Here's Why Clean Energy Fuels (NASDAQ:CLNE) Might Be Better Off Without Debt

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Clean Energy Fuels Corp. (NASDAQ:CLNE) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

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When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Clean Energy Fuels

How Much Debt Does Clean Energy Fuels Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Clean Energy Fuels had debt of US$86.3m at the end of March 2019, a reduction from US$266.2m over a year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds US$94.1m in cash, so it actually has US$7.89m net cash.

NasdaqGS:CLNE Historical Debt, July 22nd 2019
NasdaqGS:CLNE Historical Debt, July 22nd 2019

A Look At Clean Energy Fuels's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Clean Energy Fuels had liabilities of US$68.6m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$114.6m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$94.1m in cash and US$80.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$8.65m.

Having regard to Clean Energy Fuels's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So it's very unlikely that the US$560.8m company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet. Given that Clean Energy Fuels has more cash than debt, we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Clean Energy Fuels can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

In the last year Clean Energy Fuels actually shrunk its revenue by 9.3%, to US$322m. We would much prefer see growth.

So How Risky Is Clean Energy Fuels?

While Clean Energy Fuels lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually generated positive free cash flow US$9.7m. So taking that on face value, and considering the net cash situation, we don't think that the stock is too risky in the near term. Until we see some positive EBIT, we're a bit cautious of the stock, not least because of the rather modest revenue growth. For riskier companies like Clean Energy Fuels I always like to keep an eye on the long term profit and revenue trends. Fortunately, you can click to see our interactive graph of its profit, revenue, and operating cashflow.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.

M
mitchell_lawler
mitchell_lawler

Everyone's watching the oil price. The harder problem is the gas that can't take a detour.

Everyone's watching the oil price. The harder problem is the gas that can't take a detour. cover
88
R
Rob_Curious

What I've learnt in the last six months is that fuel supply disruption is a real portfolio risk, and one of the better hedges is a small allocation to shipping. Though it's insane how much these have run up this year.

f
frank_ub3n0

Spot on. Shipping and logistics is much larger constraint for gas than oil. Sorry to break it to you. No quick fixes for that.

Mitchell Lawler

What happens to energy stocks as the fix gets built?

What happens to energy stocks as the fix gets built? cover
Conflict around the Strait of Hormuz has led investors to oil and tankers. The trouble is, the antidote to the chokepoints is already being built, and it may not reward the same energy stocks.
21

About NasdaqGS:CLNE

Clean Energy Fuels

Offers natural gas as alternative fuels for vehicle fleets and related fueling solutions in the United States and Canada.

Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.

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Hello,(I am a shareholder).I spent the summer investigating in whatever I was able to find in the press, the trustee, or legal, and comparing it to FS Benner's declaration/transcripts:press: MM has a tendancy to use facts, modify them and turn them the way they want: 100% of their claims against TPG0 is traçable factually, 80% is flawed and interpreted. Example are numerous: 11M loans banks to be paid seems right, but it has not been an issue at all, it has been paid in full. (and it happens all the time in every business...); the previous HR becoming a financial director in the article herself being attacked by TPG on the legal side; the wrong address of curator (if truly announced by TPG).Trustee: according to my research (which can be incomplete) no communication to the Nordic trustee (hereby, bond holders) has been done on a, indebtedness (late payment) > 1M€, which is their obligation by contract (clause 14.d - https://corporate.the-platform-group.com/bond/) => this is a sign of a huge lie and fraud, or the sign that there is no indebtedness > 1M€ over the whole TPG group.Legal: still awaiting for an answer, probable that I won't get it.VALUATIONYou can spent hours working the fundamentals, if they're flawed...the thesis falls.Anyway, I always substracts the badwill (that I consider non-current - you have it in the CFS) & non-controlling interests from my valuation:Earnings ~22MFCF ~40M€The financial statements are not the issue here, we are more on an cheap option on the sincerity of the accounts that a real valuation. Unfortunately, these are unverifiable elements, hence the low price./!\ Careful:the accounts are consolidated and skip the subsidiaries issues...Careful with the business model: TPG0 is a financial holding that acquire subsidiaries, hold the debt, and has no operations. 100% of the Cash Flow comes from subs' dividends => it is a risk here, more a plumber risk than an operational one, but nevertheless...The auditor is too small, and managed by the same firm than before, with 140K€/year commission => it's too low, nobody external really reviewed what Benner and his team are doing internallycapital increase do not go through the CFS, but through change in equity AND equity in the BSIf the equity stays low too long, the WACC increase will be unbearable (I have a 30% global, with a 118% on equity): diluting is expensive => TPG machine can stay broken for a while.Most of the people I talk with never saw this, while this is ESSENTIAL to Benner's business model.SEVERAL EVENTS THAT COULD CHANGE:AEP is being audited by KPMG: if Benner plays the "we will propose KPMG to our shareholders BEOY", this can increase the trust in him significantly/KPMG (or other) to validate the 2026 IFRS accounts & having a word on HGB's: though still consolidated, at least we'll know...AEP being eventually acquired: while it carries a high integration risk due to its size, they talked about it so many times, that trust goes with it.Without this combination of event, the equity is doomed to stay at this level, IMO.Do not forget to also follow the bond: with TPG's announced safe harbor plan for buyback (25% of daily exchange), it is also interesting to check this illiquid and retail market: https://live.deutsche-boerse.com/bond/no0013256834-the-platform-group-ag-8-875-24-28?mic=XFRA

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