Orlen Inkomsten in het verleden
Verleden criteriumcontroles 3/6
De winst van Orlen is gedaald met een gemiddeld jaarlijks percentage van -14.1%, terwijl de winst van de Oil and Gas -industrie jaarlijks groeide met 9.5%. De inkomsten zijn groeide met een gemiddeld percentage van 15.1% per jaar. Het rendement op het eigen vermogen Orlen bedraagt 4.4% en de nettomarge bedraagt 2.4%.
Belangrijke informatie
-14.08%
Groei van de winst
-30.00%
Groei van de winst per aandeel
| Oil and Gas Groei van de industrie | 23.98% |
| Inkomstengroei | 15.10% |
| Rendement op eigen vermogen | 4.43% |
| Nettomarge | 2.39% |
| Volgende winstupdate | 06 Aug 2026 |
Recente prestatie-updates uit het verleden
Analyseartikel • Jun 05
We Think Orlen's (WSE:PKN) Healthy Earnings Might Be Conservative
Investors signalled that they were pleased with Orlen S.A.'s ( WSE:PKN ) most recent earnings report. Looking deeper at...Analyseartikel • Nov 29
Orlen (WSE:PKN) Is Posting Promising Earnings But The Good News Doesn’t Stop There
Despite posting healthy earnings, Orlen S.A.'s ( WSE:PKN ) stock has been quite weak. Our analysis suggests that there...Recent updates
Narratiefupdate • Jun 24
PKN: Future Returns Will Reflect Tighter Margins And Calmer Revenue Contraction
Analysts have lifted their Orlen price target from PLN 131.11 to PLN 133.89, citing updated assumptions around revenue trends, profit margins and a slightly lower projected future P/E multiple. What's in the News for Orlen No recent Orlen news items were available in the provided sources.Narratiefupdate • Jun 07
PKN: Future Returns Will Reflect Balanced UBS Upgrade And Energa Recapitalisation Risk
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Orlen from PLN 127.33 to PLN 131.11, citing updated assumptions on long term revenue trends, margins and future P/E, along with recent Street research that has become more positive on the stock. What's in the News No recent news stories, periodical coverage or key developments were provided for Orlen in the supplied sources.Analyseartikel • Jun 05
We Think Orlen's (WSE:PKN) Healthy Earnings Might Be Conservative
Investors signalled that they were pleased with Orlen S.A.'s ( WSE:PKN ) most recent earnings report. Looking deeper at...Narratiefupdate • May 10
PKN: Future Returns Will Depend On Risky Energa Recapitalisation Plan
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Orlen to PLN 127.33 from PLN 119.22, citing updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, supported by recent research that has taken a more positive stance on the stock. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the higher fair value estimate of PLN 127.33 as support for a more constructive stance on the stock, arguing that current pricing does not fully reflect updated assumptions on revenue and margins.Narratiefupdate • Apr 26
PKN: Future Returns Will Hinge On Energa Integration And Margin Resilience
Analysts have adjusted their PLN price targets on Orlen only slightly, with a modest recalibration in discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions that reflects a mixed set of recent views, including a more positive stance from UBS and a more cautious one from Oddo BHF. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Orlen points to a split in opinion, with some analysts turning more optimistic and others taking a more cautious stance.Narratiefupdate • Apr 06
PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Soften As Margin Resilience Proves Overstated
Analysts have raised their Orlen price target from PLN 114.33 to about PLN 119.22, reflecting updated assumptions on fair value, slightly higher profit margins and a marginally richer future P/E multiple, with recent research including both an upgrade and a downgrade informing the new view. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts link their upgrade to a view that current valuation leaves some room for the shares to move closer to their refreshed fair value assumptions, anchored around the PLN 119.22 target.
