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PKN: Future Returns Will Remain Balanced As Revenue And Margins Slightly Weaken

Update shared on 18 Dec 2025

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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
96.2%
7D
-2.2%

Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target on Orlen higher to reflect a fair value of $87.31 per share, as they reiterate stable discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P E assumptions.

What's in the News

  • Orlen S.A. has scheduled a Special or Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting for November 13, 2025, at 11:00 Central European Standard Time to address key corporate matters requiring shareholder approval (Key Developments).

Valuation Changes

  • Fair Value Estimate remains unchanged at $87.31 per share, reflecting a stable assessment of Orlen's intrinsic valuation.
  • The discount rate is steady at 9.24 percent, indicating no revision to the perceived risk profile or cost of capital.
  • Revenue growth is effectively unchanged at around negative 4.36 percent, signaling consistent expectations for a modest contraction in top line performance.
  • The net profit margin remains broadly stable at approximately 4.68 percent, implying no material shift in profitability assumptions.
  • The future P/E ratio is unchanged at about 11.92 times, suggesting stable market multiple expectations for Orlen's forward earnings.

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Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.