Grocery Outlet Holding Future Growth
Future criteria checks 2/6
Grocery Outlet Holding is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 19.8% and 8.4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 14.9% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 6.9% in 3 years.
Key information
19.8%
Earnings growth rate
14.9%
EPS growth rate
Consumer Retailing earnings growth | 10.4% |
Revenue growth rate | 8.4% |
Future return on equity | 6.9% |
Analyst coverage | Good |
Last updated | 19 Dec 2024 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
We Think Grocery Outlet Holding (NASDAQ:GO) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
Dec 17Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.'s (NASDAQ:GO) 26% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up
Nov 27Grocery Outlet Holding: No Signs Of SSS And Gross Margin Improvement Anytime Soon
Nov 07Slowing Rates Of Return At Grocery Outlet Holding (NASDAQ:GO) Leave Little Room For Excitement
Nov 04Grocery Outlet Holding (NASDAQ:GO) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
Aug 22Grocery Outlet Holding: Poor SSS Growth Outlook For The Near Term
Aug 21Grocery Outlet: Q2, Profitability Has Started Normalizing
Aug 08With Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (NASDAQ:GO) It Looks Like You'll Get What You Pay For
Aug 02The Returns At Grocery Outlet Holding (NASDAQ:GO) Aren't Growing
Jul 15Grocery Outlet Holding: Remain Sell Rated As SSS Outlook Is Still Uncertain
May 30Market Participants Recognise Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.'s (NASDAQ:GO) Earnings
Apr 18Grocery Outlet Holding (NASDAQ:GO) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
Mar 28Grocery Outlet Holding: Very Negative On This UGO Acquisition In The Near Term
Mar 15Results: Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. Beat Earnings Expectations And Analysts Now Have New Forecasts
Mar 02Grocery Outlet Offers A Novel Business Model And Growth
Feb 01Grocery Outlet Holding (NASDAQ:GO) May Have Issues Allocating Its Capital
Jan 17Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.'s (NASDAQ:GO) Share Price Not Quite Adding Up
Dec 27Here's Why Grocery Outlet Holding (NASDAQ:GO) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Dec 06Is There An Opportunity With Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.'s (NASDAQ:GO) 48% Undervaluation?
Oct 07Capital Allocation Trends At Grocery Outlet Holding (NASDAQ:GO) Aren't Ideal
Aug 28Does Grocery Outlet Holding (NASDAQ:GO) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Jul 03Here's What's Concerning About Grocery Outlet Holding's (NASDAQ:GO) Returns On Capital
May 27Is Grocery Outlet Holding (NASDAQ:GO) A Risky Investment?
Mar 28Are Investors Undervaluing Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (NASDAQ:GO) By 50%?
Feb 26Grocery Outlet Holding (NASDAQ:GO) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends
Dec 25Grocery Outlet Holding (NASDAQ:GO) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Dec 06Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12/31/2026 | 5,163 | 79 | N/A | 281 | 6 |
12/31/2025 | 4,731 | 67 | -2 | 242 | 15 |
12/31/2024 | 4,360 | 48 | -30 | 196 | 15 |
9/28/2024 | 4,263 | 51 | -102 | 100 | N/A |
6/29/2024 | 4,159 | 54 | -10 | 196 | N/A |
3/30/2024 | 4,041 | 65 | 23 | 224 | N/A |
12/30/2023 | 3,969 | 79 | 111 | 303 | N/A |
9/30/2023 | 3,910 | 81 | 142 | 322 | N/A |
7/1/2023 | 3,825 | 72 | 97 | 258 | N/A |
4/1/2023 | 3,712 | 67 | 84 | 237 | N/A |
12/31/2022 | 3,578 | 65 | 38 | 186 | N/A |
10/1/2022 | 3,430 | 56 | 27 | 164 | N/A |
7/2/2022 | 3,281 | 55 | 35 | 165 | N/A |
4/2/2022 | 3,159 | 55 | 45 | 176 | N/A |
1/1/2022 | 3,080 | 62 | 32 | 166 | N/A |
10/2/2021 | 3,104 | 80 | 88 | 224 | N/A |
7/3/2021 | 3,099 | 103 | 30 | 176 | N/A |
4/3/2021 | 3,127 | 113 | 1 | 140 | N/A |
1/2/2021 | 3,135 | 107 | 50 | 181 | N/A |
9/26/2020 | 2,983 | 92 | 12 | 128 | N/A |
6/27/2020 | 2,872 | 64 | 72 | 183 | N/A |
3/28/2020 | 2,714 | 24 | 68 | 178 | N/A |
12/28/2019 | 2,560 | 15 | 33 | 133 | N/A |
9/28/2019 | 2,489 | 1 | 26 | 125 | N/A |
6/29/2019 | 2,414 | -4 | 5 | 90 | N/A |
3/30/2019 | 2,343 | 14 | 24 | 97 | N/A |
12/29/2018 | 2,288 | 16 | 38 | 106 | N/A |
12/30/2017 | 2,075 | 21 | N/A | 85 | N/A |
12/31/2016 | 1,832 | 10 | N/A | 71 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: GO's forecast earnings growth (19.8% per year) is above the savings rate (2.6%).
Earnings vs Market: GO's earnings (19.8% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (15.2% per year).
High Growth Earnings: GO's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: GO's revenue (8.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (9.1% per year).
High Growth Revenue: GO's revenue (8.4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: GO's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (6.9%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
---|---|
Company Analysis | 2024/12/22 01:45 |
End of Day Share Price | 2024/12/20 00:00 |
Earnings | 2024/09/28 |
Annual Earnings | 2023/12/30 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
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Company Financials | 10 years |
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Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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Market Prices | 30 years |
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Ownership | 10 years |
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Management | 10 years |
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Key Developments | 10 years |
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* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
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Analyst Sources
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. is covered by 20 analysts. 15 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
Analyst | Institution |
---|---|
Ishan Majumdar | Baptista Research |
Karen Short | Barclays |
Brian McNamara | Berenberg |