a brief description of the company according to Benzinga: "Cheesecake Factory Inc owns and operates restaurants in the United States and Canada under brands that include The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, and a collection within the Fox Restaurants Concepts subsidiary.Read more
