Federal-Mogul Goetze (India) Limited's (NSE:FMGOETZE) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

Federal-Mogul Goetze (India)'s (NSE:FMGOETZE) stock is up by a considerable 11% over the past three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. In this article, we decided to focus on Federal-Mogul Goetze (India)'s ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

Check out our latest analysis for Federal-Mogul Goetze (India)

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Federal-Mogul Goetze (India) is:

4.4% = ₹387m ÷ ₹8.8b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2020).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each ₹1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made ₹0.04 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of Federal-Mogul Goetze (India)'s Earnings Growth And 4.4% ROE

It is hard to argue that Federal-Mogul Goetze (India)'s ROE is much good in and of itself. Even when compared to the industry average of 8.5%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. Accordingly, Federal-Mogul Goetze (India)'s low net income growth of 3.9% over the past five years can possibly be explained by the low ROE amongst other factors.

As a next step, we compared Federal-Mogul Goetze (India)'s net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 11% in the same period.

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is FMGOETZE fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is Federal-Mogul Goetze (India) Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Federal-Mogul Goetze (India) doesn't pay any dividend, meaning that potentially all of its profits are being reinvested in the business. This doesn't explain the low earnings growth number that we discussed above. So there could be some other explanation in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

Summary

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Federal-Mogul Goetze (India). Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard will have the 1 risk we have identified for Federal-Mogul Goetze (India).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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