Nieuw narratief • Mar 26
Regulated Energy Projects And LNG Expansion Will Support A Stronger Long Term Outlook
Catalysts About Orlen Orlen is an integrated energy and fuels group active in upstream, refining, petrochemicals, power generation, retail and gas trading. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narratiefupdate • Mar 22
PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Soften As Margin Assumptions Prove Fragile
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Orlen from PLN 95.58 to PLN 114.33, citing updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, as well as a mix of recent bullish and bearish Street calls. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts link the higher fair value estimate of PLN 114.33 to expectations that Orlen can sustain healthier profit margins than previously assumed.
Nieuw narratief • Mar 11
Large CapEx And Refining Margin Normalization Will Pressure Long Term Earnings Outlook
Catalysts About Orlen Orlen is an integrated energy and fuels group active in upstream, refining, petrochemicals, power generation and retail across several European markets. What are the underlying business or industry changes driving this perspective?Narratiefupdate • Mar 06
PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Soften As Execution Risks Intensify
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Orlen to PLN 95.58 from PLN 93.28, citing updated assumptions on revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E, even as some recent research has turned more cautious on the shares. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to the higher fair value estimate of PLN 95.58 as support for their view that current pricing may not fully reflect the updated revenue and margin assumptions built into their models.Narratiefupdate • Feb 19
PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Weaken As Margin Risks Intensify
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Orlen up from PLN 91.47 to PLN 93.28, citing slightly firmer profit margin assumptions and a modestly higher future P/E, even as at least one recent report has turned more cautious on the shares. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts view the higher fair value estimate of PLN 93.28 as support for the idea that current pricing may not fully reflect Orlen's earnings power under the updated profit margin assumptions.Analyseartikel • Feb 07
Why We're Not Concerned About Orlen S.A.'s (WSE:PKN) Share Price
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 20x Orlen S.A. ( WSE:PKN ) may be sending very bearish signals at the...Narratiefupdate • Feb 05
PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Weaken As Earnings Multiple Compresses
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Orlen from €87.31 to €91.47 per share, citing updated assumptions around a smaller revenue decline, a slightly higher profit margin and a lower future P/E multiple, even as at least one firm has turned more cautious on the shares. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts highlight the updated view on a smaller revenue decline as a support for the higher fair value estimate of €91.47 per share, seeing this as a sign that the earnings base used in their models may be more resilient than previously assumed.Narratiefupdate • Jan 22
PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Lag As P/E Stays Elevated
Analysts have kept their target price for Orlen broadly in line with prior levels, citing relatively unchanged fair value at 87.31, a stable 9.24% discount rate, and only small tweaks to assumptions around revenue trends, profit margin and future P/E of 12.05x. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Fair value per share is unchanged at PLN 87.31.Narratiefupdate • Jan 08
PKN: Future Returns Will Likely Disappoint As Earnings Multiple Stays Elevated
Analysts have kept their price target for Orlen unchanged at €87.31, reflecting steady assumptions on fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E, with no new Street research prompting a revision. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Fair value per share remains unchanged at €87.31, with no adjustment to the underlying model inputs.Analyseartikel • Jan 04
An Intrinsic Calculation For Orlen S.A. (WSE:PKN) Suggests It's 26% Undervalued
Key Insights The projected fair value for Orlen is zł136 based on Dividend Discount Model Orlen's zł101 share price...Narratiefupdate • Dec 18
