Carlyle Group 향후 성장
Future 기준 점검 4/6
Carlyle Group (는) 각각 연간 13.7% 및 22% 수익과 수익이 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. EPS는 연간 19.8% 만큼 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다. 자기자본이익률은 3년 후 22.4% 로 예상됩니다.
핵심 정보
13.7%
이익 성장률
19.78%
EPS 성장률
| Capital Markets 이익 성장 | 11.7% |
| 매출 성장률 | 22.0% |
| 향후 자기자본이익률 | 22.42% |
| 애널리스트 커버리지 | Good |
| 마지막 업데이트 | 12 May 2026 |
최근 향후 성장 업데이트
Recent updates
분석 기사 • May 20
Analysts Are More Bearish On The Carlyle Group Inc. (NASDAQ:CG) Than They Used To Be
One thing we could say about the analysts on The Carlyle Group Inc. ( NASDAQ:CG ) - they aren't optimistic, having just...
내러티브 업데이트 • May 06
CG: Expanded Partnerships And Data Center Projects Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Carlyle Group to about $61.81 from $66.94, citing revised assumptions for fair value, revenue growth, profit margins and a slightly higher future P/E multiple as the key drivers of the update. What's in the News Carlyle and SEI announced an expanded partnership aimed at widening access to institutional private market capabilities across wealth and retirement channels, including potential new collaborative solutions and model portfolios for private market exposure (Key Developments).
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 20
CG: Data Center Projects And Buybacks Will Support A Balanced Outlook
Analysts now set a lower price target for Carlyle Group at $48.00, down from about $55.27, citing updated assumptions for fair value, discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. What's in the News US Army selects Carlyle and KKR to build two data centres on military bases, each estimated to cost about US$2b, with long term leases and capacity partly reserved for Army use.
내러티브 업데이트 • Apr 06
CG: Future Data Centre Projects And Buybacks Will Support Upside Potential
Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Carlyle Group from $75.00 to $81.00. They cited updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins and the future P/E ratio as the key drivers behind the higher price target.내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 23
CG: Ongoing Buybacks And Selective Dealmaking Will Support Future Upside
The analyst price target for Carlyle Group has shifted modestly to $66.94 from $66.27, as analysts factor in updated assumptions that include a slightly different discount rate, adjusted revenue growth expectations, a marginally higher profit margin, and a small change in the future P/E input. What's in the News Carlyle Group announced a share repurchase program that allows the company to buy back up to US$2.0b of its common shares, signaling an ongoing focus on returning capital to shareholders (Buyback Transaction Announcements).내러티브 업데이트 • Mar 09
CG: Buybacks And Potential Sports Deal Will Support Bullish Outlook
Analysts have adjusted their price target for Carlyle Group to $55.27 from $53.95, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News Carlyle Group announced a share repurchase program authorizing buybacks of up to US$2.0b of its common shares.내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 22
CG: Future Sports And Healthtech Deals Will Test Fairly Priced Outlook
Analysts have trimmed their price target for Carlyle Group to $53.95 from $54.60, reflecting updated assumptions around higher expected revenue growth, slightly lower profit margins, a marginally higher discount rate, and a modestly lower future P/E multiple. What's in the News Carlyle is among private equity firms evaluating the acquisition of EQT Partners' 40% stake in healthtech firm CitiusTech in a potential deal likely around US$1b, with JP Morgan running the sale process and no bids placed yet (Key Developments).내러티브 업데이트 • Feb 08
CG: Future Sports And Energy Deals Will Test Fairly Priced Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target on Carlyle Group to US$54.60 from US$53.74, reflecting updated assumptions that include a lower discount rate, a revised revenue growth outlook, a higher projected profit margin, and a slightly adjusted future P/E multiple. What's in the News Carlyle is reported to be evaluating non binding bids for a potential stake in Indian Premier League team Royal Challengers Bengaluru, alongside other global buyout firms and large investors, in a process that could value the franchise between US$1.4b and US$1.8b (media reports).내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 24
CG: Future Sanctioned Asset Pursuit Will Undermine Already Stretched Pricing
Analysts have nudged their price target for Carlyle Group slightly higher to about US$53.74 from roughly US$53.00, citing modest adjustments in assumed revenue growth, profit margin, discount rate and future P/E as the drivers behind the change. What's in the News Global private equity firms, including The Carlyle Group Inc., are evaluating non binding bids for a stake in Indian Premier League team Royal Challengers Bengaluru, with reported potential valuation in the US$1.4b to US$1.8b range (M&A Rumors and Discussions).내러티브 업데이트 • Jan 10
CG: Future Sanctioned Asset Pursuit Will Undermine Already Stretched Pricing
Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Carlyle Group from $56.00 to $53.00, citing updated assumptions that include a higher discount rate, a change from a 2.59% revenue contraction to 24.74% growth, a profit margin increase from 31.92% to 36.02%, and a lower future P/E expectation from 16.76 to 11.09. What's in the News Carlyle is reported to be interested in the foreign assets of PJSC LUKOIL, a Russian oil company under U.S. sanctions, and is considering seeking a U.S. licence to talk about a potential deal, with no due diligence conducted so far and no assurance the discussions will move ahead (Financial Times via SeeNews).Seeking Alpha • Jan 10
Carlyle Group: The Underlying Thesis For Investment Management Underperformance In 2026E
Summary Carlyle Group is rated 'HOLD' due to overvaluation and sector headwinds, with a price target of $48/share. PE industry challenges—slower exits, higher debt costs, and extended holding periods—undermine CG's business model and near-term outlook. Recent 3Q25 results missed forecasts, confirming volatility and forecast inaccuracy, with YoY sales down over 12% and a 20.7% miss. Even bullish scenarios yield sub-12% annualized returns; risk/reward is unattractive versus other sectors, despite CG's quality and dividend. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 26
CG: Overseas Energy Bid And Ongoing Buybacks Will Shape Measured Outlook
Analysts have modestly raised their price target on Carlyle Group by approximately 1 percent to reflect a higher estimated fair value of around 66 dollars, supported by expectations for stronger profit margins and a lower future price to earnings multiple. What's in the News Carlyle Group is exploring a potential bid for the foreign assets of sanctioned Russian oil company Lukoil and may seek a U.S. licence to hold negotiations, although no due diligence has been conducted and the firm may decide not to proceed (Financial Times via SeeNews) Several competing bidders are reportedly targeting different parts of Lukoil's international business, which Carlyle is assessing as part of a broader sale process triggered by recent U.S. sanctions on Lukoil (SeeNews) From July 1, 2025 to September 30, 2025, Carlyle repurchased about 1.57 million shares for 100 million dollars, representing 0.44 percent of shares outstanding (company buyback update) Since launching its buyback program on October 28, 2021, Carlyle has repurchased approximately 24.65 million shares, or 6.85 percent of its share base, for a total of about 1.01 billion dollars (company buyback update) Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate has risen slightly to approximately 66 dollars from about 65.7 dollars.내러티브 업데이트 • Dec 12
CG: Global Asset Deals And Completed Buybacks Will Shape Balanced Outlook
The analyst price target for Carlyle Group has inched higher to approximately 65.73 dollars from 65 dollars, as analysts modestly refine their models to reflect slightly lower perceived risk, resilient top line expansion, and a marginally stronger long term profitability profile. What's in the News Carlyle is exploring a potential bid for the foreign assets of sanctioned Russian oil company Lukoil and may seek a U.S. licence to negotiate.내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 28
CG: Buybacks And Global Deal Pursuits Will Drive Momentum Ahead
Analysts have slightly reduced their price target for the Carlyle Group from $65.56 to $65.00. They cite modest adjustments in profit margin and discount rate estimates, even though they expect slightly higher revenue growth.내러티브 업데이트 • Nov 14
CG: Increased Private Equity Interest Will Drive Momentum In Precision Engineering
Analysts have revised their fair value target for Carlyle Group from $69.25 to $65.56. They cite shifts in revenue growth expectations and profit margin forecasts as the primary drivers behind the adjustment.내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 31
CG: Minority Stake Deal And Buybacks Will Drive Value Creation
Analysts have slightly raised their price target for Carlyle Group from $69.06 to $69.25, citing minor improvements in estimated revenue growth and projected profits. What's in the News Carlyle Group is reportedly among private equity firms in discussions to acquire a minority stake in Nash Industries, an auto components maker in Bengaluru, as part of its first institutional fundraising round (Key Developments).내러티브 업데이트 • Oct 16
Global Partnerships And Geographic Expansion Will Unlock Value
Analysts have raised their price target for Carlyle Group from $68.08 to $69.06 per share. They cited improved revenue growth expectations and a modest reduction in implied risk, even as profit margin forecasts were slightly lowered.내러티브 업데이트 • Aug 08
Global Partnerships And Geographic Expansion Will Unlock Value
Despite a significant downgrade in revenue growth forecasts and a slight increase in future P/E, Carlyle Group's consensus analyst price target has been raised from $61.70 to $65.88. What's in the News John C.분석 기사 • Jul 15
Revenues Not Telling The Story For The Carlyle Group Inc. (NASDAQ:CG) After Shares Rise 28%
Despite an already strong run, The Carlyle Group Inc. ( NASDAQ:CG ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 28% in...이익 및 매출 성장 예측
