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The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Stock Price

NasdaqGS:CAKE Community·US$4.3b Market Cap
  • 4 Narratives written by author
  • 1 Comments on narratives written by author
  • 117 Fair Values set on narratives written by author

CAKE Share Price Performance

US$86.11
22.20 (34.74%)
US$67.47
Fair Value
US$86.11
22.20 (34.74%)
27.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
US$67.47
Fair Value
Price US$86.11
AnalystConsensusTarget US$67.47
Zwfis US$73.83
AnalystLowTarget US$52.24

CAKE Community Narratives

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Fair Value US$67.47 27.6% overvalued intrinsic discount

CAKE: Share Repurchase Program And Brand Resilience Will Drive Positive Momentum

1users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
35users have followed this narrative
Fair Value
·
Fair Value US$73.83 16.6% overvalued intrinsic discount

Cheesecake Factory offers an enticing opportunity for long-term growth by leveraging new concepts

13users have liked this narrative
1users have commented on this narrative
33users have followed this narrative
·
Fair Value US$52.24 64.8% overvalued intrinsic discount

Overvaluation And Rising Costs Will Threaten Dine-In Traffic

0users have liked this narrative
0users have commented on this narrative
5users have followed this narrative
US$73.83
16.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Revenue
14.51% p.a.
Profit Margin
4.33%
Future PE
18.91x
Price in 2028
US$97.27
US$52.24
64.8% overvalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
5.76% p.a.
Profit Margin
5.85%
Future PE
12.92x
Price in 2029
US$68.92
US$75
14.8% overvalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
6.8% p.a.
Profit Margin
5.61%
Future PE
18.52x
Price in 2028
US$100.42

Trending Discussion

No trending discussion available.

Updated Narratives

CAKE logo

Cheesecake Factory offers an enticing opportunity for long-term growth by leveraging new concepts

Fair Value: US$73.83 16.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
33 users have set this as their fair value
1 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
CAKE logo

CAKE: Peer Multiple Expansion Will Likely Limit Forward Return Potential

Fair Value: US$67.47 27.6% overvalued intrinsic discount
35 users have set this as their fair value
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
CAKE logo

CAKE: Elevated P/E Will Test Resilience To Macro Headwinds In 2026

Fair Value: US$52.24 64.8% overvalued intrinsic discount
5 users have set this as their fair value
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Snowflake Analysis

Average dividend payer with acceptable track record.

2 Risks
2 Rewards

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Key Details

US$3.8b

Revenue

US$2.3b

Cost of Revenue

US$1.5b

Gross Profit

US$1.4b

Other Expenses

US$165.0m

Earnings

Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Reporting Earnings
Jul 28, 2026
3.32
40.50%
4.34%
137.4%
View Full Analysis

About CAKE

Founded
1972
Employees
48400
CEO
David Overton
WebsiteView website
www.thecheesecakefactory.com

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated operates and licenses restaurants in the United States and Canada. It operates bakeries that produce cheesecakes and other baked products for its restaurants, international licensees, third-party bakery customers, external foodservice operators, retailers, and distributors. The company operates restaurants under the brands comprising The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, Flower Child, and Fox Restaurant Concepts. The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Calabasas, California.

Recent CAKE News & Updates

Seeking Alpha Jul 14

Cheesecake Factory's Strategy Could Backfire (Rating Downgrade)

Summary The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated has reported a solid margin turnaround in the past couple of years. CAKE's margin turnaround strategy, based on price increases and labor efficiencies, seems futile as traffic is on a decline. Ambitious restaurant expansion weakens CAKE's free cash flow, but looks to generate quite poor capital returns. I estimate CAKE stock to have -35% downside to $53.9. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Jul 08

CAKE: Peer Multiple Expansion Will Likely Limit Forward Return Potential

The analyst price target for Cheesecake Factory has been revised from $64.44 to $67.47, with analysts citing broader casual dining peer multiple expansion and steady execution as the key drivers of their updated view. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Cheesecake Factory points to a cluster of price target revisions and rating changes that center on how the stock is valued against casual dining peers and how consistently the company is executing in a tougher macro backdrop.

Recent updates

No updates