tonies Toekomstige groei
Future criteriumcontroles 4/6
tonies zal naar verwachting groeien in winst en omzet met respectievelijk 47.2% en 17.8% per jaar. De winst per aandeel zal naar verwachting groeien met 46.6% per jaar. Het rendement op het eigen vermogen zal over 3 jaar naar verwachting 16% zijn.
Belangrijke informatie
47.2%
Groei van de winst
46.62%
Groei van de winst per aandeel
| Leisure winstgroei | 15.4% |
| Inkomstengroei | 17.8% |
| Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen | 16.03% |
| Dekking van analisten | Low |
| Laatst bijgewerkt | 15 May 2026 |
Recente toekomstige groei-updates
Recent updates
Narratiefupdate • May 12
TNIE: 2026 Revenue Guidance And Margin Assumptions Will Support Stronger Forward Outlook
Analysts are maintaining their €14.00 price target for tonies, citing only small adjustments to key model inputs such as the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions. What's in the News tonies issued earnings guidance for FY 2026, indicating an expectation for Group revenue growth of more than 20% in constant currency to more than €760 million (company guidance).Narratiefupdate • Apr 28
TNIE: Higher 2026 Outlook And Margin Assumptions Will Support Stronger Forward Outlook
Analysts have raised the price target for tonies to €14.0 from the previous €13.0, reflecting revised assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and an updated future P/E framework. What's in the News tonies issued earnings guidance for FY 2026, indicating expected Group revenue of more than €760 million in constant currency, with revenue growth of more than 20% (company guidance).Analyseartikel • Apr 22
We Think tonies' (FRA:TNIE) Healthy Earnings Might Be Conservative
The market seemed underwhelmed by last week's earnings announcement from tonies SE ( FRA:TNIE ) despite the healthy...
Narratiefupdate • Apr 13
TNIE: Global Content Partnerships And Investor Day Will Support Future Double Digit Expansion
Analysts are keeping their price target for tonies steady at €14.00, reflecting only marginal tweaks to discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E assumptions in their models. What's in the News tonies plans an Analyst and Investor Day, giving the market a structured opportunity to receive an update on the business and its plans.Narratiefupdate • Mar 30
TNIE: Global Content Partnerships Will Drive Future Double Digit Revenue Expansion
Analysts have nudged their price target for tonies up slightly from about €13.83 to €14.00, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, discount rate, profit margin and future P/E that keep the overall valuation view largely intact. What's in the News tonies plans an Analyst and Investor Day event, giving the market a closer look at the business, its priorities, and the updated assumptions that underpin current valuation views (Key Developments).
Narratiefupdate • Mar 16
TNIE: Licensing Rollout And Index Inclusion Will Support Stronger Future Prospects
Analysts have adjusted their price target on tonies from €13.20 to €14.50. This reflects updated assumptions around higher revenue growth expectations, a slightly improved profit margin profile, and a lower future P/E multiple in their models.Narratiefupdate • Mar 02
TNIE: Index Inclusion And Content Partnerships Will Support A Stronger Forward Outlook
Analysts now set their tonies price target at €13.00, up from €10.50, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E, which they view as better aligned with the company’s current outlook. What's in the News tonies announced a partnership with The Pokemon Company International, aiming to bring new Pokemon themed audio book content to the Toniebox starting in summer 2026, including four exclusive, collectible Pokemon Tonies featuring Pikachu, Bulbasaur, Charmander and Squirtle (Key Developments).Narratiefupdate • Feb 16
TNIE: Global Content Partnerships Will Support Future Double Digit Revenue Gains
Analysts have raised their price target on tonies from €11.37 to €13.83, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, discount rate and future P/E that they consider more accurately reflect the company’s current risk and return profile. What's in the News Partnership with The Pokemon Company International includes a lightning yellow special edition Toniebox 2 inspired by Pikachu, planned for a global launch, including the US, in summer 2026 (Key Developments).Narratiefupdate • Feb 01
TNIE: Licensing Expansion And Index Inclusion Will Support Stronger Future Prospects
Analysts have nudged their price target for tonies slightly higher to €13.20, reflecting small adjustments to assumptions on discount rate, revenue, profit margin and future P/E that keep their fair value view effectively unchanged. What's in the News tonies confirmed earnings guidance for the 2025 financial year, expecting group revenue of more than €600 million in constant currency (corporate guidance).Narratiefupdate • Jan 18
TNIE: Fair Outlook Balances Index Inclusion With Evolving Profitability Assumptions
Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for tonies from €9.00 to €10.50, citing updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple in their models. What's in the News tonies SE confirmed earnings guidance for the 2025 financial year, with management expecting group revenue of above €600 million in constant currency, based on forecast growth of more than 25% for the year (Corporate guidance) The company announced a partnership to bring new Pokémon audio book content to the Toniebox, starting in summer 2026 with four exclusive collectible Pokémon Tonies featuring Pikachu, Bulbasaur, Charmander, and Squirtle, with further products planned with Pikachu Press (Client announcement) tonies SE was added to the Germany SDAX (Total Return) Index, which may influence how index-tracking funds and some institutional investors view the stock (Index constituent change) Valuation Changes The fair value estimate has been revised from €9.00 to €10.50 per share, reflecting a higher central value in the model.Narratiefupdate • Jan 04
TNIE: Expanded Licensing Partnerships Will Drive Higher Future Profitability
Analysts have modestly adjusted their price target on tonies to reflect a stable fair value of €13.20, as slightly lower expected revenue growth is balanced by an improved profit margin outlook and a marginally reduced discount rate. What's in the News tonies SE confirmed guidance for 2025, targeting group revenue growth of more than 25 percent in constant currency and pushing annual sales above EUR 600 million (corporate guidance) tonies SE was added to the Germany SDAX Total Return Index, increasing its visibility among institutional and index-tracking investors (index update) tonies announced a partnership with Pokemon to launch exclusive audio first content for the Toniebox from summer 2026, starting with four collectible Pokemon figures and further products planned with Pikachu Press (client announcement) tonies expanded its long term licensing agreement with Hasbro to adapt classic board games, including Monopoly, into new interactive, screen free Tonieplay formats for launch in 2026 across its core markets (client announcement) Valuation Changes Fair Value: unchanged at €13.20 per share, indicating a stable overall valuation.Narratiefupdate • Dec 17
TNIE: Expanded Licensing Partnerships Will Drive Stronger Profitability Ahead
Analysts have raised their price target on tonies by approximately 10 percent to €13.20, citing slightly lower perceived risk, stronger expected revenue growth and improved profit margins, despite a modestly lower future P/E assumption. What's in the News Confirmed 2025 guidance, expecting group revenue to grow by more than 25 percent in constant currency and taking sales above EUR 600 million (company guidance) Announced a landmark partnership with Pokémon to launch audio first storytelling Tonies featuring Pikachu, Bulbasaur, Charmander and Squirtle from summer 2026, with further products planned with Pikachu Press (company announcement) Expanded long term licensing agreement with Hasbro to adapt classic board games, including Monopoly, into interactive, screen free Tonieplay formats for Toniebox 2, rolling out from 2026 across core markets in North America, DACH, UK, France and Australia or New Zealand (company announcement) Valuation Changes Fair Value: raised moderately from €12.00 to €13.20, reflecting a roughly 10 percent upward revision.Narratiefupdate • Dec 03
TNIE: Screen-Free Gaming Expansion Will Drive Future Double-Digit Revenue Gains
Narrative Update Analysts have maintained their price target for tonies at €11.37, as modest tweaks to the discount rate and forward valuation assumptions were not significant enough to justify a change in the overall valuation framework. What's in the News Confirmed 2025 guidance with group revenue expected to grow by more than 25% in constant currency, taking revenue above EUR 600 million (Company guidance) Expanded long term licensing agreement with Hasbro to bring select Hasbro Games titles, including Monopoly, to the Toniebox 2 in new interactive Tonieplay formats starting in 2026 (Company announcement) Planned Tonieplay game launches to roll out across core markets, including North America, DACH, the UK, France, and Australia/New Zealand, with further titles and details to be announced closer to launch (Company announcement) Valuation Changes Fair Value: unchanged at approximately €11.37 per share, reflecting a stable central valuation view.Narratiefupdate • Nov 19
TNIE: Expansion Into Screen-Free Gaming Will Drive Long-Term Revenue Momentum
Analysts have raised their price target for tonies from EUR 11.03 to EUR 11.37. They cite continued company performance and an improved profit margin outlook following recent results.Analyseartikel • Sep 25
Here's Why tonies (FRA:TNIE) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analyseartikel • Sep 01
Market Participants Recognise tonies SE's (FRA:TNIE) Revenues Pushing Shares 25% Higher
tonies SE ( FRA:TNIE ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 25% share price jump in the last month...Analyseartikel • Aug 26
tonies' (FRA:TNIE) Solid Earnings Are Supported By Other Strong Factors
tonies SE ( FRA:TNIE ) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. We did some digging, and we found some...Analyseartikel • May 14
tonies SE's (FRA:TNIE) 26% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors
tonies SE ( FRA:TNIE ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 26% in the last month...Nieuw narratief • May 07
Expanding North America And International Markets Will Fuel Future Success
Expansion into North America and internationally has greatly boosted revenue, showcasing strong market fit and profitability.Analyseartikel • Apr 15
Is tonies (FRA:TNIE) Using Debt Sensibly?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...Analyseartikel • Oct 18
Does tonies (FRA:TNIE) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility...Analyseartikel • Jun 04
Revenues Tell The Story For tonies SE (FRA:TNIE) As Its Stock Soars 33%
