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The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Stock Price

NasdaqGS:CAKE Community·US$3.2b Market Cap
  • 4 Narratives written by author
  • 1 Comments on narratives written by author
  • 117 Fair Values set on narratives written by author

CAKE Share Price Performance

US$63.84
7.14 (12.59%)
US$75.00
Fair Value
US$63.84
7.14 (12.59%)
14.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
US$75.00
Fair Value
Price US$63.84
AnalystHighTarget US$75.00
Zwfis US$73.83
AnalystLowTarget US$52.46

CAKE Community Narratives

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Fair Value US$75 14.9% undervalued intrinsic discount

Menus, Digital Adoption And Urbanization Will Fuel Expansion

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2users have followed this narrative
Fair Value
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Fair Value US$73.83 13.5% undervalued intrinsic discount

Cheesecake Factory offers an enticing opportunity for long-term growth by leveraging new concepts

13users have liked this narrative
1users have commented on this narrative
33users have followed this narrative
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Fair Value US$52.46 21.7% overvalued intrinsic discount

Overvaluation And Rising Costs Will Threaten Dine-In Traffic

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5users have followed this narrative
US$73.83
13.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
Fair Value
Revenue
14.51% p.a.
Profit Margin
4.33%
Future PE
18.91x
Price in 2028
US$97.27
US$64.44
0.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
5.94% p.a.
Profit Margin
5.71%
Future PE
17.01x
Price in 2029
US$85.14
US$75
14.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
Revenue
6.8% p.a.
Profit Margin
5.61%
Future PE
18.52x
Price in 2028
US$100.42

Trending Discussion

Updated Narratives

CAKE logo

Cheesecake Factory offers an enticing opportunity for long-term growth by leveraging new concepts

Fair Value: US$73.83 13.5% undervalued intrinsic discount
33 users have set this as their fair value
1 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
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CAKE: Elevated P/E Leaves Little Cushion For 2026 Execution Missteps

Fair Value: US$52.46 21.7% overvalued intrinsic discount
5 users have set this as their fair value
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
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CAKE: Higher P/E Assumptions Will Support 2026 Outlook Execution

Fair Value: US$64.44 0.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
35 users have set this as their fair value
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Snowflake Analysis

Average dividend payer and fair value.

3 Risks
4 Rewards

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated Key Details

US$3.8b

Revenue

US$2.3b

Cost of Revenue

US$1.5b

Gross Profit

US$1.4b

Other Expenses

US$165.0m

Earnings

Last Reported Earnings
Mar 31, 2026
Next Reporting Earnings
n/a
3.32
40.50%
4.34%
137.4%
View Full Analysis

About CAKE

Founded
1972
Employees
48400
CEO
David Overton
WebsiteView website
www.thecheesecakefactory.com

The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated operates and licenses restaurants in the United States and Canada. It operates bakeries that produce cheesecakes and other baked products for its restaurants, international licensees, third-party bakery customers, external foodservice operators, retailers, and distributors. The company operates restaurants under the brands comprising The Cheesecake Factory, North Italia, Flower Child, and Fox Restaurant Concepts. The Cheesecake Factory Incorporated was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Calabasas, California.

Recent CAKE News & Updates

Narrative Update Jun 03

CAKE: Elevated P/E Leaves Little Cushion For 2026 Execution Missteps

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Cheesecake Factory slightly higher, from $51.81 to $52.46. The change reflects updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E following a series of price target increases and one reduction across recent research reports.
Seeking Alpha May 21

Cheesecake Factory: Scenes From An Italian Restaurant

Summary The Cheesecake Factory (CAKE) remains a 'Hold' as recent double-beat results failed to generate market enthusiasm or reveal near-term catalysts. North Italia's lagging performance and declining margins are a drag, with traffic down 6% and unit-level EBITDA dropping to $1.09 million. Flower Child delivered a standout 10% same-store sales increase, but its portfolio weight is too small to materially shift CAKE's outlook. Guidance remains steady, with FY 2026 sales targeted at $3.91B and a fair value estimate near $60 per share, matching current market levels. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update May 10

CAKE: Elevated P/E And 2026 Execution Risks Will Constrain Returns

Analysts have lifted the fair value estimate for Cheesecake Factory stock by about $1.81 to $51.81, as recent price target revisions cite updated models following Q4 results, ongoing 2026 outlook assumptions, and adjustments to P/E expectations. Analyst Commentary Recent research has centered on how Cheesecake Factory's valuation lines up with its updated 2026 outlook and the mixed tone around the latest Q4 results.

Recent updates

No updates