PKN: Future Returns Will Remain Balanced As Revenue And Margins Slightly Weaken
Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target on Orlen higher to reflect a fair value of $87.31 per share, as they reiterate stable discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P E assumptions. What's in the News Orlen S.A. has scheduled a Special or Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting for November 13, 2025, at 11:00 Central European Standard Time to address key corporate matters requiring shareholder approval (Key Developments).Analyseartikel • Dec 17
Returns At Orlen (WSE:PKN) Are On The Way Up
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key...Narratiefupdate • Dec 04
PKN: Earnings Multiple Will Rise As Revenue And Margins Slightly Weaken
Analysts have nudged their price target on Orlen higher to approximately $87.31 from about $85.86, citing a modestly richer future earnings multiple that more than offsets slightly weaker revenue growth and profit margin expectations. What's in the News Orlen S.A. has scheduled a Special and Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting for November 13, 2025, at 11:00 Central European Standard Time.Analyseartikel • Nov 29
Orlen (WSE:PKN) Is Posting Promising Earnings But The Good News Doesn’t Stop There
Despite posting healthy earnings, Orlen S.A.'s ( WSE:PKN ) stock has been quite weak. Our analysis suggests that there...Narratiefupdate • Nov 20
PKN: Profit Margins Will Improve While Revenue Decline Persists Through 2025 Shareholder Meeting
Narrative Update on Orlen: Analyst Price Target Change Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Orlen from PLN 85.63 to PLN 85.86, citing improved profit margin expectations and a modest adjustment to the discount rate. What's in the News Orlen S.A. has scheduled a Special/Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting for November 13, 2025, at 11:00 Central European Standard Time (Key Developments).Narratiefupdate • Nov 05
PKN: Profit Margins Will Improve Despite Weakening Revenue Outlook By Shareholder Meeting
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Orlen from PLN 83.86 to PLN 85.63, citing improved profit margin forecasts and a slightly higher future price-to-earnings expectation. This adjustment comes despite a modest downward revision in revenue growth outlook.Analyseartikel • Oct 28
Orlen (WSE:PKN) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company...Narratiefupdate • Oct 22
Analysts Maintain Orlen Price Target as Valuation Metrics Remain Stable Ahead of Shareholder Meeting
Analysts have maintained Orlen's price target at PLN 83.86, citing consistent expectations for future profitability and revenue growth in spite of industry headwinds. What's in the News Orlen S.A. will hold a Special/Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting on October 28, 2025, at 11:00 Central European Standard Time (Key Developments).Narratiefupdate • Oct 08
Renewable Energy Focus And Funding Diversification Will Improve Future Performance
Analysts have raised their price target for Orlen from PLN 80.08 to PLN 83.86. This update cites an improved fair value assessment and a modest increase in projected profit margins, even though revenue growth expectations are slightly lower.Analyseartikel • Oct 01
Orlen S.A.'s (WSE:PKN) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 42% Above Its Share Price
Key Insights The projected fair value for Orlen is zł123 based on Dividend Discount Model Orlen is estimated to be 30...Narratiefupdate • Sep 23
Renewable Energy Focus And Funding Diversification Will Improve Future Performance
Despite a further deterioration in consensus revenue growth forecasts, Orlen’s net profit margin has improved, supporting a modest increase in analyst fair value to PLN80.08. What's in the News Orlen will not acquire all or part of GA Polyolefins shares, but remains open to further discussions on asset utilization.Analyseartikel • Sep 13
Orlen (WSE:PKN) Might Have The Makings Of A Multi-Bagger
If we want to find a potential multi-bagger, often there are underlying trends that can provide clues. Firstly, we'd...
Nieuw narratief • Jan 19
Operations Diversification And Retail Expansion Will Build Future Resilience
Diversified operations and strategic investments aim to stabilize Orlen's revenue and boost capital efficiency and net margins.Opbrengsten en kosten
Opbrengsten en kosten
Hoe Orlen geld verdient en uitgeeft. Gebaseerd op laatst gerapporteerde winst, op LTM-basis.