| 날짜 | 매출 | 이익 | 자유현금흐름 | 영업현금흐름 | 평균 애널리스트 수 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2028 | 5,598 | 1,915 | 1,892 | 2,011 | 1 |
| 12/31/2027 | 5,043 | 1,840 | 1,986 | 2,095 | 6 |
| 12/31/2026 | 3,791 | 1,603 | 1,535 | 1,631 | 5 |
| 3/31/2026 | 3,249 | 547 | -4,277 | -4,166 | N/A |
| 12/31/2025 | 4,032 | 809 | -3,375 | -3,275 | N/A |
| 9/30/2025 | 3,208 | 662 | -2,517 | -2,433 | N/A |
| 6/30/2025 | 5,526 | 1,256 | -162 | -82 | N/A |
| 3/31/2025 | 5,039 | 1,085 | -1,263 | -1,183 | N/A |
| 12/31/2024 | 4,740 | 1,020 | -837 | -759 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 4,637 | 118 | -221 | -153 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 2,776 | -397 | -211 | -145 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 2,218 | -643 | 321 | 389 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 2,421 | -608 | 138 | 205 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 2,264 | 211 | -235 | -170 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 2,689 | 410 | -725 | -670 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 3,341 | 754 | -161 | -120 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 4,117 | 1,225 | -1,038 | -379 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 5,417 | 1,745 | -428 | 230 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 5,977 | 1,997 | -22 | 637 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 7,630 | 2,677 | 687 | 1,350 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 8,490 | 2,975 | 1,750 | 1,791 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 8,025 | 2,846 | 1,193 | 1,244 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 7,433 | 2,609 | 448 | 503 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 5,864 | 1,830 | 89 | 146 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 2,677 | 348 | -230 | -169 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 1,630 | -179 | -724 | -676 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 1,370 | -406 | -15 | 13 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 1,319 | -404 | -262 | -228 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 3,163 | 345 | N/A | 359 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 2,847 | 338 | N/A | 486 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 2,745 | 281 | N/A | 464 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 2,561 | 196 | N/A | 20 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 2,180 | 93 | N/A | -343 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 3,229 | 162 | N/A | -484 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 3,138 | 195 | N/A | -918 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 3,103 | 189 | N/A | -545 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 3,276 | 238 | N/A | -7 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 2,883 | 176 | N/A | 144 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 2,839 | 133 | N/A | 467 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 2,552 | 81 | N/A | 195 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 2,033 | 6 | N/A | -301 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 1,944 | 11 | N/A | -412 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 1,426 | -73 | N/A | 212 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 1,415 | -49 | N/A | 2,448 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 1,868 | -18 | N/A | 3,903 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 1,962 | 2 | N/A | 4,572 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 2,465 | 111 | N/A | 3,865 | N/A |
애널리스트 향후 성장 전망
수입 대 저축률: CG 의 연간 예상 수익 증가율(13.7%)이 saving rate(3.5%)보다 높습니다.
수익 vs 시장: CG 의 연간 수익(13.7%)이 US 시장(16.8%)보다 느리게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 수익: CG 의 수입은 증가할 것으로 예상되지만 상당히 증가하지는 않을 것입니다.
수익 대 시장: CG 의 수익(연간 22%)이 US 시장(연간 11.6%)보다 빠르게 성장할 것으로 예상됩니다.
고성장 매출: CG 의 수익(연간 22%)은 연간 20%보다 빠르게 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다.
주당순이익 성장 예측
향후 자기자본이익률
미래 ROE: CG의 자본 수익률은 3년 후 22.4%로 높을 것으로 예상됩니다.
성장 기업 찾아보기
기업 분석 및 재무 데이터 상태
| 데이터 | 최종 업데이트 (UTC 시간) |
|---|---|
| 기업 분석 | 2026/05/20 09:40 |
| 종가 | 2026/05/20 00:00 |
| 수익 | 2026/03/31 |
| 연간 수익 | 2025/12/31 |
데이터 소스
당사의 기업 분석에 사용되는 데이터는 S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC에서 제공됩니다. 아래 데이터는 이 보고서를 생성하기 위해 분석 모델에서 사용됩니다. 데이터는 정규화되므로 소스가 제공된 후 지연이 발생할 수 있습니다.
| 패키지 | 데이터 | 기간 | 미국 소스 예시 * |
|---|---|---|---|
| 기업 재무제표 | 10년 |
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| 분석가 컨센서스 추정치 | +3년 |
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| 시장 가격 | 30년 |
| |
| 지분 구조 | 10년 |
| |
| 경영진 | 10년 |
| |
| 주요 개발 | 10년 |
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* 미국 증권에 대한 예시이며, 비(非)미국 증권에는 해당 국가의 규제 서식 및 자료원을 사용합니다.
별도로 명시되지 않는 한 모든 재무 데이터는 연간 기간을 기준으로 하지만 분기별로 업데이트됩니다. 이를 TTM(최근 12개월) 또는 LTM(지난 12개월) 데이터라고 합니다. 자세히 알아보기.
분석 모델 및 스노우플레이크
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산업 및 섹터 지표
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분석가 소스
The Carlyle Group Inc.는 26명의 분석가가 다루고 있습니다. 이 중 11명의 분석가가 우리 보고서에 입력 데이터로 사용되는 매출 또는 수익 추정치를 제출했습니다. 분석가의 제출 자료는 하루 종일 업데이트됩니다.
| 분석가 | 기관 |
|---|---|
| Roger Freeman | Barclays |
| Benjamin Budish | Barclays |
| Brennan Hawken | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |