Stock Analysis

A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Fairchem Speciality Limited's (NSE:FAIRCHEM) Share Price

NSEI:PRIVISCL
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.5x Fairchem Speciality Limited (NSE:FAIRCHEM) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios greater than 16x and even P/E's higher than 40x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.

For example, consider that Fairchem Speciality's financial performance has been poor lately as it's earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Fairchem Speciality

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NSEI:FAIRCHEM Price Based on Past Earnings September 14th 2020
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Fairchem Speciality, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Fairchem Speciality's Growth Trending?

Fairchem Speciality's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 3.2%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 368% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 12% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Fairchem Speciality's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Fairchem Speciality currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. When we see strong earnings with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Fairchem Speciality you should be aware of.

You might be able to find a better investment than Fairchem Speciality. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a P/E below 20x (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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