Stock Analysis

We Like These Underlying Return On Capital Trends At Grocery Outlet Holding (NASDAQ:GO)

NasdaqGS:GO
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If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. So when we looked at Grocery Outlet Holding (NASDAQ:GO) and its trend of ROCE, we really liked what we saw.

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Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on Grocery Outlet Holding is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.039 = US$114m ÷ (US$3.3b - US$389m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2025).

Thus, Grocery Outlet Holding has an ROCE of 3.9%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Consumer Retailing industry average of 11%.

Check out our latest analysis for Grocery Outlet Holding

roce
NasdaqGS:GO Return on Capital Employed June 29th 2025

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Grocery Outlet Holding compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Grocery Outlet Holding .

What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us

We're glad to see that ROCE is heading in the right direction, even if it is still low at the moment. Over the last five years, returns on capital employed have risen substantially to 3.9%. The company is effectively making more money per dollar of capital used, and it's worth noting that the amount of capital has increased too, by 36%. This can indicate that there's plenty of opportunities to invest capital internally and at ever higher rates, a combination that's common among multi-baggers.

The Bottom Line

To sum it up, Grocery Outlet Holding has proven it can reinvest in the business and generate higher returns on that capital employed, which is terrific. Given the stock has declined 70% in the last five years, this could be a good investment if the valuation and other metrics are also appealing. So researching this company further and determining whether or not these trends will continue seems justified.

One more thing, we've spotted 2 warning signs facing Grocery Outlet Holding that you might find interesting.

While Grocery Outlet Holding isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.