Grocery Outlet Holding Toekomstige groei
Future criteriumcontroles 3/6
Grocery Outlet Holding zal naar verwachting groeien in winst en omzet met respectievelijk 95.6% en 4.6% per jaar. De winst per aandeel zal naar verwachting groeien met 116.4% per jaar. Het rendement op het eigen vermogen zal over 3 jaar naar verwachting 6.1% zijn.
Belangrijke informatie
95.6%
Groei van de winst
116.38%
Groei van de winst per aandeel
| Consumer Retailing winstgroei | 9.3% |
| Inkomstengroei | 4.6% |
| Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen | 6.09% |
| Dekking van analisten | Good |
| Laatst bijgewerkt | 01 Jun 2026 |
Recente toekomstige groei-updates
Recent updates
Narratiefupdate • May 27
GO: Impairment Charges And Lower Future P/E Will Drive Bearish Outlook
Analysts have cut their price target on Grocery Outlet Holding by roughly $5 per share. They cited updated assumptions that point to slower revenue growth, a higher discount rate, stronger profit margins, and a substantially lower future P/E of about 6x compared with earlier expectations near 22x.Seeking Alpha • May 23
Grocery Outlet Holding: Reiterate Sell Rating Given No Signs Of Strong Recovery Yet
Summary Grocery Outlet Holding remains a Sell as core store performance and margins remain weak despite improved traffic. GO's Q1 saw CSS decline 1%, average transaction size fall 3.1%, and adjusted EBITDA margin drop to 3.7%. Promotions and opportunistic product mix lifted traffic, but profitability and basket size have not recovered, undermining the value proposition. Store closures and a slower refresh program highlight execution risks; no near-term catalysts justify a valuation re-rate. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narratiefupdate • May 05
GO: Store Closures And Legal Overhang Will Shape Balanced Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Grocery Outlet Holding to $7.62. This reflects slightly lower assumptions for the discount rate and revenue growth, along with a minor change in profit margin and future P/E expectations.Narratiefupdate • Apr 20
GO: Store Closures And Legal Overhang Will Temper Food Desert Upside Potential
Analysts have adjusted their price view on Grocery Outlet Holding, with the implied fair value holding at about $7.62. Updates to the discount rate and future P/E assumptions reflect a more refined risk and earnings outlook rather than a major shift in fundamentals.
Narratiefupdate • Apr 06
GO: Store Optimization And New Openings Will Support Long-Term Upside Potential
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Grocery Outlet Holding to about $10.31 from roughly $12.24. This reflects updated assumptions for slightly lower revenue growth and P/E expectations, which are partly offset by a higher projected profit margin.Narratiefupdate • Mar 23
GO: Virginia Food Desert Expansion Will Support Future Upside Potential
Analysts cut their price target on Grocery Outlet Holding from $13.65 to $7.62 as they now apply a higher discount rate, factor in more modest revenue growth and profit margins, and use a lower future P/E assumption in their models. What's in the News Class action lawsuit filed in the U.S. District Court for the Northern District of California alleges misleading statements about store expansion, growth, and restructuring plans, following Fiscal Year 2025 results that did not meet guidance and an earnings call discussing the closure of 36 underperforming stores (Key Developments).Narratiefupdate • Mar 08
GO: Future Store Openings Will Support Long-Term Upside Potential
Analysts now estimate Grocery Outlet Holding's fair value at about $12.24 per share, reduced from roughly $19.77. This change reflects updated views on the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E assumptions.Narratiefupdate • Feb 22
GO: Virginia Food Desert Expansion And Deep Discounts Will Support Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Grocery Outlet Holding from about $14.12 to around $13.65, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rate, modest revenue growth expectations, slightly adjusted profit margin forecasts, and a lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.Narratiefupdate • Feb 07
GO: Virginia Expansion And Discount Model Will Support Long Term Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Grocery Outlet Holding slightly to align with an updated fair value of about $14.12. This reflects small tweaks to assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E.Analyseartikel • Feb 04
These 4 Measures Indicate That Grocery Outlet Holding (NASDAQ:GO) Is Using Debt Extensively
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Narratiefupdate • Jan 24
GO: Future Expansion And Higher P/E Expectations Will Support Bullish Outlook
Analysts have kept their price target on Grocery Outlet Holding unchanged, reflecting updated assumptions that combine slightly higher revenue growth expectations with lower profit margin estimates and a higher future P/E multiple. What's in the News Grocery Outlet is entering Virginia with a new store in Falls Church, scheduled to open on February 12, 2026.Narratiefupdate • Jan 10
GO: Higher Future P/E Will Support Upside Despite Softer Guidance
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Grocery Outlet Holding slightly lower to about $14.35 per share from around $14.79, citing updated assumptions for discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. What's in the News The company reported that, from June 29, 2025 to September 27, 2025, it repurchased 0 shares for $0 million, while completing a total of 4,371,397 shares repurchased for $90.7 million under the buyback first announced on November 9, 2021 (Key Developments).Narratiefupdate • Dec 26
GO: Higher Future Multiple Will Support Long-Term Upside Despite Softer Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Grocery Outlet Holding from approximately $17.15 to $14.79 per share. They cite slightly weaker expectations for revenue growth and profit margins, which are only partially offset by a higher projected future price-to-earnings multiple and marginally increased discount rate assumptions.Narratiefupdate • Dec 12
GO: Future Outlook Will Balance Moderated Guidance With Margin Improvement Expectations
Analysts have trimmed their price target on Grocery Outlet Holding by approximately $1.00 per share. This reflects a slightly higher discount rate and more conservative revenue growth expectations, partly offset by improved margin assumptions and a lower projected future P E multiple.Analyseartikel • Nov 14
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.'s (NASDAQ:GO) Stock Retreats 28% But Revenues Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. ( NASDAQ:GO ) share price has dived 28% in the...Narratiefupdate • Nov 01
GO: Rising Sales Outlook And Buybacks Will Support Earnings Momentum
Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Grocery Outlet Holding, reflecting updated assumptions on discount rates while maintaining steady projections for revenue growth and profit margins. What's in the News Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.Narratiefupdate • Oct 17
Consumer Trends Will Constrain Margins But Spur Efficiency
Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Grocery Outlet Holding, increasing it from $16.62 to $17.15. This change is based on minor updates to growth and valuation metrics.Narratiefupdate • Oct 03
Consumer Trends Will Constrain Margins But Spur Efficiency
Analysts have modestly increased their price target for Grocery Outlet Holding from $16.15 to $16.62. This reflects slight positive updates to fair value and profit margin projections.Analyseartikel • Aug 07
Even With A 40% Surge, Cautious Investors Are Not Rewarding Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.'s (NASDAQ:GO) Performance Completely
NasdaqGS:GO 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Grocery Outlet Holding's Fair Values from the Community and select...Analyseartikel • Jul 18
Here's Why Grocery Outlet Holding (NASDAQ:GO) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analyseartikel • Jun 29
We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Grocery Outlet Holding (NASDAQ:GO)
If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...Analyseartikel • May 14
Some Investors May Be Willing To Look Past Grocery Outlet Holding's (NASDAQ:GO) Soft Earnings
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.'s ( NASDAQ:GO ) earnings announcement last week didn't impress shareholders. However, our...Analyseartikel • May 09
Earnings Update: Here's Why Analysts Just Lifted Their Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (NASDAQ:GO) Price Target To US$15.62
It's been a mediocre week for Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. ( NASDAQ:GO ) shareholders, with the stock dropping 10% to...Analyseartikel • Apr 25
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.'s (NASDAQ:GO) 30% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. ( NASDAQ:GO ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced...Analyseartikel • Apr 17
Grocery Outlet Holding (NASDAQ:GO) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...Analyseartikel • Mar 26
Slowing Rates Of Return At Grocery Outlet Holding (NASDAQ:GO) Leave Little Room For Excitement
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...Seeking Alpha • Mar 10
Grocery Outlet Q4: The New CEO Has A Lot Of Work Ahead Of Him
Summary Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.'s Q4 earnings showed a sales increase to $1.1B, but EPS missed estimates, and gross margins declined due to inventory shrinkage. The company's financial position is concerning, with a high debt load and an interest coverage ratio below the desired threshold. Management's 2025 outlook disappointed investors, leading to a significant decline in share price and a cautious approach to future performance. I recommend a hold rating, as the new CEO has much to prove, and operational improvements are needed before considering a buy. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaAnalyseartikel • Feb 28