Inkomsten en omzetgeschiedenis
| Datum | Inkomsten | Inkomsten | G+A Uitgaven | R&D-uitgaven |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 26 | 269,946 | 6,451 | 22,356 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 25 | 267,827 | 2,531 | 21,825 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 25 | 270,424 | 7,667 | 21,280 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 25 | 277,353 | 5,754 | 21,263 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 25 | 286,204 | 4,207 | 21,096 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 24 | 294,886 | 2,826 | 21,248 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 24 | 317,380 | 3,992 | 21,808 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 24 | 328,901 | 8,331 | 21,791 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 24 | 338,420 | 14,376 | 22,169 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 23 | 371,916 | 20,922 | 21,916 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 23 | 380,563 | 38,566 | 20,422 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 374,021 | 48,684 | 19,049 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 352,796 | 46,231 | 17,003 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 22 | 282,415 | 39,677 | 15,021 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 217,080 | 25,202 | 13,292 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 22 | 180,607 | 13,432 | 12,265 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 22 | 152,226 | 12,047 | 11,729 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 131,341 | 11,122 | 11,208 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 21 | 113,602 | 6,979 | 11,009 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 21 | 101,078 | 4,721 | 10,607 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 21 | 88,665 | 6,844 | 10,067 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 20 | 86,180 | 2,755 | 9,613 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 20 | 90,505 | 3,340 | 8,933 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 20 | 95,816 | 3,955 | 8,565 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 20 | 108,034 | 1,207 | 8,437 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 19 | 111,203 | 4,300 | 8,204 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 19 | 113,123 | 4,424 | 7,631 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 19 | 114,238 | 5,221 | 7,176 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 19 | 111,711 | 5,363 | 6,708 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 18 | 109,706 | 5,556 | 6,335 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 18 | 105,020 | 6,440 | 6,256 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 18 | 99,406 | 5,980 | 6,148 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 18 | 95,730 | 5,777 | 5,973 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 17 | 95,364 | 6,655 | 5,864 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 17 | 93,532 | 6,853 | 5,692 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 89,885 | 6,777 | 5,570 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 86,215 | 6,844 | 5,592 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 16 | 79,553 | 5,261 | 5,551 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 76,738 | 3,391 | 5,605 | 0 |
| 30 Jun 16 | 79,123 | 2,659 | 5,550 | 0 |
| 31 Mar 16 | 84,544 | 2,418 | 5,564 | 0 |
| 31 Dec 15 | 88,336 | 2,837 | 5,523 | 0 |
| 30 Sep 15 | 93,151 | 1,702 | 5,462 | 0 |
Kwaliteitswinsten: PKN heeft een grote eenmalige verlies van PLN14.6B wat gevolgen heeft voor de financiële resultaten van de laatste 12 maanden tot 31st March, 2026.
Groeiende winstmarge: De huidige netto winstmarges (2.4%) PKN } zijn hoger dan vorig jaar (1.5%).
Analyse vrije kasstroom versus winst
Analyse van de winstgroei in het verleden
Winsttrend: De winst van PKN is de afgelopen 5 jaar met 14.1% per jaar gedaald.
Versnelling van de groei: De winstgroei van PKN over het afgelopen jaar ( 53.3% ) overtreft het 5-jarig gemiddelde ( -14.1% per jaar).
Winst versus industrie: De winstgroei PKN over het afgelopen jaar ( 53.3% ) overtrof de Oil and Gas -sector -0.6%.
Rendement op eigen vermogen
Hoge ROE: Het Rendement op eigen vermogen ( 4.4% ) van PKN wordt als laag beschouwd.
Rendement op activa
Rendement op geïnvesteerd vermogen
Ontdek sterk presterende bedrijven uit het verleden
Bedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens
| Gegevens | Laatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd) |
|---|---|
| Bedrijfsanalyse | 2026/07/07 19:55 |
| Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag | 2026/07/07 00:00 |
| Inkomsten | 2026/03/31 |
| Jaarlijkse inkomsten | 2025/12/31 |
Gegevensbronnen
De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.
| Pakket | Gegevens | Tijdframe | Voorbeeld Amerikaanse bron * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financiële gegevens bedrijf | 10 jaar |
| |
| Consensus schattingen analisten | +3 jaar |
|
|
| Marktprijzen | 30 jaar |
| |
| Eigendom | 10 jaar |
| |
| Beheer | 10 jaar |
| |
| Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen | 10 jaar |
|
* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.
Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.
Analysemodel en Snowflake
Details van het analysemodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina, we hebben ook handleidingen over hoe u onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.
Leer meer over het team van wereldklasse dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.
Industrie en sector
Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.
Bronnen van analisten
Orlen S.A. wordt gevolgd door 20 analisten. 9 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.
| Analist | Instelling |
|---|---|
| Robert Bate | Barclays |
| Yuriy Kukhtanych | Berenberg |
| Kamil Kliszcz | Biuro maklerskie mBanku |