The tonies SE ( FRA:TNIE ) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 33...Analyseartikel • May 21
tonies (FRA:TNIE) Has Debt But No Earnings; Should You Worry?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...Analyseartikel • Apr 12
With tonies SE (FRA:TNIE) It Looks Like You'll Get What You Pay For
When close to half the companies in the Leisure industry in Germany have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.9x...Analyseartikel • Apr 15
tonies SE's (FRA:TNIE) Intrinsic Value Is Potentially 29% Above Its Share Price
Key Insights The projected fair value for tonies is €7.04 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share price...Winst- en omzetgroeiprognoses
| Datum | Inkomsten | Inkomsten | Vrije kasstroom | Geldmiddelen uit operationele activiteiten | Gem. Aantal analisten |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 1,086 | 85 | 79 | 104 | 4 |
| 12/31/2027 | 937 | 63 | 56 | 77 | 5 |
| 12/31/2026 | 779 | 41 | 45 | 61 | 5 |
| 12/31/2025 | 630 | 13 | -13 | 6 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 570 | 20 | 9 | 27 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 510 | 28 | 31 | 49 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 495 | 20 | 31 | 48 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 481 | 13 | 31 | 47 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 438 | -8 | 16 | 32 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 395 | -29 | 2 | 16 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 378 | -21 | -1 | 12 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 361 | -12 | -5 | 8 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 324 | -20 | -39 | -26 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 287 | -29 | -73 | -61 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 273 | -30 | -80 | -68 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 258 | -32 | -88 | -74 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 234 | -129 | -79 | -67 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 211 | -226 | -71 | -60 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 199 | -233 | -53 | -43 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 188 | -241 | -35 | -26 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 135 | -16 | -4 | 4 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 103 | -6 | 0 | 2 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 61 | 2 | N/A | -5 | N/A |
Toekomstige groeivoorspellingen analisten
Verdiensten versus spaarpercentage: De verwachte winstgroei TNIE ( 47.2% per jaar) ligt boven de spaarquote ( 1.9% ).
Winst versus markt: De winst van TNIE ( 47.2% per jaar) zal naar verwachting sneller groeien dan de German markt ( 17.2% per jaar).
Hoge groeiwinsten: De winst van TNIE zal naar verwachting de komende 3 jaar aanzienlijk groeien.
Omzet versus markt: De omzet van TNIE ( 17.8% per jaar) zal naar verwachting sneller groeien dan de markt German ( 6.8% per jaar).
Hoge groei-inkomsten: De omzet van TNIE ( 17.8% per jaar) zal naar verwachting langzamer groeien dan 20% per jaar.
Groeiprognoses winst per aandeel
Toekomstig rendement op eigen vermogen
Toekomstige ROE: Het rendement op eigen vermogen TNIE zal naar verwachting over 3 jaar laag zijn ( 16 %).
Ontdek groeibedrijven
Bedrijfsanalyse en status van financiële gegevens
| Gegevens | Laatst bijgewerkt (UTC-tijd) |
|---|---|
| Bedrijfsanalyse | 2026/05/26 06:14 |
| Aandelenkoers aan het einde van de dag | 2026/05/26 00:00 |
| Inkomsten | 2025/12/31 |
| Jaarlijkse inkomsten | 2025/12/31 |
Gegevensbronnen
De gegevens die gebruikt zijn in onze bedrijfsanalyse zijn afkomstig van S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. De volgende gegevens worden gebruikt in ons analysemodel om dit rapport te genereren. De gegevens zijn genormaliseerd, waardoor er een vertraging kan optreden voordat de bron beschikbaar is.
| Pakket | Gegevens | Tijdframe | Voorbeeld Amerikaanse bron * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Financiële gegevens bedrijf | 10 jaar |
| |
| Consensus schattingen analisten | +3 jaar |
|
|
| Marktprijzen | 30 jaar |
| |
| Eigendom | 10 jaar |
| |
| Beheer | 10 jaar |
| |
| Belangrijkste ontwikkelingen | 10 jaar |
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* Voorbeeld voor effecten uit de VS, voor niet-Amerikaanse effecten worden gelijkwaardige formulieren en bronnen gebruikt.
Tenzij anders vermeld zijn alle financiële gegevens gebaseerd op een jaarperiode, maar worden ze elk kwartaal bijgewerkt. Dit staat bekend als Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) of Last Twelve Month (LTM) gegevens. Meer informatie.
Analysemodel en Snowflake
Details van het analysemodel dat is gebruikt om dit rapport te genereren zijn beschikbaar op onze Github-pagina. We hebben ook handleidingen over hoe je onze rapporten kunt gebruiken en tutorials op YouTube.
Leer meer over het team van wereldklasse dat het Simply Wall St-analysemodel heeft ontworpen en gebouwd.
Industrie en sector
Onze industrie- en sectormetrics worden elke 6 uur berekend door Simply Wall St, details van ons proces zijn beschikbaar op Github.
Bronnen van analisten
tonies SE wordt gevolgd door 9 analisten. 5 van deze analisten hebben de schattingen van de omzet of winst ingediend die zijn gebruikt als input voor ons rapport. Inzendingen van analisten worden de hele dag door bijgewerkt.
| Analist | Instelling |
|---|---|
| Gerhard Orgonas | Berenberg |
| Christoph Blieffert | BNP Paribas |
| Hans Salis | Hauck Aufhäuser Investment Banking |