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
One of the biggest stories of last week was how Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. ( NASDAQ:GO ) shares plunged 26% in the...Analyseartikel • Feb 27
More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.'s (NASDAQ:GO) Shares After Tumbling 35%
To the annoyance of some shareholders, Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. ( NASDAQ:GO ) shares are down a considerable 35% in...Winst- en omzetgroeiprognoses
| Datum | Inkomsten | Inkomsten | Vrije kasstroom | Geldmiddelen uit operationele activiteiten | Gem. Aantal analisten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 5,139 | 32 | N/A | 178 | 6 |
| 12/31/2027 | 4,875 | 45 | 24 | 335 | 14 |
| 12/31/2026 | 4,660 | -157 | -4 | 222 | 14 |
| 4/4/2026 | 4,730 | -382 | 4 | 216 | N/A |
| 1/3/2026 | 4,689 | -225 | 2 | 222 | N/A |
| 9/27/2025 | 4,571 | -4 | -52 | 189 | N/A |
| 6/28/2025 | 4,511 | 8 | -51 | 195 | N/A |
| 3/29/2025 | 4,460 | 17 | -60 | 163 | N/A |
| 12/28/2024 | 4,372 | 39 | -95 | 112 | N/A |
| 9/28/2024 | 4,263 | 51 | -102 | 100 | N/A |
| 6/29/2024 | 4,159 | 54 | -10 | 196 | N/A |
| 3/30/2024 | 4,041 | 65 | 23 | 224 | N/A |
| 12/30/2023 | 3,969 | 79 | 111 | 303 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 3,910 | 81 | 142 | 322 | N/A |
| 7/1/2023 | 3,825 | 72 | 97 | 258 | N/A |
| 4/1/2023 | 3,712 | 67 | 84 | 237 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 3,578 | 65 | 38 | 186 | N/A |
| 10/1/2022 | 3,430 | 56 | 27 | 164 | N/A |
| 7/2/2022 | 3,281 | 55 | 35 | 165 | N/A |
| 4/2/2022 | 3,159 | 55 | 45 | 176 | N/A |
| 1/1/2022 | 3,080 | 62 | 32 | 166 | N/A |
| 10/2/2021 | 3,104 | 80 | 88 | 224 | N/A |
| 7/3/2021 | 3,099 | 103 | 30 | 176 | N/A |
| 4/3/2021 | 3,127 | 113 | 1 | 140 | N/A |
| 1/2/2021 | 3,135 | 107 | 50 | 181 | N/A |
| 9/26/2020 | 2,983 | 92 | 12 | 128 | N/A |
| 6/27/2020 | 2,872 | 64 | 72 | 183 | N/A |
| 3/28/2020 | 2,714 | 24 | N/A | 178 | N/A |
| 12/28/2019 | 2,560 | 15 | N/A | 133 | N/A |
| 9/28/2019 | 2,489 | 1 | N/A | 125 | N/A |
| 6/29/2019 | 2,414 | -4 | N/A | 90 | N/A |
| 3/30/2019 | 2,343 | 14 | N/A | 97 | N/A |
| 12/29/2018 | 2,288 | 16 | N/A | 106 | N/A |
| 12/30/2017 | 2,075 | 21 | N/A | 85 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 1,832 | 10 | N/A | 71 | N/A |
Toekomstige groeivoorspellingen analisten
Verdiensten versus spaarpercentage: Er wordt voorspeld dat GO de komende 3 jaar winstgevend zal worden, wat wordt beschouwd als een snellere groei dan de spaarquote ( 3.5% ).
Winst versus markt: Er wordt verwacht dat GO de komende 3 jaar winstgevend zal worden. Dit wordt gezien als een groei die boven het gemiddelde van de markt ligt.
Hoge groeiwinsten: Er wordt verwacht dat GO binnen 3 jaar winstgevend zal worden.
Omzet versus markt: De omzet van GO ( 4.6% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan de markt US ( 11.8% per jaar).
Hoge groei-inkomsten: De omzet van GO ( 4.6% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan 20% per jaar.
Groeiprognoses winst per aandeel
Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen
Toekomstige ROE: Het rendement op eigen vermogen GO zal naar verwachting over 3 jaar laag zijn ( 6.1 %).
Ontdek groeibedrijven
Bedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens
| Gegevens | Laatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd) |
|---|---|
| Bedrijfsanalyse | 2026/06/08 16:46 |
| Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag | 2026/06/08 00:00 |
| Inkomsten | 2026/04/04 |
| Jaarlijkse inkomsten | 2026/01/03 |
Gegevensbronnen
De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.
| Pakket | Gegevens | Tijdframe | Voorbeeld Amerikaanse bron * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financiële gegevens bedrijf | 10 jaar |
| |
| Consensus schattingen analisten | +3 jaar |
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| Marktprijzen | 30 jaar |
| |
| Eigendom | 10 jaar |
| |
| Beheer | 10 jaar |
| |
| Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen | 10 jaar |
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* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.
Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.
Analysemodel en Snowflake
Details van het analysemodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina. We hebben ook handleidingen over hoe je onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.
Leer meer over het team van wereldklasse dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.
Industrie en sector
Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.
Bronnen van analisten
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. wordt gevolgd door 15 analisten. 14 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.
| Analist | Instelling |
|---|---|
| Brian McNamara | Berenberg |
| Robert Ohmes | BofA Global Research |
| Jeremy Hamblin | Craig-Hallum Capital Group LLC |